Mithrandir Metrics
TEX American League West Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Texas Rangers

83.1-78.9 with P10-P90 wins 73-93. 81.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.1-78.9
Live pace
76.9
Delta
-6.2
Record 28-31 Run diff 7 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace76.9
Rolling p5080.0
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
69.4 74.4 80.0 85.5 90.5
MOVE -3.0 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.38
October path

Projection odds

Division22.3%
Playoffs46.4%
Pennant6.6%
World Series2.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.21
Bullpen FIP4.38
Run diff20.2
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CJansen, Danny406-0.80
1BBurger, Jake4601.85
2BDuran, Ezequiel350-1.15
3BJung, Josh4840.30
LFLangford, Wyatt5564.96
CFCarter, Evan3360.53
RFNimmo, Brandon6154.50
DHPederson, Joc4083.63