Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-05-24 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 11.6%market | +7.7pp |
P
13.0
F
17.9
V
13.4
|
4.9pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 735 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLMartín Pérez · slot 5 |
11.6%Valinor | 9.7%market | +6.4pp |
P
6.2
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
9.3pp | 1.021xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 900 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
J.p. Crawford
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1 |
10.2%Valinor | 10.9%market | +6.3pp |
P
3.6
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
9.9pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 790 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLMartín Pérez · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 13.3%market | +6.2pp |
P
15.6
F
17.9
V
13.4
|
2.4pp | 1.021xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 1 |
11.6%Valinor | 12.0%market | +6.1pp |
P
14.4
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
1.1pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 705 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Dane Myers
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 6 |
19.5%Valinor | 9.6%market | +5.9pp |
P
18.1
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
7.8pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Edouard Julien
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 6 |
10.7%Valinor | 10.9%market | +5.8pp |
P
4.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
10.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 790 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Alec Burleson
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.3%market | +5.8pp |
P
15.5
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
2.4pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.9%market | +5.6pp |
P
19.7
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
1.7pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 545 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLMartín Pérez · slot 3 |
8.3%Valinor | 10.5%market | +5.6pp |
P
4.2
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
6.9pp | 1.021xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.5%market | +5.5pp |
P
11.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
6.3pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 565 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Austin Hays
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 5 |
12.9%Valinor | 11.7%market | +5.5pp |
P
12.4
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.8pp | 0.988xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 725 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Willi Castro
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 1 |
10.2%Valinor | 9.8%market | +5.3pp |
P
5.6
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
8.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 885 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Wenceel Pérez
DET
IN
|
DET vs BALBrandon Young · slot 7 |
10.0%Valinor | 12.0%market | +5.2pp |
P
7.1
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
6.2pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 705 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Masataka Yoshida
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 10.6%market | +5.1pp |
P
5.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
12.3pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 815 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 4 |
10.0%Valinor | 12.5%market | +5.1pp |
P
7.3
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
6.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 8 |
12.9%Valinor | 13.3%market | +5.1pp |
P
9.1
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
8.1pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 18 | Lineup pending | CWS vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 4 |
11.8%Valinor | 11.7%market | +4.7pp |
P
11.7
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
4.0pp | 0.988xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 19 | IN | KC vs SEABryan Woo · slot 6 |
10.2%Valinor | 12.8%market | +4.7pp |
P
8.8
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
4.7pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Cole Young
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6 |
10.7%Valinor | 9.8%market | +4.6pp |
P
3.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
10.5pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 885 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 7 |
8.3%Valinor | 13.7%market | +4.4pp |
P
10.1
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
1.0pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 3 |
10.0%Valinor | 12.9%market | +4.2pp |
P
10.1
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.2pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 645 avg 3 books |
| 23 | Lineup pending | AZ vs COLJose Quintana · slot 5 |
10.0%Valinor | 13.8%market | +4.1pp |
P
9.1
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
4.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 595 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Spencer Horwitz
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs TORDylan Cease · slot 1 |
12.9%Valinor | 14.1%market | +4.0pp |
P
12.6
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.6pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 25 | Lineup pending | AZ vs COLJose Quintana · slot 3 |
11.8%Valinor | 8.9%market | +4.0pp |
P
9.0
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
6.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 990 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2 |
14.7%Valinor | 14.8%market | +3.8pp |
P
14.5
F
19.6
V
14.7
|
5.0pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 27 | IN | KC vs SEABryan Woo · slot 7 |
8.3%Valinor | 8.9%market | +3.7pp |
P
3.3
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
7.8pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 985 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Iván Herrera
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 2 |
13.4%Valinor | 12.5%market | +3.7pp |
P
16.7
F
17.9
V
13.4
|
1.2pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PITMitch Keller · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.5%market | +3.7pp |
P
12.9
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
5.0pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.8%market | +3.7pp |
P
13.3
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
4.6pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 31 | IN | KC vs SEABryan Woo · slot 1 |
10.7%Valinor | 8.5%market | +3.6pp |
P
12.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
2.2pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Paul Goldschmidt
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 5 |
11.8%Valinor | 12.6%market | +3.5pp |
P
11.4
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
4.3pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 665 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Brice Turang
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 1 |
11.8%Valinor | 10.0%market | +3.4pp |
P
12.9
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
