Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-08-25 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
107
Matched
321
Lineups
270
HR BOARD 2026-08-25 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Jung Hoo Lee SF
IN
SF vs CINBrady Singer · slot 3
 11.3%Fangorn 8.1%market +3.2pp
P 9.2
F 11.3
V 9.9
2.0pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1090 avg 3 books
02
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
IN
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 4
 12.4%Fangorn 9.5%market +3.0pp
P 12.0
F 12.4
V 8.7
3.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 920 avg 3 books
03
Alex Call LAD
IN
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 7
 11.3%Fangorn 8.5%market +2.8pp
P 10.9
F 11.3
V 7.2
4.1pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1040 avg 3 books
04
Isaac Collins KC
IN
KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 7
 11.3%Fangorn 8.9%market +2.4pp
P 11.7
F 11.3
V 12.6
1.3pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 985 avg 3 books
05
Cole Young SEA
IN
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6
 11.9%Fangorn 9.8%market +2.1pp
P 9.4
F 11.9
V 9.4
2.5pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
06
Cam Smith HOU
IN
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 7
 10.9%Fangorn 8.9%market +2.0pp
P 9.9
F 10.9
V 10.9
1.1pp 1.043xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 985 avg 3 books
07
Bryson Stott PHI
IN
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 6
 11.7%Fangorn 10.0%market +1.7pp
P 9.7
F 11.7
V 9.6
2.1pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
08
Gabriel Moreno AZ
IN
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 3
 12.1%Fangorn 10.6%market +1.5pp
P 10.0
F 12.1
V 8.6
3.5pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 815 avg 3 books
09
Nathan Lukes TOR
IN
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2
 12.6%Fangorn 11.2%market +1.3pp
P 13.0
F 12.6
V 9.3
3.6pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 760 avg 3 books
10
Jeremy Peña HOU
IN
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1
 12.6%Fangorn 11.7%market +0.9pp
P 13.1
F 12.6
V 10.1
3.0pp 1.043xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 725 avg 3 books
11
Ramón Urías STL
IN
STL vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 7
 11.9%Fangorn 11.1%market +0.8pp
P 10.8
F 11.9
V 9.5
2.4pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 775 avg 3 books
12
Jeff McNeil ATH
IN
ATH vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 2
 12.1%Fangorn 11.4%market +0.8pp
P 12.6
F 12.1
V 11.7
0.9pp 1.076xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 750 avg 3 books
13
Brandon Marsh PHI
IN
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 7
 12.4%Fangorn 11.8%market +0.6pp
P 11.2
F 12.4
V 8.6
3.8pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 720 avg 3 books
14
Alec Bohm PHI
IN
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5
 11.7%Fangorn 11.3%market +0.4pp
P 10.1
F 11.7
V 11.0
1.7pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 750 avg 3 books
15
Miguel Vargas CWS
IN
CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 3
 12.6%Fangorn 13.1%market -0.5pp
P 13.4
F 12.6
V 7.9
5.4pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 665 avg 3 books
16
Bo Bichette NYM
IN
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 2
 12.6%Fangorn 13.2%market -0.7pp
P 14.4
F 12.6
V 10.2
4.1pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 655 avg 3 books
17
Lars Nootbaar AZ
IN
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 1
 11.7%Fangorn 12.6%market -0.8pp
P 11.5
F 11.7
V 8.8
3.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 695 avg 3 books
18
Josh Lowe LAA
IN
LAA vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5
 12.4%Fangorn 13.4%market -1.0pp
P 11.4
F 12.4
V 13.4
2.0pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 645 avg 3 books
19
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 2
 14.1%Fangorn 15.4%market -1.3pp
P 14.3
F 14.1
V 11.2
3.1pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
20
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 2
 14.1%Fangorn 15.4%market -1.3pp
P 15.6
F 14.1
V 15.5
1.5pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
21
Nolan Arenado AZ
IN
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 6
 11.7%Fangorn 13.2%market -1.4pp
P 10.3
F 11.7
V 8.2
3.5pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 660 avg 3 books
22
Jesús Sánchez TOR
IN
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5
 12.6%Fangorn 14.0%market -1.4pp
P 11.5
F 12.6
V 11.8
1.1pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
23
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 1
 14.1%Fangorn 15.9%market -1.8pp
P 13.6
F 14.1
V 11.9
2.3pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
24
Jackson Holliday BAL
IN
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 1
 11.9%Fangorn 13.7%market -1.8pp
P 13.4
F 11.9
V 10.8
2.5pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
25
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 6
 11.9%Fangorn 13.8%market -1.9pp
P 11.5
F 11.9
V 10.8
1.1pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
26
Marcus Semien NYM
IN
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 7
 11.3%Fangorn 13.5%market -2.2pp
P 10.7
F 11.3
V 9.6
1.8pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 640 avg 3 books
27
Spencer Horwitz PIT
IN
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 1
 12.6%Fangorn 14.8%market -2.3pp
P 12.4
F 12.6
V 10.7
1.8pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
28
Michael Harris II ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 5
 12.6%Fangorn 14.8%market -2.3pp
P 12.4
F 12.6
V 13.6
1.2pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
29
Yainer Diaz HOU
IN
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 8
 12.4%Fangorn 14.7%market -2.3pp
P 12.2
F 12.4
V 7.2
5.2pp 1.043xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
30
Lane Thomas ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 7
 11.7%Fangorn 14.2%market -2.5pp
P 10.2
F 11.7
V 8.9
2.8pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
31
Tommy Edman LAD
IN
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 5
 11.6%Fangorn 14.3%market -2.7pp
P 12.5
F 11.6
V 13.7
2.1pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 600 avg 3 books
32
Carlos Narváez BAL
IN
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 2
 12.1%Fangorn 14.8%market -2.7pp
P 14.4
F 12.1
V 13.8
2.2pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
33
Lawrence Butler ATH
IN
ATH vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4
 14.1%Fangorn 17.0%market -2.8pp
P 14.8
F 14.1
V 15.1
1.0pp 1.076xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
34
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 3
 11.9%Fangorn 14.7%market -2.8pp
P 11.9
F 11.9
V 11.6
0.3pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
35
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 7
 11.9%Fangorn 14.7%market -2.8pp
P 11.5
F 11.9
V 7.5
4.3pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
36
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 5
 12.4%Fangorn 15.3%market -2.8pp
P 13.1
F 12.4
V 14.0
1.6pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
37
Max Kepler AZ
IN
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 5
 11.9%Fangorn 15.0%market -3.2pp
P 12.4
F 11.9
V 11.7
0.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
38
Trea Turner PHI
IN
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 2
 11.9%Fangorn 15.2%market -3.3pp
P 12.6
F 11.9
V 14.1
2.3pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
39
Matt McLain CIN
IN
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 6
 9.9%Fangorn 13.2%market -3.3pp
P 10.3
F 9.9
V 9.3
0.9pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 660 avg 3 books
40
Elly De La Cruz CIN
IN
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 1
 12.4%Fangorn 15.9%market -3.4pp
P 13.1
F 12.4
V 12.5
0.7pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
41
Coby Mayo BAL
IN
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 4
 12.1%Fangorn 15.6%market -3.5pp
P 15.3
F 12.1
V 14.6
3.2pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
42
Randy Arozarena SEA
IN
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1
 12.6%Fangorn 16.4%market -3.8pp
P 14.6
F 12.6
V 14.3
2.1pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
43
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 4
 12.4%Fangorn 16.3%market -3.8pp
P 12.2
F 12.4
V 14.2
2.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
44
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC
IN
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 1
 14.1%Fangorn 18.0%market -3.9pp
P 15.7
F 14.1
V 14.3
1.6pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
45
Zack Gelof ATH
IN
ATH vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3
 11.7%Fangorn 15.8%market -4.0pp
P 12.1
F 11.7
V 14.6
2.9pp 1.076xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
46
Freddie Freeman LAD
IN
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2
 12.4%Fangorn 17.1%market -4.7pp
P 14.4
F 12.4
V 13.5
1.9pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
47
Josh Naylor SEA
IN
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4
 12.4%Fangorn 17.2%market -4.8pp
P 13.4
F 12.4
V 14.8
2.4pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
48
Mookie Betts LAD
IN
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3
 12.4%Fangorn 17.5%market -5.1pp
P 13.8
F 12.4
V 14.4
2.0pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
49
Nick Loftin KC
IN
KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 6
 12.4%Fangorn 7.7%market +4.7pp
P 11.5
F 12.4
V 12.2
1.0pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
50
Victor Robles SEA
IN
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2
 12.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +4.5pp
P 9.4
F 12.1
V 10.3
2.7pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
51
Nick Allen HOU
IN
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4
 11.3%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.6pp
P 4.6
F 11.3
V 11.9
7.2pp 1.043xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
52
Nick Gonzales PIT
IN
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 4
 11.7%Fangorn 8.2%market +3.5pp
P 8.2
F 11.7
V 8.7
3.5pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1075 avg 3 books
53
Luis Arraez PHI
IN
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4
 11.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.4pp
P 7.4
F 11.1
V 12.2
4.8pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
54
