Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-06-02 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 1 |
15.7%Valinor | 11.8%market | +7.3pp |
P
19.8
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
4.0pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 02 | Lineup pending | AZ vs LADEric Lauer · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 8.9%market | +6.5pp |
P
19.7
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 990 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 6 |
17.2%Valinor | 11.0%market | +6.3pp |
P
15.3
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.9pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 10.7%market | +6.0pp |
P
14.3
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.1pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 2 |
15.7%Valinor | 10.1%market | +5.7pp |
P
17.3
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
1.6pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 06 | IN | SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 15.5%market | +5.6pp |
P
20.2
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
6.8pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 07 | Lineup pending | SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.2%market | +5.5pp |
P
17.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.7pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.0%market | +5.3pp |
P
17.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.3pp | 0.957xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.2%market | +5.2pp |
P
22.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 10 | IN | TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3 |
26.0%Valinor | 12.7%market | +5.2pp |
P
20.4
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
5.5pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +5.1pp |
P
17.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.9pp | 0.957xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2 |
26.0%Valinor | 14.2%market | +5.1pp |
P
20.6
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
5.4pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Spencer Horwitz
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 6 |
15.7%Valinor | 11.3%market | +5.0pp |
P
14.9
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
0.8pp | 0.957xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 755 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1 |
15.5%Valinor | 14.1%market | +4.9pp |
P
18.6
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
3.1pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 15 | Lineup pending | TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 13.6%market | +4.3pp |
P
17.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.8pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 2 |
13.6%Valinor | 11.7%market | +4.3pp |
P
15.0
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
1.4pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.0%market | +4.2pp |
P
20.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.5pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Alec Burleson
STL
IN
|
STL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.3%market | +4.2pp |
P
18.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.1pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 14.4%market | +4.0pp |
P
18.7
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.5pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 20 | IN | CLE vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6 |
9.1%Valinor | 10.6%market | +4.0pp |
P
13.4
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
4.4pp | 1.028xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 21 | Lineup pending | SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 6 |
0.0%Valinor | 11.6%market | +3.9pp |
P
13.4
F
0.0
V
0.0
|
13.4pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 730 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 6 |
17.2%Valinor | 11.0%market | +3.8pp |
P
18.8
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.5pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 13.0%market | +3.7pp |
P
15.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.8pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 15.4%market | +3.6pp |
P
19.7
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 525 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 14.4%market | +3.6pp |
P
19.5
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.3pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5 |
13.4%Valinor | 13.3%market | +3.5pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
0.1pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 7 |
15.5%Valinor | 11.9%market | +3.3pp |
P
15.7
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
0.2pp | 0.977xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 705 avg 3 books |
| 28 | IN | SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.4%market | +3.3pp |
P
20.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.9pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 4 |
15.5%Valinor | 14.8%market | +3.3pp |
P
17.4
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
1.9pp | 0.977xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3 |
15.7%Valinor | 11.7%market | +3.3pp |
P
16.5
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
0.8pp | 0.901xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
José Caballero
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1 |
11.1%Valinor | 7.9%market | +3.2pp |
P
12.2
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
1.1pp | 1.028xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5 |
11.1%Valinor | 13.2%market | +3.2pp |
P
13.6
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
2.4pp | 0.901xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 630 avg 3 books |
| 33 | Lineup pending | AZ vs LADEric Lauer · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.0%market | +3.2pp |
P
20.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 500 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.6%market | +3.2pp |
P
19.7
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.8pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 12.3%market | +3.2pp |
P
14.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.0pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 6 |
17.2%Valinor | 9.1%market | +3.1pp |
P
15.4
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.8pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 37 | IN | KC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 17.3%market | +2.6pp |
P
20.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.9pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 455 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Zach Neto
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.3%market | +2.5pp |
P
20.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.0pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 490 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 5 |
13.4%Valinor | 13.5%market | +2.4pp |
P
14.0
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
0.6pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 12.5%market | +2.3pp |
P
20.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.6pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 41 | IN | BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 15.2%market | +2.1pp |
P
18.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
4.6pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 535 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 14.9%market | +2.0pp |
P
18.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.8pp | 0.900xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 545 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | +2.0pp |
P
19.8
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.6pp | 1.028xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 44 | IN | SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 18.0%market | +1.9pp |
P
19.7
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.5pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 435 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 18.1%market | +1.9pp |
P
20.4
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 430 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2 |
11.1%Valinor | 8.7%market | +1.7pp |
P
10.4
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
0.6pp | 1.028xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.1%market | +1.6pp |
P
13.3
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.9pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 5 |
17.9%Valinor | 14.0%market | +1.6pp |
P
20.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.8pp | 0.900xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Matt Chapman