2.8pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 5 |
12.9%Valinor | 15.9%market | +3.4pp |
P
12.7
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.6pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 35 | Lineup pending | MIL vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 12.5%market | +3.1pp |
P
10.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.9pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Carlos Narváez
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 7 |
10.2%Valinor | 12.6%market | +3.1pp |
P
3.8
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
9.7pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 665 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs TORDylan Cease · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 14.0%market | +3.1pp |
P
10.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.4pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 38 | IN | KC vs SEABryan Woo · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 17.2%market | +3.0pp |
P
15.6
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
1.6pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 2 |
11.6%Valinor | 12.3%market | +3.0pp |
P
9.2
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
6.3pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 40 | IN | KC vs SEABryan Woo · slot 3 |
19.5%Valinor | 17.2%market | +2.9pp |
P
16.9
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
9.0pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3 |
12.9%Valinor | 16.7%market | +2.8pp |
P
12.4
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.8pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Ryan McMahon
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 8 |
10.7%Valinor | 13.3%market | +2.6pp |
P
10.4
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.8pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Christian Walker
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 18.0%market | +2.5pp |
P
13.2
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.0pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 435 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2 |
14.7%Valinor | 16.4%market | +2.4pp |
P
14.1
F
19.6
V
14.7
|
5.5pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 6 |
10.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.4pp |
P
2.2
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
11.2pp | 0.988xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Luke Raley
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5 |
11.7%Valinor | 16.2%market | +2.4pp |
P
10.1
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
5.4pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
James Wood
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLMartín Pérez · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 15.9%market | +2.3pp |
P
17.2
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
0.7pp | 1.021xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Mitch Garver
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 8 |
11.8%Valinor | 14.6%market | +2.2pp |
P
19.0
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
3.3pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 560 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Leody Taveras
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 7 |
0.0%Valinor | 9.6%market | +2.0pp |
P
2.2
F
0.0
V
0.0
|
2.2pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 910 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 17.5%market | +1.9pp |
P
15.0
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
2.2pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 450 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Victor Scott II
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 1 |
0.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.7pp |
P
1.7
F
0.0
V
0.0
|
1.7pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Dominic Canzone
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7 |
13.5%Valinor | 15.4%market | +1.6pp |
P
20.0
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
2.0pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 525 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Jake Rogers
DET
IN
|
DET vs BALBrandon Young · slot 8 |
7.8%Valinor | 14.6%market | +1.5pp |
P
6.7
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
3.6pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 560 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDMichael King · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.9%market | +1.5pp |
P
12.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
5.2pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 545 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 7 |
10.7%Valinor | 11.9%market | +1.4pp |
P
9.9
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.3pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 705 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Oneil Cruz
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs TORDylan Cease · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.5%market | +1.3pp |
P
17.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
0.4pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 565 avg 3 books |
| 57 | Lineup pending | AZ vs COLJose Quintana · slot 1 |
12.9%Valinor | 16.0%market | +1.2pp |
P
15.9
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
1.3pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 500 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Ernie Clement
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PITMitch Keller · slot 7 |
8.3%Valinor | 9.2%market | +1.2pp |
P
3.3
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
7.7pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 945 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDMichael King · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.0%market | +1.1pp |
P
14.2
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
3.7pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 60 | IN | KC vs SEABryan Woo · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 17.8%market | +1.1pp |
P
12.6
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
4.6pp | 1.025xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 440 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 1 |
5.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.1pp |
P
2.0
F
6.6
V
5.0
|
4.6pp | 0.988xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Josh Bell
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 14.8%market | +1.1pp |
P
9.9
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.3pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 63 | IN | BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 4 |
10.7%Valinor | 16.2%market | +0.9pp |
P
11.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
2.5pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Zach Neto
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.9%market | +0.9pp |
P
14.4
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
3.5pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Nick Gonzales
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs TORDylan Cease · slot 4 |
10.0%Valinor | 8.2%market | +0.9pp |
P
3.7
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
