The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Nathaniel in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats L · 241 PA
Ranked comps for Lowe, Nathaniel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 341 PA | 0.68 | Walk rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.3zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate | Walk rate -1.2zSwing length +1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactBat speedGround-ball rate | Whiff rate +1.6zChase rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 339 PA | 0.63 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Pull rate -1.7zBarrel rate +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA | 0.63 | Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactOppo rate | Isolated power +1.6zFly-ball rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA | 0.62 | Strikeout rateOppo rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zHard-hit rate +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedBarrel rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zxwOBA on contact -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 415 PA | 0.58 | Swing lengthGround-ball rateOppo rate | Strikeout rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.4zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.58 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zxwOBA on contact -1.6zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA | 0.58 | Pull rateGround-ball rateBat speed | Barrel rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.4zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 310 PA | 0.58 | Oppo rateWalk ratePull rate | Fly-ball rate +1.5zSwing length -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.