Nico Hoerner CHC
IN
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 6
 10.9%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.2pp
P 7.1
F 10.9
V 10.7
3.8pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
55
Andrés Giménez TOR
IN
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7
 11.1%Fangorn 8.5%market +2.7pp
P 7.5
F 11.1
V 7.8
3.7pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1040 avg 3 books
56
Mauricio Dubón ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 4
 11.1%Fangorn 8.7%market +2.5pp
P 8.1
F 11.1
V 10.7
3.1pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1015 avg 3 books
57
Ernie Clement TOR
IN
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6
 11.3%Fangorn 9.5%market +1.8pp
P 8.4
F 11.3
V 7.1
4.1pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 915 avg 3 books
58
Ty France SD
IN
SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4
 11.1%Fangorn 9.4%market +1.7pp
P 7.7
F 11.1
V 10.0
3.4pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 925 avg 3 books
59
Chase Meidroth CWS
IN
CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 6
 9.3%Fangorn 7.7%market +1.6pp
P 5.7
F 9.3
V 8.9
3.6pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
60
Luis Rengifo SD
IN
SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6
 11.3%Fangorn 10.0%market +1.3pp
P 8.3
F 11.3
V 9.5
2.9pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 870 avg 3 books
61
Jake Cronenworth SD
IN
SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2
 11.3%Fangorn 11.8%market -0.4pp
P 9.7
F 11.3
V 10.4
1.7pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
62
Tim Tawa AZ
IN
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 7
 11.3%Fangorn 13.2%market -1.8pp
P 10.1
F 11.3
V 6.9
4.4pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 660 avg 3 books
63
Oneil Cruz PIT
IN
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 5
 12.6%Fangorn 15.2%market -2.6pp
P 13.2
F 12.6
V 10.8
2.4pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
64
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 4
 12.1%Fangorn 15.3%market -3.2pp
P 11.2
F 12.1
V 12.6
1.4pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
65
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
IN
KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 3
 14.1%Fangorn 18.2%market -4.1pp
P 14.7
F 14.1
V 16.7
2.6pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
66
Christian Encarnacion-Strand BAL
IN
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 5
 12.6%Fangorn 16.8%market -4.3pp
P 15.6
F 12.6
V 16.4
3.9pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 495 avg 3 books
67
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 5
 3.5%Fangorn 8.0%market -4.5pp
P 3.9
F 3.5
V 9.3
5.7pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
68
Jj Bleday CIN
IN
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 3
 11.3%Fangorn 15.9%market -4.6pp
P 11.8
F 11.3
V 11.9
0.6pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
69
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 8
 11.7%Fangorn 16.4%market -4.7pp
P 10.2
F 11.7
V 7.5
4.2pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
70
Jackson Merrill SD
IN
SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5
 11.3%Fangorn 16.1%market -4.9pp
P 11.5
F 11.3
V 12.8
1.6pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
71
Taylor Ward SEA
IN
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 7
 12.4%Fangorn 17.4%market -5.0pp
P 13.5
F 12.4
V 10.1
3.4pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
72
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3
 12.4%Fangorn 17.4%market -5.0pp
P 11.9
F 12.4
V 11.1
1.3pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
73
Sean Murphy ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 9
 10.9%Fangorn 16.4%market -5.5pp
P 11.2
F 10.9
V 6.1
5.1pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
74
Isaac Paredes HOU
IN
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3
 12.4%Fangorn 18.0%market -5.6pp
P 12.4
F 12.4
V 13.6
1.3pp 1.043xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
75
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
IN
SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1
 12.4%Fangorn 18.0%market -5.6pp
P 12.4
F 12.4
V 12.7
0.3pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
76
Julio Rodríguez SEA
IN
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3
 12.4%Fangorn 18.2%market -5.8pp
P 13.9
F 12.4
V 15.0
2.5pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
77
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
IN
KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 2
 12.4%Fangorn 18.2%market -5.8pp
P 13.5
F 12.4
V 17.7
5.3pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
78
Corbin Carroll AZ
IN
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 2
 12.6%Fangorn 18.4%market -5.8pp
P 13.5
F 12.6
V 11.5
2.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
79
Gunnar Henderson BAL
IN
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 3
 11.9%Fangorn 17.7%market -5.8pp
P 12.0
F 11.9
V 15.2
3.4pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
80
Zach Neto LAA
IN
LAA vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 1
 12.6%Fangorn 18.5%market -6.0pp
P 13.8
F 12.6
V 14.1
1.5pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
81
Luis Robert Jr. NYM