9.7pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1075 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Coby Mayo
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 6 |
10.2%Valinor | 14.1%market | +0.7pp |
P
4.3
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
9.2pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 4 |
11.7%Valinor | 16.7%market | +0.3pp |
P
12.5
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
3.0pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Jahmai Jones
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.6%market | +0.3pp |
P
19.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
1.9pp | 0.955xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 69 | IN | TOR vs PITMitch Keller · slot 3 |
12.9%Valinor | 16.6%market | +0.2pp |
P
12.0
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
5.2pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 480 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Austin Wells
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 9 |
12.9%Valinor | 14.8%market | +0.2pp |
P
11.5
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
5.7pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 18.2%market | -0.2pp |
P
20.7
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
2.8pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
José Caballero
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 7 |
3.5%Valinor | 8.0%market | -0.4pp |
P
4.6
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
0.2pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1100 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1 |
2.1%Valinor | 10.6%market | -0.4pp |
P
2.4
F
2.8
V
2.1
|
0.4pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 810 avg 3 books |
| 74 | Lineup pending | DET vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 5 |
12.9%Valinor | 17.1%market | -0.5pp |
P
13.6
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
3.6pp | 0.955xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 3 |
10.0%Valinor | 17.7%market | -0.6pp |
P
5.9
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
7.5pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 5 |
11.6%Valinor | 16.1%market | -0.6pp |
P
10.8
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
4.7pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 500 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
George Springer
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PITMitch Keller · slot 1 |
11.8%Valinor | 18.2%market | -0.7pp |
P
13.4
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
2.3pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 2 |
10.0%Valinor | 17.6%market | -0.8pp |
P
11.9
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
1.5pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2 |
11.8%Valinor | 19.5%market | -1.0pp |
P
11.5
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
4.2pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 395 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 5 |
11.7%Valinor | 21.2%market | -1.4pp |
P
14.4
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
1.1pp | 1.044xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 1 |
13.0%Valinor | 19.5%market | -1.5pp |
P
13.8
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
3.5pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 395 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PITMitch Keller · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 19.3%market | -1.6pp |
P
10.1
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.2pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 400 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Trent Grisham
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 19.9%market | -1.7pp |
P
17.3
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
0.6pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 18.0%market | -1.9pp |
P
13.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
4.3pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 19.4%market | -1.9pp |
P
18.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
0.6pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs COLJose Quintana · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 21.5%market | -1.9pp |
P
15.5
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
1.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 365 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Mike Trout
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 19.8%market | -2.0pp |
P
16.1
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
1.8pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 405 avg 3 books |
| 88 | IN | NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 6 |
11.7%Valinor | 19.2%market | -2.8pp |
P
15.0
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
0.5pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 5 |
11.8%Valinor | 20.4%market | -3.6pp |
P
13.2
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
2.5pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 390 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Brent Rooker
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDMichael King · slot 2 |
10.7%Valinor | 21.5%market | -3.6pp |
P
11.1
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.1pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 365 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Jo Adell
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 20.8%market | -3.9pp |
P
16.6
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
0.6pp | 0.943xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs TORDylan Cease · slot 2 |
11.8%Valinor | 22.2%market | -4.1pp |
P
16.2
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
0.5pp | 0.904xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 350 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDMichael King · slot 3 |
10.2%Valinor | 20.8%market | -4.5pp |
P
10.4
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.1pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs DETFramber Valdez · slot 4 |
10.2%Valinor | 23.0%market | -5.6pp |
P
11.9
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
1.7pp | 0.913xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 335 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Byron Buxton
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 3 |
11.7%Valinor | 21.1%market | -6.2pp |
P
12.5
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
3.0pp | 0.869xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 96 | Lineup pending | TB vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 22.7%market | -6.5pp |
P
18.3
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
0.4pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 340 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs SDMichael King · slot 1 |
8.6%Valinor | 27.0%market | -9.2pp |
P
10.8
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
0.6pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Aaron Judge
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 2 |
12.0%Valinor | 31.2%market | -12.8pp |
P
15.1
F
15.7
V
12.0
|
0.6pp | 0.897xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 220 avg 3 books |
Data context
783 sample flagsStatus1526roster/transaction rows
Lineups63confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.