The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Aranda, Jonathan in signal, the comp in amber.
TB · bats L · 712 PA
Ranked comps for Aranda, Jonathan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 491 PA | 0.77 | Bat speedOppo ratePull rate | Chase rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.0zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 711 PA | 0.75 | Chase rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Fly-ball rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 703 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactChase rateOppo rate | Sprint speed +1.7zBat speed +1.2zBarrel rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactPull rateAvg exit velocity | Bat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA | 0.65 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Sprint speed +1.7zOppo rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Busch, Michael CHC · L · 736 PA | 0.65 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactIsolated power | Pull rate +1.2zWalk rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactWalk rate | Ground-ball rate +1.6zSwing length +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateSprint speedIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.1zBat speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | France, Ty SD · R · 548 PA | 0.64 | Hard-hit rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate -1.2zSwing length +1.1zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA | 0.64 | Chase rateWalk rateBarrel rate | Bat speed +1.5zWhiff rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 478 PA | 0.63 | Whiff rateSprint speedWalk rate | Fly-ball rate -1.6zBat speed +1.3zSwing length +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA | 0.63 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityOppo rate | Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.