The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arozarena, Randy in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats R · 695 PA

Ranked comps for Arozarena, Randy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA 0.73 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Barrel rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.1zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA 0.72 Oppo rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.0zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateSprint speedHard-hit rate Bat speed +1.5zBarrel rate +1.2zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateOppo rate In-zone contact +1.7zIsolated power -1.0zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.65 Isolated powerMax exit velocityOppo rate In-zone contact +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateChase rate Oppo rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 715 PA 0.62 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateSprint speed Walk rate +1.7zBat speed +1.3zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.62 Whiff rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate In-zone contact +1.7zSprint speed +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 539 PA 0.61 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityChase rate Swing length +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 403 PA 0.61 Whiff rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact Avg exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateMax exit velocityOppo rate Bat speed +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.4zBarrel rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA 0.60 Barrel rateSprint speedFly-ball rate In-zone contact +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.