Mithrandir Metrics
DET American League Central Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Detroit Tigers

84.5-77.5 with P10-P90 wins 75-94. 80.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
84.5-77.5
Live pace
76.0
Delta
-8.5
Record 76-86 Run diff 71 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace76.0
Rolling p5078.4
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
69.9 73.9 78.4 82.9 87.0
MOVE -6.6 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.36
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs58.9%
Pennant9.0%
World Series3.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.266
Rotation FIP3.99
Bullpen FIP4.36
Run diff24.5
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Carpenter, KerryHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Vierling, MattHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Pérez, WenceelHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Meadows, ParkerHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Olson, ReesePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Vest, WillPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Horn, BaileyPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day