Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-05-25 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
106
Matched
354
Lineups
81
HR BOARD 2026-05-25 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Miguel Vargas CWS
IN
CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3
 26.0%Fangorn 12.5%market +13.5pp
P 18.8
F 26.0
V 19.5
7.2pp 1.050xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
02
Alec Burleson STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3
 26.0%Fangorn 14.1%market +11.8pp
P 17.0
F 26.0
V 19.5
8.9pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
03
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 3
 26.0%Fangorn 14.4%market +11.6pp
P 18.4
F 26.0
V 19.5
7.5pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
04
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 2
 26.0%Fangorn 14.6%market +11.4pp
P 20.2
F 26.0
V 19.5
5.8pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 560 avg 3 books
05
Christian Yelich MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 4
 26.0%Fangorn 16.3%market +9.7pp
P 15.0
F 26.0
V 19.5
11.0pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
06
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3
 26.0%Fangorn 17.2%market +8.8pp
P 17.1
F 26.0
V 19.5
8.8pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
07
Blake Perkins MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 7
 15.7%Fangorn 7.7%market +8.0pp
P 10.1
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.7pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1150 avg 3 books
08
Brice Turang MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 10.1%market +7.8pp
P 14.5
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.4pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 855 avg 3 books
09
Bo Bichette NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 3
 19.6%Fangorn 12.1%market +7.5pp
P 14.4
F 19.6
V 14.7
5.2pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform FanDuel 695 avg 3 books
10
Maikel Garcia KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1
 15.7%Fangorn 8.5%market +7.2pp
P 12.9
F 15.7
V 11.8
2.8pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books
11
Jeremy Peña HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 11.2%market +6.0pp
P 10.7
F 17.2
V 12.9
6.5pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
12
Nick Gonzales PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 8.2%market +6.0pp
P 4.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
9.7pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1075 avg 3 books
13
Andrew Benintendi CWS
IN
CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 13.0%market +4.9pp
P 15.2
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.7pp 1.050xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
14
William Contreras MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 13.0%market +4.9pp
P 13.3
F 17.9
V 13.5
4.6pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
15
Jesús Sánchez TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 12.3%market +4.9pp
P 12.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.0pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
16
Brandon Marsh PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 6
 15.7%Fangorn 11.0%market +4.8pp
P 12.2
F 15.7
V 11.8
3.6pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
17
Steven Kwan CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs WSHZack Littell · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 8.7%market +4.7pp
P 5.1
F 13.4
V 10.0
8.2pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
18
Paul Goldschmidt NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 12.6%market +4.6pp
P 12.7
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.5pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 665 avg 3 books
19
Jordan Walker STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4
 15.7%Fangorn 11.5%market +4.3pp
P 7.6
F 15.7
V 11.8
8.1pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
20
Luis Rengifo MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 10.0%market +4.3pp
P 8.7
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.5pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 870 avg 3 books
21
Masyn Winn STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 6
 13.6%Fangorn 9.4%market +4.1pp
P 8.1
F 13.6
V 10.2
5.4pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 925 avg 3 books
22
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 13.9%market +4.0pp
P 14.5
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.5pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
23
Spencer Horwitz PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 14.1%market +3.8pp
P 14.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
24
Andrew Vaughn MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 13.7%market +3.6pp
P 13.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.0pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
25
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 14.4%market +3.6pp
P 13.9
F 17.9
V 13.5
4.0pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
26
Willi Castro COL
Lineup pending
COL vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 9.8%market +3.5pp
P 5.1
F 13.4
V 10.0
8.2pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
27
Oneil Cruz PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 14.5%market +3.5pp
P 19.9
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.0pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 565 avg 3 books
28
Randy Arozarena SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 13.8%market +3.4pp
P 12.5
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.7pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
29
Lawrence Butler ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 14.9%market +3.0pp
P 13.8
F 17.9
V 13.5
4.1pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
30
Edouard Julien COL
Lineup pending
COL vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 6
 13.6%Fangorn 10.9%market +2.7pp
P 3.8
F 13.6
V 10.2
9.8pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
31
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 10.7%market +2.7pp
P 5.9
F 13.4
V 10.0
7.4pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 805 avg 3 books
32
Isaac Collins KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 7
 11.1%Fangorn 8.9%market +2.2pp
P 3.5
F 11.1
V 8.4
7.6pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 985 avg 3 books
33
Luis García Jr. WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 12.4%market +1.8pp
P 11.4
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.8pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 675 avg 3 books
34
Freddie Freeman LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.7pp
P 14.2
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.7pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
