The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Butler, Lawrence in signal, the comp in amber.

ATH · bats L · 297 PA

Ranked comps for Butler, Lawrence

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 307 PA 0.76 In-zone contactGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -1.2zSwing length +1.1zSprint speed +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 388 PA 0.68 Ground-ball rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 349 PA 0.63 Isolated powerStrikeout rateWhiff rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zFly-ball rate +1.4zBarrel rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityChase rate Ground-ball rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 411 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityWhiff rateSwing length Pull rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 441 PA 0.52 Oppo rateBat speedWalk rate Strikeout rate -1.7zSwing length +1.7zIn-zone contact +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 448 PA 0.52 Swing lengthWhiff rateChase rate Isolated power +1.6zSprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 347 PA 0.50 Walk rateHard-hit rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Julien, Edouard COL · L · 274 PA 0.48 Isolated powerStrikeout rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +2.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 212 PA 0.46 Whiff rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -1.8zWalk rate -1.7zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 335 PA 0.46 Walk rateBarrel rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate -2.4zFly-ball rate +1.8zIn-zone contact +1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Freeland, Alex LAD · L · 241 PA 0.46 Barrel rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact Max exit velocity -2.1zFly-ball rate +1.6zPull rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.