Mithrandir Metrics
NYM National League East Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

New York Mets

90.8-71.2 with P10-P90 wins 81-101. 80.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
90.8-71.2
Live pace
71.4
Delta
-19.4
Record 26-33 Run diff -13 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason91.0
Current pace71.4
Rolling p5081.3
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
71.1 75.9 81.3 86.7 91.5
MOVE -9.7 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.24
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs80.3%
Pennant18.6%
World Series10.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.282
Rotation FIP4.26
Bullpen FIP4.24
Run diff97.8
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CTorrens, Luis367-0.28
1BPolanco, Jorge5483.40
2BSemien, Marcus5550.84
SSBruján, Vidal279-1.16
3BBichette, Bo5754.53
LFSoto, Juan64923.01
CFNone200-0.29
DHVientos, Mark4962.80