35
Josh Naylor SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 12.1
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.1pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
36
Jac Caglianone KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6
 13.6%Fangorn 12.8%market +0.7pp
P 8.9
F 13.6
V 10.2
4.6pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
37
Jackson Chourio MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 16.6%market +0.7pp
P 7.1
F 17.2
V 12.9
10.1pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 480 avg 3 books
38
Michael Conforto CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 13.8%market +0.4pp
P 15.2
F 14.2
V 10.7
1.0pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
39
Mookie Betts LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 5
 15.7%Fangorn 16.1%market -0.4pp
P 11.2
F 15.7
V 11.8
4.6pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
40
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 14.7%market -0.5pp
P 12.3
F 14.2
V 10.7
1.9pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
41
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 16.3%market -0.5pp
P 13.9
F 15.7
V 11.8
1.8pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
42
Trea Turner PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 14.8%market -0.6pp
P 10.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
3.4pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
43
Marcus Semien NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 14.3%market -0.9pp
P 12.2
F 13.4
V 10.0
1.2pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 600 avg 3 books
44
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 15.2%market -0.9pp
P 11.4
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.8pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
45
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 18.2%market -1.0pp
P 15.8
F 17.2
V 12.9
1.4pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
46
Nick Castellanos SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 15.4%market -1.2pp
P 9.6
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.6pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
47
Daylen Lile WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3
 10.3%Fangorn 11.6%market -1.2pp
P 3.8
F 10.3
V 7.8
6.5pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 765 avg 3 books
48
Ezequiel Tovar COL
Lineup pending
COL vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 4
 11.1%Fangorn 13.1%market -1.9pp
P 6.7
F 11.1
V 8.4
4.4pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 665 avg 3 books
49
Daniel Schneemann CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs WSHZack Littell · slot 6
 9.1%Fangorn 11.1%market -2.0pp
P 9.3
F 9.1
V 6.8
0.2pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 800 avg 3 books
50
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 1
 25.1%Fangorn 17.2%market +7.9pp
P 18.3
F 25.1
V 18.8
6.8pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
51
Ben Rice NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3
 26.0%Fangorn 18.5%market +7.5pp
P 20.6
F 26.0
V 19.5
5.4pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 420 avg 3 books
52
Trent Grisham NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1
 26.0%Fangorn 19.4%market +6.6pp
P 19.2
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.7pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
53
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 7.7%market +6.5pp
P 2.4
F 14.2
V 10.7
11.9pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
54
Miguel Andujar SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 9.1%market +5.1pp
P 7.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
7.1pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 965 avg 3 books
55
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 3
 13.6%Fangorn 9.3%market +4.2pp
P 7.1
F 13.6
V 10.2
6.4pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
56
Tyler Soderstrom ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 14.0%market +3.9pp
P 15.3
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.6pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
57
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 9.8%market +3.5pp
P 4.7
F 13.4
V 10.0
8.7pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
58
Ramón Laureano SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 14.7%market +3.2pp
P 14.1
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.8pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 555 avg 3 books
59
Luis Arraez SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 1
 10.3%Fangorn 7.7%market +2.7pp
P 1.7
F 10.3
V 7.8
8.6pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
60
Matt Chapman SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 15.4%market +1.8pp
P 13.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.1pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
61
James Wood WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 16.4%market +1.5pp
P 15.8
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.1pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
62
Chase Meidroth CWS
IN
CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 5
 9.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +1.4pp
P 2.2
F 9.1
V 6.8
6.9pp 1.050xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
63
Dansby Swanson CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 9
 14.2%Fangorn 12.9%market +1.3pp
P 12.6
F 14.2
V 10.7
1.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 645 avg 3 books
64
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.1pp
P 12.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.1pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
65
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 17.0%market +0.9pp
P 16.0
F 17.9
V 13.5
1.9pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
66
Cody Bellinger NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 16.7%market +0.5pp
P 13.9
F 17.2
V 12.9
3.3pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
67
Hunter Goodman COL
Lineup pending
COL vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -0.8pp
P 12.9
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.4pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
68
Julio Rodríguez SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -0.8pp
P 14.8
F 17.2
V 12.9
2.5pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
69
Corbin Carroll AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -1.1pp
P 15.8
F 17.2
V 12.9
1.4pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
70
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 18.9%market -1.7pp
P 12.8
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.4pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
71
