The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 261 qualified hitters (226+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Aranda, Jonathan in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 467 PA

Ranked comps for Aranda, Jonathan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 467 PA 0.75 Chase ratexwOBA on contactWhiff rate Strikeout rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 491 PA 0.73 Strikeout rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 302 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityOppo rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.5zChase rate -1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 400 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Pull rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 461 PA 0.64 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactOppo rate Sprint speed +1.9zBat speed +1.4zBarrel rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Moreno, Gabriel AZ · R · 339 PA 0.63 Swing lengthIsolated powerMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA 0.63 Pull rateIsolated powerWalk rate Sprint speed +2.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 377 PA 0.61 Bat speedIsolated powerOppo rate Fly-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 299 PA 0.60 Swing lengthGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Strikeout rate -1.5zOppo rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Contreras, William MIL · R · 437 PA 0.58 Chase rateBarrel ratePull rate Fly-ball rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 475 PA 0.58 Max exit velocityChase ratePull rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zSwing length +1.3zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 409 PA 0.58 Isolated powerSwing lengthChase rate Fly-ball rate -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.2zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.