Mithrandir Metrics
MIA National League East Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Miami Marlins

71.6-90.4 with P10-P90 wins 62-81. 81.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
71.6-90.4
Live pace
70.2
Delta
-1.4
Record 26-34 Run diff -29 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason71.0
Current pace70.2
Rolling p5070.6
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
60.6 65.3 70.6 75.9 80.6
MOVE -0.4 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.41
October path

Projection odds

Division0.6%
Playoffs4.8%
Pennant0.2%
World Series0.1%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.246
Rotation FIP4.30
Bullpen FIP4.41
Run diff-83.0
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHicks, Liam4030.61
1BMorel, Christopher4302.44
2BEdwards, Xavier552-0.53
SSLopez, Otto5520.49
3BSanoja, Javier384-1.19
LFStowers, Kyle4652.02
CFMarsee, Jakob320-0.04
RFRuiz, Esteury223-0.30
DHNorby, Connor398-0.62