Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-09-10 · saved artifact ROWS 62 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 0.5

Lane Health 2026-09-10

Palantir 9239 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.048 14d stable

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Model Lane

Total Bases

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Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 67.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	32.7%Under prob · Palantir	14.1%no-vig	-1.01%	2.789count	0.6972prob	1.5613proj	1.085context	BetMGM -610 avg 1 books
02	Yandy DíazTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 66.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.1%Under prob · Palantir	14.7%no-vig	-1.04%	2.6736count	0.6726prob	1.5222proj	0.985context	BetMGM -580 avg 1 books
03	Cody BellingerNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 66.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.7%Under prob · Palantir	15.7%no-vig	-1.00%	2.836count	0.6914prob	1.4909proj	1.084context	BetMGM -535 avg 1 books
04	Aaron JudgeNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 66.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.0%Under prob · Palantir	16.3%no-vig	-0.94%	3.4812count	0.7588prob	1.4689proj	1.084context	BetMGM -515 avg 1 books
05	Corey SeagerTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 65.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.6%Under prob · Palantir	17.2%no-vig	-1.05%	2.9023count	0.6939prob	1.4147proj	1.011context	BetMGM -480 avg 1 books
06	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 65.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.7%Under prob · Palantir	17.4%no-vig	-1.07%	2.8915count	0.6977prob	1.4261proj	1.085context	BetMGM -475 avg 1 books
07	Ronald Acuña Jr.ATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 65.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.6%Under prob · Palantir	17.2%no-vig	-0.96%	2.7328count	0.6698prob	1.4151proj	1.06context	BetMGM -480 avg 1 books
08	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 65.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.0%Under prob · Palantir	17.9%no-vig	-1.07%	2.8289count	0.6966prob	1.3845proj	1.028context	BetMGM -460 avg 1 books
09	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 64.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.1%Under prob · Palantir	18.0%no-vig	-1.06%	2.3667count	0.6326prob	1.3671proj	1.085context	BetMGM -455 avg 1 books
10	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 64.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.2%Under prob · Palantir	18.3%no-vig	-0.99%	2.5617count	0.653prob	1.3691proj	1.012context	BetMGM -445 avg 1 books
11	Julio RodríguezSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 64.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.3%Under prob · Palantir	18.5%no-vig	-0.97%	2.577count	0.6502prob	1.3744proj	1.012context	BetMGM -440 avg 1 books
12	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 64.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.4%Under prob · Palantir	18.7%no-vig	-0.97%	2.9066count	0.6917prob	1.3811proj	1.06context	BetMGM -435 avg 1 books
13	Jeremy PeñaHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 64.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.4%Under prob · Palantir	18.7%no-vig	-0.96%	2.2925count	0.6134prob	1.3693proj	1.028context	BetMGM -435 avg 1 books
14	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 63.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.5%Under prob · Palantir	20.4%no-vig	-1.01%	2.2664count	0.591prob	1.2967proj	1.028context	BetMGM -390 avg 1 books
15	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 63.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.4%Under prob · Palantir	20.4%no-vig	-0.90%	2.534count	0.6489prob	1.2928proj	1.06context	BetMGM -390 avg 1 books
16	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 63.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.7%Under prob · Palantir	20.8%no-vig	-0.91%	2.3741count	0.6183prob	1.2921proj	1.06context	BetMGM -380 avg 1 books
17	Brendan DonovanSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 63.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.9%Under prob · Palantir	21.1%no-vig	-0.97%	2.1159count	0.5824prob	1.259proj	1.012context	BetMGM -375 avg 1 books
18	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 62.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.2%Under prob · Palantir	21.5%no-vig	-1.11%	2.4238count	0.6263prob	1.2682proj	1.011context	BetMGM -365 avg 1 books
19	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 62.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.3%Under prob · Palantir	21.7%no-vig	-0.94%	2.3723count	0.6092prob	1.2393proj	1.06context	BetMGM -360 avg 1 books
20	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 62.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.8%Under prob · Palantir	22.5%no-vig	-1.10%	2.6206count	0.6502prob	1.2123proj	0.985context	BetMGM -345 avg 1 books
