Mithrandir Metrics
ATL National League East Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Atlanta Braves

89.3-72.7 with P10-P90 wins 80-99. 80.5 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
89.3-72.7
Live pace
94.5
Delta
+5.2
Record 56-40 Run diff 106 Generated 2026-07-17T11:44:53.145921+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason89.0
Current pace94.5
Rolling p5092.4
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
81.8 86.8 92.4 98.0 103.0
MOVE +3.4 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.18
October path

Projection odds

Division34.9%
Playoffs77.4%
Pennant14.9%
World Series8.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.275
Rotation FIP4.12
Bullpen FIP4.18
Run diff77.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CBaldwin, Drake4362.74
1BOlson, Matt6459.59
2BAlbies, Ozzie5921.36
SSKim, Ha-Seong3441.11
3BRiley, Austin4844.79
LFDubón, Mauricio451-1.34
CFHarris II, Michael5824.36
RFAcuña Jr.., Ronald4308.31
DHBart, Joey406-0.84