Mithrandir Metrics
SEA American League West Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Seattle Mariners

85.4-76.6 with P10-P90 wins 76-95. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
85.4-76.6
Live pace
83.7
Delta
-1.7
Record 31-29 Run diff 30 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace83.7
Rolling p5084.3
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
73.6 78.7 84.3 90.0 95.1
MOVE -0.7 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.30
October path

Projection odds

Division35.0%
Playoffs58.8%
Pennant10.0%
World Series4.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.269
Rotation FIP4.25
Bullpen FIP4.30
Run diff41.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CGarver, Mitch4060.41
1BNaylor, Josh6102.12
2BYoung, Cole330-0.20
SSCrawford, J.p.6103.31
3BMastrobuoni, Miles312-0.47
LFArozarena, Randy6654.82
CFRodríguez, Julio6557.21
RFRaley, Luke3720.67
DHCanzone, Dominic3791.55