The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Butler, Lawrence in signal, the comp in amber.

ATH · bats L · 455 PA

Ranked comps for Butler, Lawrence

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 626 PA 0.77 Chase rateOppo rateSwing length Sprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 446 PA 0.77 Oppo rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0zWalk rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 590 PA 0.70 Whiff rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Isolated power +1.2zBat speed -0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 539 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 302 PA 0.64 Sweet-spot rateWhiff ratePull rate Max exit velocity -1.3zWalk rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 432 PA 0.62 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 386 PA 0.62 Hard-hit rateOppo rateSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.4zBarrel rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 625 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityBat speedMax exit velocity In-zone contact +1.6zSwing length +1.5zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 296 PA 0.60 Swing lengthWhiff rateHard-hit rate Chase rate +1.8zSprint speed -1.3zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 408 PA 0.60 Bat speedAvg exit velocityIsolated power Walk rate -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.60 Pull rateBarrel rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 339 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateSwing lengthOppo rate Strikeout rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.