Mithrandir Metrics
NYM National League East Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

New York Mets

90.8-71.2 with P10-P90 wins 81-101. 80.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
90.8-71.2
Live pace
74.0
Delta
-16.8
Record 74-88 Run diff -32 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason91.0
Current pace74.0
Rolling p5078.6
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
70.1 74.1 78.6 83.1 87.1
MOVE -12.4 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.24
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs80.3%
Pennant18.6%
World Series10.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.282
Rotation FIP4.26
Bullpen FIP4.24
Run diff97.8
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CAlvarez, Francisco3800.60
1BVientos, Mark4962.80
2BSemien, Marcus5550.84
SSLindor, Francisco6588.33
3BBichette, Bo5754.53
LFSoto, Juan64923.01
CFEwing, A.j.200-0.29
RFPache, Cristian out of position220-0.87
DHWagaman, Eric4770.07
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Polanco, JorgeHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Megill, TylorPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Garrett, ReedPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day