The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abrams, CJ in signal, the comp in amber.

WSH · bats L · 675 PA

Ranked comps for Abrams, CJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA 0.77 Strikeout rateChase rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity -0.9zBarrel rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 493 PA 0.76 Bat speedStrikeout rateIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0zBarrel rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.70 Whiff rateBat speedIn-zone contact Swing length +1.3zFly-ball rate +0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 601 PA 0.70 xwOBA on contactBat speedIsolated power Swing length -1.2zFly-ball rate +0.9zMax exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.67 Bat speedHard-hit ratePull rate Isolated power -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.67 Pull rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Isolated power -1.8zSwing length +1.0zGround-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 708 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateChase rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 687 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate -1.1zChase rate -1.1zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.65 Bat speedMax exit velocityIsolated power Swing length -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.1zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.