21	Jazz Chisholm Jr.NYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 62.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.8%Under prob · Palantir	22.5%no-vig	-1.00%	2.5213count	0.6262prob	1.2349proj	1.084context	BetMGM -345 avg 1 books
22	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 61.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	38.6%Under prob · Palantir	23.8%no-vig	-1.05%	2.137count	0.5718prob	1.1715proj	1.06context	BetMGM -320 avg 1 books
23	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 61.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	38.9%Under prob · Palantir	24.4%no-vig	-0.86%	2.1268count	0.5795prob	1.1619proj	1.085context	BetMGM -310 avg 1 books
24	Adolis GarcíaPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 60.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.1%Under prob · Palantir	24.7%no-vig	-0.94%	2.3994count	0.6185prob	1.1698proj	1.085context	BetMGM -305 avg 1 books
25	Wyatt LangfordTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 60.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.5%Under prob · Palantir	25.3%no-vig	-0.98%	2.1776count	0.5829prob	1.1553proj	1.011context	BetMGM -295 avg 1 books
26	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 60.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.8%Under prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	-1.10%	2.8182count	0.6524prob	1.1526proj	1.085context	BetMGM -290 avg 1 books
27	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 60.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.7%Under prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	-0.89%	2.7329count	0.6633prob	1.1478proj	1.012context	BetMGM -290 avg 1 books
28	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 60.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.0%Under prob · Palantir	26.0%no-vig	-1.00%	2.2631count	0.5977prob	1.1233proj	1.028context	BetMGM -285 avg 1 books
29	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 59.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.3%Under prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	-1.15%	1.9413count	0.5283prob	1.0913proj	1.028context	BetMGM -280 avg 1 books
30	Carlos CorreaHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 60.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	39.9%Under prob · Palantir	26.0%no-vig	-0.96%	1.9476count	0.5393prob	1.1158proj	1.028context	BetMGM -285 avg 1 books
31	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 59.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.2%Under prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	-0.99%	2.3035count	0.6043prob	1.1068proj	1.011context	BetMGM -280 avg 1 books
32	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 59.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.4%Under prob · Palantir	26.7%no-vig	-0.93%	1.8311count	0.5081prob	1.096proj	1.085context	BetMGM -275 avg 1 books
33	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 59.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.6%Under prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	-0.94%	1.9536count	0.5419prob	1.081proj	1.085context	BetMGM -270 avg 1 books
34	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 59.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.8%Under prob · Palantir	27.4%no-vig	-0.96%	1.9247count	0.5351prob	1.0697proj	1.084context	BetMGM -265 avg 1 books
35	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 59.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	40.8%Under prob · Palantir	27.4%no-vig	-0.94%	1.9096count	0.5286prob	1.0816proj	0.916context	BetMGM -265 avg 1 books
36	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 58.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	41.4%Under prob · Palantir	28.2%no-vig	-1.06%	2.1767count	0.5872prob	1.057proj	0.916context	BetMGM -255 avg 1 books
37	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 58.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	41.9%Under prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-1.05%	2.0151count	0.5526prob	1.0388proj	1.012context	BetMGM -245 avg 1 books
38	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 58.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	41.8%Under prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-0.88%	1.9659count	0.5319prob	1.0279proj	1.012context	BetMGM -245 avg 1 books
39	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 57.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.2%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	-1.10%	2.2016count	0.5862prob	1.0241proj	1.084context	BetMGM -240 avg 1 books
40	Giancarlo StantonNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 58.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	41.8%Under prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-0.80%	2.4188count	0.6142prob	1.0428proj	1.084context	BetMGM -245 avg 1 books
41	Josh JungTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 57.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.6%Under prob · Palantir	29.9%no-vig	-1.16%	1.8053count	0.5022prob	0.9966proj	1.011context	BetMGM -235 avg 1 books
