The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bogaerts, Xander in signal, the comp in amber.
SD · bats R · 530 PA
Ranked comps for Bogaerts, Xander
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA | 0.78 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Chase rate +0.9zGround-ball rate -0.8zSwing length +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA | 0.67 | Sprint speedStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Isolated power +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactSwing lengthWhiff rate | Bat speed +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 438 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedMax exit velocity | Strikeout rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.0zxwOBA on contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 447 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.64 | Sprint speedGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 444 PA | 0.63 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate -1.8zBat speed -1.1zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 316 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 375 PA | 0.62 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | In-zone contact +1.1zPull rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 464 PA | 0.61 | Bat speedIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Ground-ball rate -2.1zSwing length -1.6zIn-zone contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA | 0.60 | Pull rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 314 PA | 0.60 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityChase rate | Oppo rate +1.8zPull rate -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.