Mithrandir Metrics
ATL National League East Refreshed Oct 20 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Atlanta Braves

89.3-72.7 with P10-P90 wins 80-99. 80.5 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
89.3-72.7
Live pace
94.0
Delta
+4.7
Record 94-68 Run diff 116 Generated 2026-10-20T11:50:28.634887+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason89.0
Current pace94.0
Rolling p5092.6
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
83.2 87.7 92.6 97.6 102.1
MOVE +3.6 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.18
October path

Projection odds

Division34.9%
Playoffs77.4%
Pennant14.9%
World Series8.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.275
Rotation FIP4.12
Bullpen FIP4.18
Run diff77.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-20; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-10-07.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CMurphy, Sean3960.39
1BOlson, Matt6459.59
2BAlbies, Ozzie5921.36
SSDubón, Mauricio451-1.34
3BRiley, Austin4844.79
LFYastrzemski, Mike5371.57
CFHarris II, Michael5824.36
RFAcuña Jr., Ronald4308.31
DHBaldwin, Drake4362.74
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Schwellenbach, SpencerPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Strider, SpencerPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Jiménez, JoePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day