SF
IN
|
SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 15.9%market | +1.6pp |
P
17.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.0pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 18.7%market | +1.4pp |
P
20.9
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.7pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 415 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 6 |
14.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +1.3pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.3pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 16.4%market | +1.3pp |
P
14.9
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
1.5pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.5%market | +1.1pp |
P
19.7
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.8pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 15.2%market | +1.1pp |
P
15.3
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.9pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 530 avg 3 books |
| 55 | IN | KC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.0%market | +0.9pp |
P
19.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.6pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 500 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 1 |
3.4%Valinor | 10.5%market | +0.9pp |
P
12.6
F
3.4
V
3.4
|
9.2pp | 0.977xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Adolis García
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.0%market | +0.7pp |
P
15.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.6pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 465 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs LADEric Lauer · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 20.2%market | +0.7pp |
P
21.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 375 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | +0.5pp |
P
17.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.1pp | 0.901xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 60 | IN | KC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 17.8%market | +0.5pp |
P
19.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.9pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 440 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Victor Scott II
STL
IN
|
STL vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1 |
0.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +0.5pp |
P
7.2
F
0.0
V
0.0
|
7.2pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 62 | IN | TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.4%market | -0.1pp |
P
16.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.1pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.7%market | -0.3pp |
P
18.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
4.6pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
José Ramírez
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 19.9%market | -0.5pp |
P
19.4
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.2pp | 1.028xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 1 |
9.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | -0.6pp |
P
9.2
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
0.1pp | 0.957xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Mike Trout
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 18.8%market | -0.7pp |
P
20.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.2pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.1%market | -0.8pp |
P
17.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.6pp | 1.028xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
George Springer
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.1%market | -0.8pp |
P
17.5
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.3pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 1 |
9.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | -0.9pp |
P
7.6
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
1.4pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 70 | IN | NYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 5 |
15.7%Valinor | 17.4%market | -1.3pp |
P
17.1
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
1.4pp | 1.028xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 4 |
11.4%Valinor | 16.4%market | -1.6pp |
P
12.3
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
0.9pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Max Muncy
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 6 |
14.2%Valinor | 18.8%market | -1.7pp |
P
16.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4 |
13.6%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.7pp |
P
14.8
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
1.2pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 20.4%market | -1.8pp |
P
19.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.4pp | 0.957xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 390 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 2 |
13.6%Valinor | 21.1%market | -2.2pp |
P
16.2
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
2.6pp | 0.957xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Jo Adell
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 19.6%market | -2.2pp |
P
17.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.0pp | 0.972xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 77 | IN | SF vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 20.2%market | -2.5pp |
P
16.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.6pp | 0.892xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 22.5%market | -2.7pp |
P
17.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.6pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 345 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 1 |
11.1%Valinor | 8.0%market | -2.7pp |
P
9.7
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
1.4pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Brent Rooker
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 21.5%market | -3.0pp |
P
17.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.6pp | 0.900xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 365 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Corey Seager
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 2 |
15.5%Valinor | 22.5%market | -3.1pp |
P
17.0
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
1.5pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 345 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs STLDustin May · slot 4 |
13.4%Valinor | 19.2%market | -3.2pp |
P
12.3
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
1.1pp | 0.961xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 19.4%market | -3.6pp |
P
15.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.0pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 20.8%market | -3.9pp |
P
17.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.8pp | 0.900xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 21.7%market | -4.0pp |
P
16.6
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.3pp | 0.884xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Byron Buxton
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 21.1%market | -4.2pp |
P
16.7
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.5pp | 0.977xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 87 | IN | TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1 |
0.0%Valinor | 8.0%market | -4.3pp |
P
5.1
F
0.0
V
0.0
|
5.1pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Juan Soto
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 24.1%market | -4.9pp |
P
18.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.6pp | 0.901xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 315 avg 3 books |
| 89 | IN | TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 22.0%market | -5.1pp |
P
18.0
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.1pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 27.0%market | -7.0pp |
P
19.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.9pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 29.8%market | -8.2pp |
P
20.0
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.1pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 235 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1 |
11.4%Valinor | 27.0%market | -8.6pp |
P
18.1
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
6.6pp | 0.900xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Aaron Judge
NYY
Lineup pending
|
NYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 31.2%market | -10.2pp |
P
19.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.9pp | 1.028xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 220 avg 3 books |
Data context
778 sample flagsStatus1566roster/transaction rows
Lineups216confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.