Mithrandir Metrics
NYM National League East Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

New York Mets

90.8-71.2 with P10-P90 wins 81-101. 80.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
90.8-71.2
Live pace
72.1
Delta
-18.7
Record 61-76 Run diff -53 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason91.0
Current pace72.1
Rolling p5077.9
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
69.1 73.3 77.9 82.5 86.7
MOVE -13.1 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.24
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs80.3%
Pennant18.6%
World Series10.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.282
Rotation FIP4.26
Bullpen FIP4.24
Run diff97.8
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-31.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CAlvarez, Francisco3800.60
1BYoung, Jared224-0.36
2BSemien, Marcus5550.84
SSLindor, Francisco6588.33
3BBichette, Bo5754.53
LFMorel, Christopher4300.46
CFEwing, A.j.200-0.29
RFBenge, Carson----
DHVientos, Mark--2.80
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Polanco, JorgeHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Megill, TylorPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Garrett, ReedPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Hagenman, JustinPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Williams, DevinPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Pérez, CionelPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Wagaman, EricHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Senger, HaydenHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Mauricio, RonnyHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors