Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-06-02 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
93
Matched
327
Lineups
216
HR BOARD 2026-06-02 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3
 26.0%Fangorn 12.7%market +13.2pp
P 20.4
F 26.0
V 26.0
5.5pp 1.045xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
02
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2
 26.0%Fangorn 14.2%market +11.7pp
P 20.6
F 26.0
V 26.0
5.4pp 1.045xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
03
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs LADEric Lauer · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 8.9%market +9.1pp
P 19.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.8pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 990 avg 3 books
04
Nathan Lukes TOR
IN
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 9.1%market +8.1pp
P 15.4
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.8pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
05
Evan Carter TEX
IN
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 11.0%market +6.2pp
P 18.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.5pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
06
Brandon Marsh PHI
IN
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 11.0%market +6.2pp
P 15.3
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
07
Jakob Marsee MIA
IN
MIA vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 10.1%market +5.6pp
P 17.3
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.6pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 855 avg 3 books
08
Ryan O'Hearn PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 13.0%market +4.9pp
P 17.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.3pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
09
Jesús Sánchez TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 12.3%market +4.9pp
P 14.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.0pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
10
Alec Burleson STL
IN
STL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 13.3%market +4.7pp
P 18.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.1pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
11
Spencer Horwitz PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 6
 15.7%Fangorn 11.3%market +4.4pp
P 14.9
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.8pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 750 avg 3 books
12
Bo Bichette NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3
 15.7%Fangorn 11.7%market +4.0pp
P 16.5
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.8pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
13
Jarren Duran BOS
IN
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 1
 15.7%Fangorn 11.8%market +3.9pp
P 19.8
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.0pp 0.992xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
14
Trevor Larnach MIN
IN
MIN vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 7
 15.5%Fangorn 11.9%market +3.6pp
P 15.7
F 15.5
V 15.5
0.2pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 705 avg 3 books
15
Alec Bohm PHI
IN
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 10.7%market +3.5pp
P 14.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.1pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 805 avg 3 books
16
José Caballero NYY
IN
NYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1
 11.1%Fangorn 7.9%market +3.2pp
P 12.2
F 11.1
V 11.1
1.1pp 1.028xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books
17
Elly De La Cruz CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 15.0%market +2.9pp
P 20.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.5pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
18
Spencer Steer CIN
IN
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 14.4%market +2.8pp
P 18.7
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.5pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
19
Wyatt Langford TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 14.4%market +2.8pp
P 19.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.3pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
20
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 15.6%market +2.3pp
P 19.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.8pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 515 avg 3 books
21
Corbin Carroll AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs LADEric Lauer · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 16.0%market +1.9pp
P 20.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
22
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 2
 13.6%Fangorn 11.7%market +1.8pp
P 15.0
F 13.6
V 13.6
1.4pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
23
Mookie Betts LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 15.4%market +1.8pp
P 19.7
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.5pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
24
Freddie Freeman LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.7pp
P 22.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.5pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
25
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 16.3%market +1.6pp
P 20.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.0pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
26
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
IN
SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 16.4%market +1.5pp
P 20.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.9pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
27
Trea Turner PHI
IN
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 14.1%market +1.4pp
P 18.6
F 15.5
V 15.5
3.1pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
28
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 13.0%market +1.2pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.8pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
29
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 13.5%market +0.8pp
P 17.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.9pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
30
Josh Bell MIN
IN
MIN vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 4
 15.5%Fangorn 14.8%market +0.7pp
P 17.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.9pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 550 avg 3 books
31
Cedric Mullins TB
Lineup pending
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 13.6%market +0.6pp
P 17.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.8pp 1.045xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
32
Lane Thomas KC
IN
KC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 13.9%market -0.5pp
P 13.5
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.1pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
33
Nick Castellanos SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 14.9%market -0.7pp
P 17.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.7pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
34
Daniel Schneemann CLE
IN
CLE vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6
 9.1%Fangorn 11.1%market -2.0pp
P 13.4
F 9.1
V 9.1
4.4pp 1.028xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 800 avg 3 books
35
Marcus Semien NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5
 11.1%Fangorn 13.8%market -2.6pp
P 13.6
F 11.1
V 11.1
2.4pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
36
Jackson Merrill SD
IN
SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 16.3%market -2.9pp
P 20.2
F 13.4
V 13.4
6.8pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
37
Tyler Fitzgerald SF
Lineup pending
SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 6
 0.0%Fangorn 12.1%market -12.1pp
P 13.4
F 0.0
V 0.0
13.4pp 0.892xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 725 avg 3 books
38
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 12.5%market +5.4pp
P 20.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.6pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
39
Tyler Soderstrom ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 14.0%market +3.9pp
P 20.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.8pp 0.900xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
40
Xavier Edwards MIA
IN
MIA vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 1
 11.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.4pp
P 9.7
F 11.1
V 11.1
1.4pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
41
Lawrence Butler ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 14.9%market +3.0pp
P 18.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.8pp 0.900xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
42
Wilyer Abreu BOS
IN
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 15.5%market +2.4pp
P 19.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.8pp 0.992xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
43
Steven Kwan CLE
IN
CLE vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2
 11.1%Fangorn 8.7%market +2.4pp
P 10.4
F 11.1
V 11.1
0.6pp 1.028xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
44
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 15.2%market +2.0pp
P 15.3
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
45
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
IN
KC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 16.0%market +1.9pp
P 19.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.6pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
46
Luis Arraez SF
IN
SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 1
 9.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +1.4pp
P 7.6
F 9.1
V 9.1
1.4pp 0.892xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
47
Jake Mangum PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 1
 9.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +1.4pp
P 9.2
F 9.1
V 9.1
0.1pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
48
Matt Chapman SF
IN
SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 15.9%market +1.3pp
P 17.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.0pp 0.892xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
49
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.1pp
P 16.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.1pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
50
Cody Bellinger NYY
IN
NYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 19.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.6pp 1.028xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
51
Jorge Polanco NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 17.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.1pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
52
Mike Yastrzemski ATL
IN
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 13.5%market +0.8pp
P 14.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.3pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
53
Joc Pederson TEX
IN
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 14.8%market -0.6pp
P 13.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
54
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 14.1%market -0.7pp
P 14.0
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.6pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
55
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
IN
KC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -1.1pp
P 20.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.9pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
56
Mike Trout LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 19.2%market -1.3pp
P 20.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.2pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
57
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 18.7%market -1.5pp
P 19.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
58
Willson Contreras BOS
IN
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 15.9%market -1.7pp
P 18.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.6pp 0.992xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
59
Manny Machado SD
IN
SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 18.9%market -1.7pp
P 19.7
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.5pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
60
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 19.6%market -1.7pp
P 17.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.0pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
61
Kyle Tucker LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 19.1%market -1.8pp
P 20.4
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.2pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
62
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 5
 15.7%Fangorn 17.9%market -2.1pp
P 17.1
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.4pp 1.028xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
63
Bryce Harper PHI
IN
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 19.6%market -2.4pp
P 20.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.7pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
64
Brandon Lowe PIT
IN
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 20.4%market -3.2pp
P 19.6
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.4pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
65
José Ramírez CLE
IN
CLE vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 20.4%market -3.2pp
P 19.4
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.2pp 1.028xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
66
Kyle Manzardo CLE
IN
CLE vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -3.3pp
P 17.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.6pp 1.028xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
67
George Springer TOR
IN
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -3.5pp
P 17.5
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.3pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
68
Ketel Marte AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs LADEric Lauer · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 21.5%market -3.6pp
P 21.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
69
Adolis García PHI
IN
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -3.8pp
P 15.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.6pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
70
Byron Buxton MIN
IN
MIN vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 21.1%market -3.8pp
P 16.7
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.5pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
71
Jorge Soler LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 17.2%market -3.9pp
P 14.9
F 13.4
V 13.4
1.5pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
72
Daulton Varsho TOR
IN
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4
 13.6%Fangorn 17.5%market -4.0pp
P 14.8
F 13.6
V 13.6
1.2pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
73
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 22.0%market -4.1pp
P 18.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.1pp 1.045xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
74
Willy Adames SF
IN
SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -4.1pp
P 18.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.6pp 0.892xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
75
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 19.2%market -5.0pp
P 16.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.9pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
76
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL
IN
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 19.4%market -5.2pp
P 15.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.0pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
77
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 4
 11.4%Fangorn 17.0%market -5.5pp
P 12.3
F 11.4
V 11.4
0.9pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
78
Jake Burger TEX
IN
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 19.2%market -5.9pp
P 12.3
F 13.4
V 13.4
1.1pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
79
Rafael Devers SF
IN
SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 20.2%market -6.0pp
P 16.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.6pp 0.892xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
80
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 24.1%market -6.2pp
P 18.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.6pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
81
Shea Langeliers ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -6.6pp
P 17.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.8pp 0.900xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
82
Corey Seager TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 2
 15.5%Fangorn 22.5%market -7.0pp
P 17.0
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.5pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
83
Brent Rooker ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 21.5%market -7.3pp
P 17.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.6pp 0.900xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
84
Marcell Ozuna PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 2
 13.6%Fangorn 21.1%market -7.5pp
P 16.2
F 13.6
V 13.6
2.6pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
85
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 21.7%market -7.5pp
P 16.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.3pp 0.884xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
86
Luke Keaschall MIN
IN
MIN vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 1
 3.4%Fangorn 11.0%market -7.6pp
P 12.6
F 3.4
V 3.4
9.2pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 810 avg 3 books
87
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1
 0.0%Fangorn 8.0%market -8.0pp
P 5.1
F 0.0
V 0.0
5.1pp 1.045xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
88
Victor Scott II STL
IN
STL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1
 0.0%Fangorn 8.0%market -8.0pp
P 7.2
F 0.0
V 0.0
7.2pp 0.961xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
89
Eugenio Suárez CIN
IN
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 22.5%market -8.3pp
P 17.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.6pp 0.958xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
90
Kyle Schwarber PHI
IN
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 27.0%market -9.8pp
P 19.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
91
Shohei Ohtani LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 29.8%market -11.9pp
P 20.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.1pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books
92
Aaron Judge NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 31.2%market -13.3pp
P 19.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.9pp 1.028xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 220 avg 3 books
93
Nick Kurtz ATH
IN
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1
 11.4%Fangorn 27.0%market -15.6pp
P 18.1
F 11.4
V 11.4
6.6pp 0.900xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books

Data context

778 sample flags
Status1566roster/transaction rows
Lineups216confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.