Mithrandir Metrics
CLE American League Central Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Cleveland Guardians

76.9-85.1 with P10-P90 wins 67-86. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
76.9-85.1
Live pace
85.0
Delta
+8.1
Record 85-77 Run diff 11 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason77.0
Current pace85.0
Rolling p5082.8
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
73.8 78.1 82.8 87.6 91.8
MOVE +5.8 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.42
October path

Projection odds

Division11.0%
Playoffs21.1%
Pennant1.9%
World Series0.8%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.251
Rotation FIP4.35
Bullpen FIP4.42
Run diff-45.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CBailey, Patrick482-0.24
1BLowe, Nathaniel5740.41
2BBazzana, Travis202-0.24
SSRocchio, Brayan458-0.63
3BRamírez, José6284.92
LFKwan, Steven6281.67
CFHalpin, Petey204-0.62
RFDeLauter, Chase205-0.41
DHAdell, Jo5461.40
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Manzardo, KyleHitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Schneemann, DanielHitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Kayfus, CjHitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Player 696135HitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Hoskins, RhysHitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Holderman, ColinPitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
Walters, AndrewPitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
Yoho, CraigPitcherOut / inactiveForty Man