Mithrandir Metrics
DET American League Central Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Detroit Tigers

84.5-77.5 with P10-P90 wins 75-94. 80.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
84.5-77.5
Live pace
59.4
Delta
-25.1
Record 22-38 Run diff -39 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace59.4
Rolling p5072.2
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
62.8 67.3 72.2 77.1 81.6
MOVE -12.8 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.36
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs58.9%
Pennant9.0%
World Series3.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.266
Rotation FIP3.99
Bullpen FIP4.36
Run diff24.5
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDingler, Dillon4712.36
1BTorkelson, Spencer5974.31
2BTorres, Gleyber6205.25
SSShort, Zack245-0.46
3BKeith, Colt5153.53
LFGreene, Riley6228.28
CFVierling, Matt3130.42
RFCarpenter, Kerry4995.50
DHMcKinstry, Zach519-0.03