Mithrandir Metrics
ATH American League West Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Athletics

79.2-82.8 with P10-P90 wins 70-89. 81.3 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
79.2-82.8
Live pace
64.0
Delta
-15.2
Record 64-98 Run diff -238 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason79.0
Current pace64.0
Rolling p5068.1
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
60.1 63.9 68.1 72.2 76.0
MOVE -10.9 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.42
October path

Projection odds

Division12.3%
Playoffs30.4%
Pennant3.1%
World Series1.4%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.256
Rotation FIP4.58
Bullpen FIP4.42
Run diff-17.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CLangeliers, Shea5271.23
1BWhite, Tommy202-0.30
2BMcNeil, Jeff481-0.55
SSHernaiz, Darell316-0.42
3BMuncy, Max319-0.63
LFCortes, Carlos out of position2510.67
CFClarke, Denzel280-0.78
RFButler, Lawrence5722.55
DHHeim, Jonah474-0.88
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Rooker, BrentHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Soderstrom, TylerHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Wilson, JacobHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Kurtz, NickHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Severino, LuisPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Ginn, J.t.PitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Hoglund, GunnarPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Sterner, JustinPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Leiter Jr., MarkPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Kriske, BrooksPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day