Isaac Paredes HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 16.0%market -1.8pp
P 10.9
F 14.2
V 10.7
3.3pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
72
Kyle Tucker LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 19.1%market -1.8pp
P 15.3
F 17.2
V 12.9
1.9pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
73
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 19.2%market -2.0pp
P 16.6
F 17.2
V 13.0
0.6pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
74
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 16.3%market -2.0pp
P 11.6
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
75
George Springer TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 17.7%market -2.2pp
P 13.0
F 15.5
V 11.6
2.5pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
76
Bryce Harper PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 19.6%market -2.4pp
P 13.5
F 17.2
V 12.9
3.7pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
77
Michael Busch CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 20.4%market -2.5pp
P 17.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
0.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
78
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 5
 11.1%Fangorn 14.2%market -3.1pp
P 7.8
F 11.1
V 8.3
3.3pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
79
José Ramírez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs WSHZack Littell · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 20.4%market -3.2pp
P 16.7
F 17.2
V 12.9
0.5pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
80
Daulton Varsho TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -3.3pp
P 9.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.1pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
81
Kyle Manzardo CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs WSHZack Littell · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -3.3pp
P 14.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
0.2pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
82
Willy Adames SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -3.5pp
P 13.3
F 14.2
V 10.7
0.9pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
83
Adolis García PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -3.8pp
P 9.7
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.5pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
84
Manny Machado SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 19.6%market -3.9pp
P 12.3
F 15.7
V 11.8
3.4pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
85
Christian Walker HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 18.2%market -4.0pp
P 11.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.7pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
86
Teoscar Hernández LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -4.1pp
P 11.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.7pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
87
Jackson Merrill SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3
 11.1%Fangorn 15.3%market -4.2pp
P 9.8
F 11.1
V 8.3
1.3pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
88
Brandon Lowe PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 22.2%market -4.3pp
P 18.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
0.5pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 350 avg 3 books
89
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 19.2%market -5.0pp
P 12.0
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.2pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
90
Yordan Alvarez HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 20.8%market -5.1pp
P 11.7
F 15.7
V 11.8
4.0pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
91
Nolan Gorman STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 19.4%market -5.2pp
P 12.2
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.0pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
92
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 23.3%market -5.3pp
P 15.7
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.2pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
93
Mark Vientos NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 6
 11.4%Fangorn 17.0%market -5.5pp
P 11.8
F 11.4
V 8.6
0.3pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
94
Ketel Marte AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 2
 15.5%Fangorn 21.1%market -5.5pp
P 13.4
F 15.5
V 11.7
2.1pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
95
Shea Langeliers ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -6.6pp
P 11.3
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.9pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
96
Rafael Devers SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -6.6pp
P 14.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
0.3pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
97
Marcell Ozuna PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 20.4%market -7.1pp
P 10.2
F 13.4
V 10.1
3.1pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
98
Brent Rooker ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 21.5%market -7.3pp
P 12.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.1pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
99
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 25.3%market -7.4pp
P 20.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.5pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 295 avg 3 books
100
Anthony Volpe NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 7
 0.0%Fangorn 8.0%market -8.0pp
P 0.2
F 0.0
V 0.0
0.2pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
101
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1
 0.0%Fangorn 8.0%market -8.0pp
P 0.9
F 0.0
V 0.0
0.9pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
102
Colson Montgomery CWS
IN
CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 25.0%market -10.8pp
P 11.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.4pp 1.050xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 300 avg 3 books
103
Kyle Schwarber PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3
 15.7%Fangorn 27.0%market -11.3pp
P 14.1
F 15.7
V 11.9
1.6pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
104
Shohei Ohtani LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 29.8%market -11.9pp
P 17.6
F 17.9
V 13.5
0.3pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books
105
Nick Kurtz ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 27.0%market -13.7pp
P 11.7
F 13.4
V 10.1
1.6pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
106
Aaron Judge NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 31.2%market -14.0pp
P 16.5
F 17.2
V 13.1
0.7pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 220 avg 3 books

Data context

780 sample flags
Status1513roster/transaction rows
Lineups81confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.