42	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs TBNick Martinez	P 57.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.1%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	-0.92%	2.0802count	0.5641prob	1.0306proj	1.06context	BetMGM -240 avg 1 books
43	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 57.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.4%Under prob · Palantir	29.9%no-vig	-0.92%	1.9926count	0.5393prob	1.0202proj	1.028context	BetMGM -235 avg 1 books
44	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 57.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	42.4%Under prob · Palantir	29.9%no-vig	-0.89%	1.3552count	0.3902prob	1.0016proj	0.985context	BetMGM -235 avg 1 books
45	Jasson DomínguezNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 57.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	42.7%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	-0.93%	1.7814count	0.49prob	0.9974proj	1.084context	BetMGM -230 avg 1 books
46	Joc PedersonTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 55.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	44.2%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	-1.22%	1.9291count	0.533prob	0.9539proj	1.011context	BetMGM -210 avg 1 books
47	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 55.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	44.2%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	-1.14%	1.6188count	0.4592prob	0.959proj	0.916context	BetMGM -210 avg 1 books
48	Brenton DoyleCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 56.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	43.7%Under prob · Palantir	31.7%no-vig	-0.89%	1.7441count	0.4856prob	0.9756proj	0.916context	BetMGM -215 avg 1 books
49	Evan CarterTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 56.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	44.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	-0.95%	1.8369count	0.5292prob	0.9559proj	1.011context	BetMGM -210 avg 1 books
50	Luke RaleySEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 54.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	45.5%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	-0.89%	1.8397count	0.5211prob	0.9004proj	1.012context	BetMGM -190 avg 1 books
51	Josh SmithTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 54.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	45.4%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	-0.77%	1.525count	0.4422prob	0.9014proj	1.011context	BetMGM -190 avg 1 books
52	Joey LoperfidoHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 54.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	46.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	-0.99%	1.504count	0.4203prob	0.8865proj	1.028context	BetMGM -185 avg 1 books
53	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 53.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	46.6%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	-1.18%	1.8613count	0.4956prob	0.8772proj	1.084context	BetMGM -180 avg 1 books
54	Jordan BeckCOL	COL vs NYYMax Fried	P 53.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	46.9%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	-0.92%	1.4686count	0.418prob	0.861proj	0.916context	BetMGM -175 avg 1 books
55	Victor RoblesSEA	SEA vs TEXJacob deGrom	P 51.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	48.6%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	-1.25%	1.2192count	0.3602prob	0.7895proj	1.012context	BetMGM -160 avg 1 books
56	Jake MeyersHOU	HOU vs PHIZack Wheeler	P 52.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	47.8%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	-0.89%	1.3399count	0.388prob	0.8151proj	1.028context	BetMGM -165 avg 1 books
57	Justyn-Henry MalloyTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 50.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	49.8%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	-1.24%	1.4156count	0.4129prob	0.7688proj	0.985context	BetMGM -150 avg 1 books
58	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 50.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	49.4%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	-0.69%	1.5238count	0.4499prob	0.7769proj	0.985context	BetMGM -150 avg 1 books
59	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs ATLMartín Pérez	P 50.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	50.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	-0.69%	1.3306count	0.3979prob	0.7371proj	0.985context	BetMGM -145 avg 1 books
60	José CaballeroNYY	NYY vs COLRyan Feltner	P 49.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	50.6%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	-0.63%	1.2401count	0.3603prob	0.7538proj	1.084context	BetMGM -140 avg 1 books
61	Danny JansenTEX	TEX vs SEALogan Gilbert	P 46.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	53.9%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	-1.11%	1.3569count	0.4043prob	0.6742proj	1.011context	BetMGM -120 avg 1 books
62	Edmundo SosaPHI	PHI vs HOUCristian Javier	P 44.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	55.6%Under prob · Palantir	47.6%no-vig	-1.09%	1.1354count	0.3579prob	0.604proj	1.085context	BetMGM -110 avg 1 books