The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jeffers, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats R · 319 PA

Ranked comps for Jeffers, Ryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.72 In-zone contactChase rateWhiff rate Pull rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 537 PA 0.70 Bat speedAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Strikeout rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.66 Chase rateMax exit velocityIsolated power Ground-ball rate +1.6zWhiff rate +0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 381 PA 0.66 Pull rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Walk rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2zGround-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 610 PA 0.62 Swing lengthMax exit velocityBarrel rate In-zone contact -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Moreno, Gabriel AZ · R · 471 PA 0.62 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Oppo rate +1.8zIsolated power -1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Contreras, William MIL · R · 567 PA 0.61 Swing lengthBat speedOppo rate Isolated power -1.7zWalk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 392 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateBat speedFly-ball rate Barrel rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Springer, George TOR · R · 463 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityChase rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.60 Sprint speedChase rateStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 500 PA 0.59 Walk rateFly-ball rateWhiff rate Oppo rate -1.9zPull rate +1.1zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 504 PA 0.58 Oppo rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zBarrel rate -1.3zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.