Mithrandir Metrics
TEX American League West Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Texas Rangers

83.1-78.9 with P10-P90 wins 73-93. 81.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.1-78.9
Live pace
79.9
Delta
-3.2
Record 70-72 Run diff -43 Generated 2026-09-05T11:48:43.555975+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace79.9
Rolling p5080.8
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
71.7 76.0 80.8 85.6 89.9
MOVE -2.2 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.38
October path

Projection odds

Division22.3%
Playoffs46.4%
Pennant6.6%
World Series2.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.21
Bullpen FIP4.38
Run diff20.2
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-05; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-04.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDíaz, Elias385-1.42
1BBurger, Jake4601.85
2BDuran, Ezequiel350-1.15
SSSeager, Corey4848.47
3BFreeman, Cody2620.30
LFLangford, Wyatt5564.96
CFCarter, Evan3360.53
RFNimmo, Brandon6154.50
DHPederson, Joc4083.63
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Jung, JoshHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Higashioka, KyleHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Helman, MichaelHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Eovaldi, NathanPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Leiter, JackPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Beeks, JalenPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Garcia, RobertPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Winn, ColePitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Corniell, JosePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Osuna, AlejandroHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors