Mithrandir Metrics
CLE American League Central Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Cleveland Guardians

76.9-85.1 with P10-P90 wins 67-86. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
76.9-85.1
Live pace
90.3
Delta
+13.4
Record 34-27 Run diff 1 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason77.0
Current pace90.3
Rolling p5083.7
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
72.6 77.9 83.7 89.5 94.8
MOVE +6.7 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.42
October path

Projection odds

Division11.0%
Playoffs21.1%
Pennant1.9%
World Series0.8%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.251
Rotation FIP4.35
Bullpen FIP4.42
Run diff-45.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CBailey, Patrick482-0.24
1BManzardo, Kyle5021.36
2BNone202-0.24
SSRocchio, Brayan458-0.63
3BRamírez, José6284.92
LFMartínez, Angel466-1.59
CFKwan, Steven6281.67
RFFry, David324-0.40
DHSchneemann, Daniel448-0.41