The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lewis, Royce in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats R · 447 PA
Ranked comps for Lewis, Royce
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.76 | In-zone contactOppo rateSprint speed | Max exit velocity -1.1zFly-ball rate +0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 560 PA | 0.72 | Max exit velocityOppo rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.1zIsolated power +1.0zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 565 PA | 0.70 | Chase rateWhiff rateBarrel rate | Swing length -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 591 PA | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateWalk rate | Isolated power +1.4zSwing length -0.9zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 367 PA | 0.68 | Chase rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate | Pull rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 562 PA | 0.68 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWalk rate | Ground-ball rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.67 | Pull rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Swing length -1.9zBarrel rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 591 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.4zSprint speed +1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 542 PA | 0.65 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate | Ground-ball rate +1.8zSwing length -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 341 PA | 0.64 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 571 PA | 0.62 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.