Mithrandir Metrics
ATL National League East Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Atlanta Braves

89.3-72.7 with P10-P90 wins 80-99. 80.5 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
89.3-72.7
Live pace
108.0
Delta
+18.7
Record 40-20 Run diff 109 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason89.0
Current pace108.0
Rolling p5098.5
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
86.6 92.2 98.5 104.8 110.4
MOVE +9.5 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.18
October path

Projection odds

Division34.9%
Playoffs77.4%
Pennant14.9%
World Series8.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.275
Rotation FIP4.12
Bullpen FIP4.18
Run diff77.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CTromp, Chadwick226-1.21
1BOlson, Matt6459.59
2BAlbies, Ozzie5921.36
SSDubón, Mauricio451-1.34
3BRiley, Austin4844.79
LFYastrzemski, Mike5371.57
CFHarris II, Michael5824.36
RFAcuña Jr.., Ronald4308.31
DHWhite, Eli353-0.99