Mithrandir Metrics
MIA National League East Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Miami Marlins

71.6-90.4 with P10-P90 wins 62-81. 81.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
71.6-90.4
Live pace
80.0
Delta
+8.4
Record 80-82 Run diff 3 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason71.0
Current pace80.0
Rolling p5077.6
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
68.8 73.0 77.6 82.2 86.3
MOVE +6.6 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.41
October path

Projection odds

Division0.6%
Playoffs4.8%
Pennant0.2%
World Series0.1%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.246
Rotation FIP4.30
Bullpen FIP4.41
Run diff-83.0
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Henriquez, RonnyPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Nardi, AndrewPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Kempner, WilliamPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day