The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tawa, Tim in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats R · 292 PA
Ranked comps for Tawa, Tim
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.78 | Walk rateChase ratexwOBA on contact | Oppo rate +1.0zGround-ball rate -0.9zIn-zone contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 584 PA | 0.76 | Swing lengthWalk rateFly-ball rate | Avg exit velocity +1.3zWhiff rate -0.9zxwOBA on contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 376 PA | 0.74 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateChase rate | In-zone contact +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 290 PA | 0.72 | Sprint speedBat speedOppo rate | Pull rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 408 PA | 0.72 | Walk rateSweet-spot rateChase rate | Barrel rate -1.4zSwing length +1.1zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Young, Jared NYM · L · 307 PA | 0.70 | Sprint speedIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity +1.4zPull rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 306 PA | 0.70 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Oppo rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 424 PA | 0.69 | Max exit velocityBat speedWhiff rate | Hard-hit rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 296 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.9zOppo rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 302 PA | 0.69 | In-zone contactWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.8zOppo rate +1.6zBarrel rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 635 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateChase rateGround-ball rate | Pull rate +1.4zBat speed +1.0zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 517 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedWhiff rateStrikeout rate | Oppo rate +1.7zHard-hit rate -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.