IN
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 4
 11.9%Fangorn 17.9%market -6.0pp
P 11.5
F 11.9
V 12.5
1.0pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
82
Christian Walker HOU
IN
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6
 12.1%Fangorn 18.2%market -6.1pp
P 12.7
F 12.1
V 11.6
1.1pp 1.043xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
83
Liam Hicks TB
IN
TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 4
 3.5%Fangorn 9.7%market -6.1pp
P 8.0
F 3.5
V 10.0
6.4pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 935 avg 3 books
84
Kyle Tucker LAD
IN
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 6
 12.1%Fangorn 18.4%market -6.2pp
P 13.0
F 12.1
V 11.0
2.0pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
85
Michael Busch CHC
IN
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 3
 14.1%Fangorn 20.4%market -6.3pp
P 14.8
F 14.1
V 14.7
0.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
86
Drake Baldwin ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 1
 12.6%Fangorn 18.9%market -6.3pp
P 12.1
F 12.6
V 13.1
1.0pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
87
Seiya Suzuki CHC
IN
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 2
 12.1%Fangorn 18.5%market -6.4pp
P 14.4
F 12.1
V 13.6
2.2pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
88
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 4
 12.4%Fangorn 18.9%market -6.4pp
P 13.2
F 12.4
V 18.6
6.1pp 0.933xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
89
Christopher Morel NYM
IN
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 5
 11.3%Fangorn 17.9%market -6.6pp
P 12.1
F 11.3
V 13.0
1.8pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
90
Daulton Varsho HOU
IN
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 5
 12.1%Fangorn 18.9%market -6.7pp
P 12.7
F 12.1
V 14.4
2.2pp 1.043xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
91
Nolan Gorman STL
IN
STL vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 6
 11.9%Fangorn 18.9%market -7.0pp
P 11.6
F 11.9
V 12.5
0.9pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
92
Bryce Harper PHI
IN
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3
 12.4%Fangorn 19.6%market -7.2pp
P 13.4
F 12.4
V 15.1
2.7pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
93
Manny Machado SD
IN
SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3
 11.9%Fangorn 19.4%market -7.6pp
P 11.7
F 11.9
V 13.8
2.1pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
94
Francisco Lindor NYM
IN
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 1
 12.4%Fangorn 20.0%market -7.6pp
P 13.7
F 12.4
V 13.7
1.3pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 400 avg 3 books
95
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 2
 12.4%Fangorn 20.8%market -8.4pp
P 13.0
F 12.4
V 15.2
2.8pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
96
Mike Trout LAA
IN
LAA vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 2
 12.6%Fangorn 21.3%market -8.7pp
P 13.7
F 12.6
V 14.3
1.7pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
97
Rafael Devers SF
IN
SF vs CINBrady Singer · slot 2
 11.9%Fangorn 21.1%market -9.2pp
P 12.9
F 11.9
V 13.9
2.0pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
98
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 3
 12.1%Fangorn 21.5%market -9.4pp
P 12.9
F 12.1
V 13.4
1.2pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
99
Yordan Alvarez HOU
IN
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 2
 12.4%Fangorn 22.0%market -9.6pp
P 13.0
F 12.4
V 14.2
1.7pp 1.043xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
100
Brandon Lowe PIT
IN
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 2
 12.4%Fangorn 22.2%market -9.8pp
P 13.5
F 12.4
V 12.3
1.2pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 350 avg 3 books
101
Max Muncy LAD
IN
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4
 11.9%Fangorn 21.7%market -9.9pp
P 12.5
F 11.9
V 14.5
2.6pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
102
Eugenio Suárez CIN
IN
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 5
 11.7%Fangorn 21.7%market -10.0pp
P 11.2
F 11.7
V 14.1
2.9pp 0.969xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
103
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 3
 12.6%Fangorn 25.0%market -12.4pp
P 13.1
F 12.6
V 12.6
0.5pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 300 avg 3 books
104
Colson Montgomery CWS
IN
CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 5
 11.7%Fangorn 24.7%market -13.0pp
P 11.2
F 11.7
V 11.2
0.5pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 305 avg 3 books
105
Cal Raleigh SEA
IN
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 5
 11.7%Fangorn 26.0%market -14.2pp
P 13.6
F 11.7
V 16.2
4.5pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 285 avg 3 books
106
Kyle Schwarber PHI
IN
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1
 12.4%Fangorn 28.2%market -15.7pp
P 13.0
F 12.4
V 14.8
2.4pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 255 avg 3 books
107
Shohei Ohtani LAD
IN
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1
 12.6%Fangorn 30.3%market -17.7pp
P 13.3
F 12.6
V 18.2
5.6pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 230 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status2452roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.