The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Machado, Manny in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 593 PA

Ranked comps for Machado, Manny

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 562 PA 0.79 Fly-ball rateChase rateGround-ball rate Walk rate -1.1zOppo rate -0.8zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 564 PA 0.78 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Walk rate -1.2zSwing length -1.1zSweet-spot rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 381 PA 0.75 Barrel rateBat speedPull rate Sweet-spot rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.0zWhiff rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.72 Walk rateOppo rateChase rate In-zone contact +1.2zSprint speed +1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 534 PA 0.69 Oppo rateStrikeout rateIsolated power Swing length -1.3zBarrel rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.67 Bat speedWalk rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed +1.5zIsolated power +1.1zIn-zone contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 386 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.5zIn-zone contact -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 393 PA 0.66 Isolated powerIn-zone contactBat speed Swing length -1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.1zHard-hit rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 331 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityOppo rateBarrel rate Swing length -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 425 PA 0.65 Chase rateGround-ball rateSprint speed Isolated power +1.3zSwing length -1.1zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 302 PA 0.65 In-zone contactSweet-spot rateChase rate Swing length -1.6zIsolated power -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Contreras, William MIL · R · 567 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Swing length -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.3zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.