The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cowser, Colton in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats L · 356 PA

Ranked comps for Cowser, Colton

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.74 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSprint speed Chase rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 580 PA 0.72 Sprint speedIn-zone contactBarrel rate Swing length -1.3zIsolated power +1.0zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 367 PA 0.69 Barrel rateGround-ball rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.1zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 565 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateSprint speedStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 416 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateChase rate Oppo rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.3zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 371 PA 0.66 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate Sprint speed -2.0zAvg exit velocity +1.1zBarrel rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 525 PA 0.65 Chase rateStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate Pull rate +2.3zSwing length +1.0zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 432 PA 0.64 Chase rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.1zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 542 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityWhiff rateSwing length Walk rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.2zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 478 PA 0.63 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 386 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 331 PA 0.63 Chase rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.4zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.