Mithrandir Metrics
SEA American League West Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Seattle Mariners

85.4-76.6 with P10-P90 wins 76-95. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
85.4-76.6
Live pace
76.0
Delta
-9.4
Record 76-86 Run diff -58 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason85.0
Current pace76.0
Rolling p5078.4
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
69.9 73.9 78.4 82.9 87.0
MOVE -6.6 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.30
October path

Projection odds

Division35.0%
Playoffs58.8%
Pennant10.0%
World Series4.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.269
Rotation FIP4.25
Bullpen FIP4.30
Run diff41.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Raley, LukeHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Player 806068HitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Brash, MattPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day