The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cowser, Colton in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats L · 361 PA

Ranked comps for Cowser, Colton

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.74 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Chase rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.1zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 584 PA 0.71 Sprint speedIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Swing length -1.3zPull rate +1.0zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 371 PA 0.70 Oppo rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate Walk rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 569 PA 0.68 Pull rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity +1.5zWalk rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 421 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateChase rate Oppo rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 371 PA 0.66 In-zone contactStrikeout rateWhiff rate Sprint speed -2.0zBarrel rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 546 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityWhiff rateSwing length Walk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 392 PA 0.64 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Avg exit velocity +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 331 PA 0.64 Chase rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.3zWalk rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 434 PA 0.64 Chase rateGround-ball ratePull rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.1zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 529 PA 0.63 Sweet-spot rateChase rateStrikeout rate Pull rate +2.4zSwing length +1.0zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 478 PA 0.62 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Pull rate +1.5zStrikeout rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.