Mithrandir Metrics
BAL American League East Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

Baltimore Orioles

85.3-76.7 with P10-P90 wins 75-95. 80.9 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
85.3-76.7
Live pace
75.6
Delta
-9.7
Record 28-32 Run diff -38 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace75.6
Rolling p5080.3
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
69.9 74.8 80.3 85.8 90.7
MOVE -4.7 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.31
October path

Projection odds

Division17.3%
Playoffs60.2%
Pennant8.9%
World Series4.4%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.272
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.31
Run diff42.8
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CRutschman, Adley4582.99
1BAlonso, Pete64810.19
2BHolliday, Jackson5571.26
SSHenderson, Gunnar6009.83
3BWestburg, Jordan4301.79
LFWard, Taylor6154.38
CFCowser, Colton4480.51
RFO'Neill, Tyler3611.65
DHMayo, Coby358-0.72