The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McMahon, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 331 PA

Ranked comps for McMahon, Ryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 569 PA 0.80 Isolated powerMax exit velocityOppo rate Sprint speed +1.5zBat speed +0.8zGround-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 434 PA 0.77 Barrel rateOppo rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9zHard-hit rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 371 PA 0.72 Pull rateStrikeout rateSwing length Oppo rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.0zBarrel rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 566 PA 0.69 Sprint speedWalk rateOppo rate Isolated power +1.1zHard-hit rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 307 PA 0.68 Avg exit velocityOppo rateMax exit velocity Chase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 398 PA 0.68 Bat speedSprint speedSwing length Walk rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +0.9zxwOBA on contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 343 PA 0.68 Sprint speedFly-ball rateChase rate Oppo rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -0.9zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 305 PA 0.67 Swing lengthOppo rateWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.1zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 540 PA 0.67 Oppo rateBat speedBarrel rate Sprint speed +1.4zWalk rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Greene, Riley DET · L · 525 PA 0.67 Whiff rateSwing lengthHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 546 PA 0.66 Walk ratePull ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 300 PA 0.66 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityOppo rate Fly-ball rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.