The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Gelof, Zack in signal, the comp in amber.

ATH · bats R · 447 PA

Ranked comps for Gelof, Zack

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 512 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Pull rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z
02 Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 687 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Max exit velocity +1.4zWalk rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2z
03 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.60 Whiff rateOppo rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.8zIn-zone contact +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2z
04 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 665 PA 0.60 Whiff rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate +2.1zPull rate +1.0zOppo rate -1.0z
05 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.59 Bat speedHard-hit rateStrikeout rate Isolated power -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.2z
06 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 601 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactSwing lengthIsolated power In-zone contact +1.7zPull rate +1.5zChase rate +1.2z
07 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 514 PA 0.58 Isolated powerBat speedFly-ball rate Oppo rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.2zSwing length +1.2z
08 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA 0.58 Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +1.7zIsolated power -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.2z
09 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.57 xwOBA on contactOppo rateGround-ball rate Max exit velocity +1.7zChase rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.1z
10 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 543 PA 0.56 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3zSwing length +1.3z
11 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.56 Whiff rateBat speedGround-ball rate Sprint speed -2.2zIn-zone contact +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.3z
12 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactFly-ball ratePull rate Isolated power -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.