Mithrandir Metrics
CLE American League Central Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Cleveland Guardians

76.9-85.1 with P10-P90 wins 67-86. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
76.9-85.1
Live pace
81.6
Delta
+4.7
Record 69-68 Run diff -2 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason77.0
Current pace81.6
Rolling p5080.2
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
71.0 75.3 80.2 85.0 89.4
MOVE +3.2 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.42
October path

Projection odds

Division11.0%
Playoffs21.1%
Pennant1.9%
World Series0.8%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.251
Rotation FIP4.35
Bullpen FIP4.42
Run diff-45.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-30.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHedges, Austin----
1BLowe, Nathaniel----
2BBazzana, Travis----
SSRocchio, Brayan---0.63
3BGenao, Angel----
LFAdell, Jo----
CFKwan, Steven--1.67
RFDeLauter, Chase---0.41
DHRamírez, José--4.92
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Hoskins, RhysHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Cecconi, SladePitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Armstrong, ShawnPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Manzardo, KyleHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Schneemann, DanielHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Kayfus, CjHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Player 696135HitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Walters, AndrewPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors