Mithrandir Metrics
NYM National League East Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

New York Mets

90.8-71.2 with P10-P90 wins 81-101. 80.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
90.8-71.2
Live pace
67.8
Delta
-23.1
Record 41-57 Run diff -62 Generated 2026-07-17T11:44:53.145921+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason91.0
Current pace67.8
Rolling p5076.6
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
67.4 71.7 76.6 81.5 85.8
MOVE -14.4 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.24
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs80.3%
Pennant18.6%
World Series10.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.282
Rotation FIP4.26
Bullpen FIP4.24
Run diff97.8
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CAlvarez, Francisco3800.60
1BWagaman, Eric4770.07
2BSemien, Marcus5550.84
SSLindor, Francisco6588.33
3BBaty, Brett4470.11
LFSoto, Juan64923.01
CFRobert Jr.., Luis472-0.03
DHBichette, Bo5754.53