Mithrandir Metrics
ATH American League West Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Athletics

79.2-82.8 with P10-P90 wins 70-89. 81.3 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
79.2-82.8
Live pace
76.9
Delta
-2.4
Record 28-31 Run diff -34 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason79.0
Current pace76.9
Rolling p5077.9
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
67.5 72.5 77.9 83.4 88.3
MOVE -1.1 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.42
October path

Projection odds

Division12.3%
Playoffs30.4%
Pennant3.1%
World Series1.4%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.256
Rotation FIP4.58
Bullpen FIP4.42
Run diff-17.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CLangeliers, Shea5271.23
1BKurtz, Nick4476.38
2BMcNeil, Jeff481-0.55
SSHernaiz, Darell316-0.42
3BMuncy, Max319-0.63
LFSoderstrom, Tyler5443.17
CFNone204-0.35
RFButler, Lawrence5722.55
DHRooker, Brent6219.44