Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-08-25 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | IN | KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 7 |
12.6%Valinor | 8.9%market | +3.4pp |
P
11.7
F
11.3
V
12.6
|
1.3pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 985 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Cam Smith
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 7 |
10.9%Valinor | 8.9%market | +1.7pp |
P
9.9
F
10.9
V
10.9
|
1.1pp | 1.043xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 985 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs CINBrady Singer · slot 3 |
9.9%Valinor | 8.1%market | +1.5pp |
P
9.2
F
11.3
V
9.9
|
2.0pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1090 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 2 |
15.5%Valinor | 14.6%market | +0.3pp |
P
15.6
F
14.1
V
15.5
|
1.5pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 560 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Josh Lowe
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5 |
13.4%Valinor | 12.8%market | +0.1pp |
P
11.4
F
12.4
V
13.4
|
2.0pp | 1.014xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Jeff McNeil
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 2 |
11.7%Valinor | 11.4%market | -0.2pp |
P
12.6
F
12.1
V
11.7
|
0.9pp | 1.076xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 745 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Tommy Edman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 5 |
13.7%Valinor | 13.8%market | -0.6pp |
P
12.5
F
11.6
V
13.7
|
2.1pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 600 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5 |
11.0%Valinor | 11.8%market | -0.9pp |
P
10.1
F
11.7
V
11.0
|
1.7pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 745 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Bryson Stott
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 6 |
9.6%Valinor | 10.1%market | -0.9pp |
P
9.7
F
11.7
V
9.6
|
2.1pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 850 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Coby Mayo
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 4 |
14.6%Valinor | 15.1%market | -1.0pp |
P
15.3
F
12.1
V
14.6
|
3.2pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Cole Young
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6 |
9.4%Valinor | 10.0%market | -1.0pp |
P
9.4
F
11.9
V
9.4
|
2.5pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 865 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Carlos Narváez
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 2 |
13.8%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.0pp |
P
14.4
F
12.1
V
13.8
|
2.2pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 2 |
14.1%Valinor | 14.6%market | -1.0pp |
P
12.6
F
11.9
V
14.1
|
2.3pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 14 | IN | ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 5 |
13.6%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.2pp |
P
12.4
F
12.6
V
13.6
|
1.2pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Zack Gelof
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
14.6%Valinor | 15.3%market | -1.3pp |
P
12.1
F
11.7
V
14.6
|
2.9pp | 1.076xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 16 | IN | AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 4 |
8.7%Valinor | 9.6%market | -1.3pp |
P
12.0
F
12.4
V
8.7
|
3.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 900 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 5 |
14.0%Valinor | 14.8%market | -1.4pp |
P
13.1
F
12.4
V
14.0
|
1.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 550 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Alex Call
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 7 |
7.2%Valinor | 8.7%market | -1.8pp |
P
10.9
F
11.3
V
7.2
|
4.1pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1010 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4 |
15.1%Valinor | 16.5%market | -2.0pp |
P
14.8
F
14.1
V
15.1
|
1.0pp | 1.076xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1 |
14.3%Valinor | 15.8%market | -2.1pp |
P
14.6
F
12.6
V
14.3
|
2.1pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Ramón Urías
STL
IN
|
STL vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 7 |
9.5%Valinor | 11.1%market | -2.1pp |
P
10.8
F
11.9
V
9.5
|
2.4pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 765 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1 |
10.1%Valinor | 12.2%market | -2.1pp |
P
13.1
F
12.6
V
10.1
|
3.0pp | 1.043xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 720 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 15.8%market | -2.2pp |
P
12.2
F
12.4
V
14.2
|
2.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5 |
11.8%Valinor | 13.5%market | -2.2pp |
P
11.5
F
12.6
V
11.8
|
1.1pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2 |
9.3%Valinor | 11.8%market | -2.4pp |
P
13.0
F
12.6
V
9.3
|
3.6pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 750 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4 |
14.8%Valinor | 16.7%market | -2.4pp |
P
13.4
F
12.4
V
14.8
|
2.4pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 27 | IN | AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 3 |
8.6%Valinor | 10.6%market | -2.5pp |
P
10.0
F
12.1
V
8.6
|
3.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 805 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Jackson Holliday
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 1 |
10.8%Valinor | 13.7%market | -2.9pp |
P
13.4
F
11.9
V
10.8
|
2.5pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 630 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 2 |
10.2%Valinor | 13.2%market | -3.0pp |
P
14.4
F
12.6
V
10.2
|
4.1pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 655 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 6 |
10.8%Valinor | 13.3%market | -3.0pp |
P
11.5
F
11.9
V
10.8
|
1.1pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 625 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3 |
14.4%Valinor | 17.0%market | -3.1pp |
P
13.8
F
12.4
V
14.4
|
2.0pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 470 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 3 |
11.6%Valinor | 14.2%market | -3.1pp |
P
11.9
F
11.9
V
11.6
|
0.3pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 580 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 1 |
12.5%Valinor | 15.3%market | -3.4pp |
P
13.1
F
12.4
V
12.5
|
0.7pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Max Kepler
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 5 |
11.7%Valinor | 14.6%market | -3.5pp |
P
12.4
F
11.9
V
11.7
|
0.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.5%market | -3.6pp |
P
14.4
F
12.4
V
13.5
|
1.9pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 7 |
8.6%Valinor | 11.8%market | -3.7pp |
P
11.2
F
12.4
V
8.6
|
3.8pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 37 | IN | AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 1 |
8.8%Valinor | 12.1%market | -3.8pp |
P
11.5
F
11.7
V
8.8
|
3.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 695 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Matt McLain
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 6 |
9.3%Valinor | 12.7%market | -3.8pp |
P
10.3
F
9.9
V
9.3
|
0.9pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 660 avg 3 books |
| 39 | IN | CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 1 |
14.3%Valinor | 17.5%market | -3.8pp |
P
15.7
F
14.1
V
14.3
|
1.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 7 |
9.6%Valinor | 13.0%market | -3.9pp |
P
10.7
F
11.3
V
9.6
|
1.8pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Spencer Horwitz
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 1 |
10.7%Valinor | 14.3%market | -4.1pp |
P
12.4
F
12.6
V
10.7
|
1.8pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 1 |
11.9%Valinor | 15.5%market | -4.1pp |
P
13.6
F
14.1
V
11.9
|
2.3pp | 0.963xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 43 | IN | TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 2 |
11.2%Valinor | 14.8%market | -4.2pp |
P
14.3
F
14.1
V
11.2
|
3.1pp | 0.963xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 550 avg 3 books |
| 44 | IN | AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 6 |
8.2%Valinor | 12.7%market | -4.9pp |
P
10.3
F
11.7
V
8.2
|
3.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 660 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Miguel Vargas
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 3 |
7.9%Valinor | 12.6%market | -5.1pp |
P
13.4
F
12.6
V
7.9
|
5.4pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 665 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Lane Thomas
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 7 |
8.9%Valinor | 13.7%market | -5.2pp |
P
10.2
F
11.7
V
8.9
|
2.8pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 605 avg 3 books |
| 47 | IN | TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 7 |
7.5%Valinor | 14.2%market | -7.2pp |
P
11.5
F
11.9
V
7.5
|
4.3pp | 0.963xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 580 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Yainer Diaz
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 8 |
7.2%Valinor | 14.2%market | -7.5pp |
P
12.2
F
12.4
V
7.2
|
5.2pp | 1.043xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 580 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1 |
18.2%Valinor | 29.7%market | -12.6pp |
P
13.3
F
12.6
V
18.2
|
5.6pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 225 avg 3 books |
| 50 | IN | TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 3 |
12.6%Valinor | 24.4%market | -12.8pp |
P
13.1
F
12.6
V
12.6
|
0.5pp | 0.963xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 295 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1 |
14.8%Valinor | 27.6%market | -13.8pp |
P
13.0
F
12.4
V
14.8
|
2.4pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 250 avg 3 books |
| 52 | IN | CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 5 |
11.2%Valinor | 24.1%market | -13.8pp |
P
11.2
F
11.7
V
11.2
|
0.5pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 300 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Nick Loftin
KC
IN
|
KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 6 |
12.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.2pp |
P
11.5
F
12.4
V
12.2
|
1.0pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Luis Arraez
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4 |
12.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.2pp |
P
7.4
F
11.1
V
12.2
|
4.8pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Nick Allen
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4 |
11.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.9pp |
P
4.6
F
11.3
V
11.9
|
7.2pp | 1.043xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 6 |
10.7%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.6pp |
P
7.1
F
10.9
V
10.7
|
3.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Victor Robles
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2 |
10.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.3pp |
P
9.4
F
12.1
V
10.3
|
2.7pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Mauricio Dubón
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 8.7%market | +1.8pp |
P
8.1
F
11.1
V
10.7
|
3.1pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1015 avg 3 books |
| 59 | IN | TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 5 |
9.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.3pp |
P
3.9
F
3.5
V
9.3
|
5.7pp | 0.963xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 6 |
8.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +0.9pp |
P
5.7
F
9.3
V
8.9
|
3.6pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Liam Hicks
TB
IN
|
TB vs DETJackson Jobe · slot 4 |
10.0%Valinor | 9.2%market | +0.5pp |
P
8.0
F
3.5
V
10.0
|
6.4pp | 0.963xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 950 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Ty France
SD
IN
|
SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4 |
10.0%Valinor | 9.4%market | +0.3pp |
P
7.7
F
11.1
V
10.0
|
3.4pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 925 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Nick Gonzales
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 4 |
8.7%Valinor | 8.2%market | +0.2pp |
P
8.2
F
11.7
V
8.7
|
3.5pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1075 avg 3 books |
| 64 | IN | KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 4 |
18.6%Valinor | 18.2%market | -0.3pp |
P
13.2
F
12.4
V
18.6
|
6.1pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 65 | IN | BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 5 |
16.4%Valinor | 16.2%market | -0.4pp |
P
15.6
F
12.6
V
16.4
|
3.9pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 66 | IN | KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 2 |
17.7%Valinor | 17.6%market | -0.5pp |
P
13.5
F
12.4
V
17.7
|
5.3pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Luis Rengifo
SD
IN
|
SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6 |
9.5%Valinor | 10.1%market | -1.0pp |
P
8.3
F
11.3
V
9.5
|
2.9pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 855 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Andrés Giménez
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7 |
7.8%Valinor | 8.7%market | -1.2pp |
P
7.5
F
11.1
V
7.8
|
3.7pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1010 avg 3 books |
| 69 | IN | SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
10.4%Valinor | 11.3%market | -1.3pp |
P
9.7
F
11.3
V
10.4
|
1.7pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 750 avg 3 books |
| 70 | IN | KC vs TORMax Scherzer · slot 3 |
16.7%Valinor | 17.6%market | -1.5pp |
P
14.7
F
14.1
V
16.7
|
2.6pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 3 |
15.2%Valinor | 17.3%market | -2.6pp |
P
12.0
F
11.9
V
15.2
|
3.4pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 460 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 4 |
12.6%Valinor | 14.8%market | -2.7pp |
P
11.2
F
12.1
V
12.6
|
1.4pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Ernie Clement
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6 |
7.1%Valinor | 9.7%market | -2.9pp |
P
8.4
F
11.3
V
7.1
|
4.1pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 895 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3 |
15.0%Valinor | 17.6%market | -3.2pp |
P
13.9
F
12.4
V
15.0
|
2.5pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 75 | IN | SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5 |
12.8%Valinor | 15.6%market | -3.3pp |
P
11.5
F
11.3
V
12.8
|
1.6pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 3 |
11.9%Valinor | 15.3%market | -4.0pp |
P
11.8
F
11.3
V
11.9
|
0.6pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Oneil Cruz
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 5 |
10.8%Valinor | 14.6%market | -4.3pp |
P
13.2
F
12.6
V
10.8
|
2.4pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3 |
13.6%Valinor | 17.4%market | -4.4pp |
P
12.4
F
12.4
V
13.6
|
1.3pp | 1.043xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Daulton Varsho
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 5 |
14.4%Valinor | 18.2%market | -4.5pp |
P
12.7
F
12.1
V
14.4
|
2.2pp | 1.043xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3 |
15.1%Valinor | 18.9%market | -4.5pp |
P
13.4
F
12.4
V
15.1
|
2.7pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 1 |
14.1%Valinor | 18.1%market | -4.6pp |
P
13.8
F
12.6
V
14.1
|
1.5pp | 1.014xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 82 | IN | NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 5 |
13.0%Valinor | 17.4%market | -5.0pp |
P
12.1
F
11.3
V
13.0
|
1.8pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Seiya Suzuki
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 2 |
13.6%Valinor | 18.1%market | -5.1pp |
P
14.4
F
12.1
V
13.6
|
2.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 84 | IN | SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
12.7%Valinor | 17.6%market | -5.4pp |
P
12.4
F
12.4
V
12.7
|
0.3pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Luis Robert Jr.
