The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Marte, Ketel in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats L · 420 PA
Ranked comps for Marte, Ketel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 420 PA | 0.66 | Barrel rateWhiff rateGround-ball rate | Max exit velocity -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.2zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | García Jr., Luis WSH · L · 341 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Chase rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 272 PA | 0.61 | Bat speedFly-ball rateSprint speed | In-zone contact -1.3zIsolated power +1.2zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 398 PA | 0.57 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate | Max exit velocity -1.5zIn-zone contact -1.3zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 459 PA | 0.55 | Hard-hit rateChase rateFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity -1.7zSprint speed +1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 385 PA | 0.54 | Fly-ball ratePull rateAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +1.7zWhiff rate +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 363 PA | 0.54 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Walk rate +1.8zPull rate -1.7zOppo rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Springer, George TOR · R · 316 PA | 0.52 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity -1.9zChase rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 321 PA | 0.49 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateBat speed | Strikeout rate +1.8zMax exit velocity -1.5zIn-zone contact -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 248 PA | 0.49 | Fly-ball rateChase rateWalk rate | In-zone contact -1.8zStrikeout rate +1.8zWhiff rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA | 0.49 | Whiff rateBat speedGround-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Harris II, Michael ATL · L · 378 PA | 0.48 | Ground-ball rateBat speedAvg exit velocity | Chase rate +2.2zPull rate -2.0zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.