Mithrandir Metrics
CHC National League Central Refreshed Oct 20 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

Chicago Cubs

85.5-76.5 with P10-P90 wins 76-95. 80.2 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
85.5-76.5
Live pace
89.0
Delta
+3.5
Record 89-73 Run diff 147 Generated 2026-10-20T11:50:28.634887+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace89.0
Rolling p5087.9
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
78.7 83.1 87.9 92.8 97.1
MOVE +2.9 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.34
October path

Projection odds

Division44.4%
Playoffs60.8%
Pennant9.2%
World Series4.4%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.270
Rotation FIP4.40
Bullpen FIP4.34
Run diff35.5
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-20.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CKelly, Carson462-0.86
1BBusch, Michael5747.15
2BHoerner, Nico6120.21
SSSwanson, Dansby6023.31
3BBregman, Alex5332.56
LFHapp, Ian6205.65
CFCrow-Armstrong, Pete5842.14
RFSuzuki, Seiya6056.54
DHConforto, Michael4992.37
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Steele, JustinPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Brown, BenPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Maton, PhilPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Miller, ShelbyPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Hodge, PorterPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Harvey, HunterPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Martin, RileyPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day