The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pages, Andy in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats R · 573 PA
Ranked comps for Pages, Andy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Vierling, Matt DET · R · 310 PA | 0.78 | Sprint speedIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Isolated power -0.9zxwOBA on contact -0.9zHard-hit rate -0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.76 | Whiff rateSweet-spot rateChase rate | Swing length -1.1zSprint speed -1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 551 PA | 0.69 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Oppo rate -1.2zIsolated power +1.1zSweet-spot rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 482 PA | 0.69 | Walk rateWhiff rateBat speed | Oppo rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA | 0.69 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | Pull rate +1.5zIn-zone contact -1.1zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 367 PA | 0.69 | Chase rateMax exit velocityWhiff rate | Sprint speed -1.1zSwing length -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 611 PA | 0.67 | Pull rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Sprint speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 508 PA | 0.67 | Oppo rateIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Swing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA | 0.64 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate -1.2zChase rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateChase rate | Sprint speed -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 526 PA | 0.64 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zPull rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 575 PA | 0.63 | Walk rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed | Swing length -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.3zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.