Mithrandir Metrics
DET American League Central Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Detroit Tigers

84.5-77.5 with P10-P90 wins 75-94. 80.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
84.5-77.5
Live pace
75.0
Delta
-9.5
Record 63-73 Run diff 65 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace75.0
Rolling p5078.1
Observed weight69%
Rolling wins
69.2 73.4 78.1 82.8 87.0
MOVE -6.9 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.36
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs58.9%
Pennant9.0%
World Series3.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.266
Rotation FIP3.99
Bullpen FIP4.36
Run diff24.5
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-31.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDingler, Dillon4712.36
1BTorkelson, Spencer5974.31
2BTorres, Gleyber6205.25
SSMcGonigle, Kevin202-0.17
3BLee, Hao-Yu203-0.26
LFCallahan, Brett----
CFClark, Max202-0.06
RFMcKinstry, Zach519-0.03
DHKeith, Colt5153.53
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Greene, RileyHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Carpenter, KerryHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Vierling, MattHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Pérez, WenceelHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Meadows, ParkerHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Olson, ReesePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Flaherty, JackPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Hurter, BrantPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Vest, WillPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Horn, BaileyPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Julks, CoreyHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Brieske, BeauPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
De Jesus, EnmanuelPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors