The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Yelich, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats L · 446 PA

Ranked comps for Yelich, Christian

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 455 PA 0.77 Oppo rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Swing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0zWalk rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 539 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityPull rate Strikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.0zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 625 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateBat speedSweet-spot rate In-zone contact +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.59 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 564 PA 0.59 Whiff rateOppo ratePull rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.4zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 House, Brady WSH · R · 308 PA 0.58 Swing lengthSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Chase rate +1.6zPull rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 302 PA 0.58 Pull rateOppo rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 350 PA 0.55 Whiff rateHard-hit rateChase rate Ground-ball rate -2.0zFly-ball rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 626 PA 0.54 Barrel rateOppo rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 566 PA 0.53 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactSwing length Chase rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 590 PA 0.53 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Springer, George TOR · R · 463 PA 0.53 Walk rateMax exit velocitySprint speed Ground-ball rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.