The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (206+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Alvarez, Francisco in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats R · 248 PA

Ranked comps for Alvarez, Francisco

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 317 PA 0.80 Strikeout rateBat speedMax exit velocity Chase rate +1.1zIsolated power +0.8zSweet-spot rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.75 Avg exit velocityPull rateIsolated power Sprint speed +1.3zBarrel rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA 0.72 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateSwing length Oppo rate +1.5zBarrel rate -1.0zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA 0.71 Max exit velocityWalk rateFly-ball rate Oppo rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 415 PA 0.69 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Strikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.5zHard-hit rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Vientos, Mark NYM · R · 269 PA 0.68 Avg exit velocitySprint speedHard-hit rate Oppo rate +1.8zBarrel rate -1.0zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateChase rateFly-ball rate Isolated power +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.66 Max exit velocitySweet-spot rateOppo rate Swing length +1.5zChase rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact Walk rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.1zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA 0.66 Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityWalk rateFly-ball rate Swing length +1.6zBarrel rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 236 PA 0.65 Isolated powerBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate +1.6zSwing length -1.4zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.