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 4 |
12.5%Valinor | 17.4%market | -5.5pp |
P
11.5
F
11.9
V
12.5
|
1.0pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 1 |
13.1%Valinor | 18.2%market | -5.8pp |
P
12.1
F
12.6
V
13.1
|
1.0pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 87 | IN | SD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3 |
13.8%Valinor | 18.9%market | -5.8pp |
P
11.7
F
11.9
V
13.8
|
2.1pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 2 |
15.2%Valinor | 20.3%market | -5.9pp |
P
13.0
F
12.4
V
15.2
|
2.8pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 3 |
14.7%Valinor | 19.9%market | -5.9pp |
P
14.8
F
14.1
V
14.7
|
0.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Tim Tawa
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 7 |
6.9%Valinor | 12.7%market | -6.2pp |
P
10.1
F
11.3
V
6.9
|
4.4pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 660 avg 3 books |
| 91 | IN | TOR vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3 |
11.1%Valinor | 16.8%market | -6.3pp |
P
11.9
F
12.4
V
11.1
|
1.3pp | 0.933xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 1 |
13.7%Valinor | 19.5%market | -6.5pp |
P
13.7
F
12.4
V
13.7
|
1.3pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 395 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Nolan Gorman
STL
IN
|
STL vs BALChris Bassitt · slot 6 |
12.5%Valinor | 18.4%market | -6.5pp |
P
11.6
F
11.9
V
12.5
|
0.9pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6 |
11.6%Valinor | 17.7%market | -6.7pp |
P
12.7
F
12.1
V
11.6
|
1.1pp | 1.043xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 95 | IN | AZ vs CHCClay Holmes · slot 2 |
11.5%Valinor | 17.7%market | -6.8pp |
P
13.5
F
12.6
V
11.5
|
2.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Mike Trout
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 2 |
14.3%Valinor | 20.8%market | -7.2pp |
P
13.7
F
12.6
V
14.3
|
1.7pp | 1.014xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 365 avg 3 books |
| 97 | IN | SF vs CINBrady Singer · slot 2 |
13.9%Valinor | 20.5%market | -7.4pp |
P
12.9
F
11.9
V
13.9
|
2.0pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Taylor Ward
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 7 |
10.1%Valinor | 16.9%market | -7.5pp |
P
13.5
F
12.4
V
10.1
|
3.4pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 470 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 6 |
11.0%Valinor | 17.9%market | -7.5pp |
P
13.0
F
12.1
V
11.0
|
2.0pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 100 |
Max Muncy
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4 |
14.5%Valinor | 21.2%market | -7.5pp |
P
12.5
F
11.9
V
14.5
|
2.6pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 101 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 5 |
14.1%Valinor | 21.2%market | -7.9pp |
P
11.2
F
11.7
V
14.1
|
2.9pp | 0.969xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 102 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs NYYWill Warren · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.1pp |
P
13.0
F
12.4
V
14.2
|
1.7pp | 1.043xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 103 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 21.0%market | -8.4pp |
P
12.9
F
12.1
V
13.4
|
1.2pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 360 avg 3 books |
| 104 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 8 |
7.5%Valinor | 15.8%market | -8.9pp |
P
10.2
F
11.7
V
7.5
|
4.2pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 105 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 5 |
16.2%Valinor | 25.4%market | -10.1pp |
P
13.6
F
11.7
V
16.2
|
4.5pp | 1.011xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 280 avg 3 books |
| 106 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs SDMichael King · slot 2 |
12.3%Valinor | 21.7%market | -10.2pp |
P
13.5
F
12.4
V
12.3
|
1.2pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 345 avg 3 books |
| 107 |
Sean Murphy
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 9 |
6.1%Valinor | 15.8%market | -10.3pp |
P
11.2
F
10.9
V
6.1
|
5.1pp | 1.023xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
Data context
0 sample flagsStatus2452roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.