Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2026-05-25 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
106
Matched
354
Lineups
81
HR BOARD 2026-05-25 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Miguel Vargas CWS
IN
CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3
 19.5%Valinor 12.5%market +8.3pp
P 18.8
F 26.0
V 19.5
7.2pp 1.050xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
02
Bo Bichette NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 3
 14.7%Valinor 12.1%market +8.2pp
P 14.4
F 19.6
V 14.7
5.2pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform FanDuel 695 avg 3 books
03
Andrew Benintendi CWS
IN
CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 6
 13.5%Valinor 13.0%market +8.1pp
P 15.2
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.7pp 1.050xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
04
William Contreras MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 3
 13.5%Valinor 13.0%market +7.2pp
P 13.3
F 17.9
V 13.5
4.6pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
05
Andrew Vaughn MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 5
 12.9%Valinor 13.7%market +6.8pp
P 13.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.0pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
06
Alec Burleson STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3
 19.5%Valinor 14.1%market +6.7pp
P 17.0
F 26.0
V 19.5
8.9pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
07
Spencer Horwitz PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 1
 13.5%Valinor 14.1%market +6.5pp
P 14.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
08
Luis Rengifo MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 6
 10.7%Valinor 10.0%market +6.1pp
P 8.7
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.5pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 870 avg 3 books
09
Marcus Semien NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5
 10.0%Valinor 13.6%market +5.8pp
P 12.2
F 13.4
V 10.0
1.2pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
10
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 3
 10.7%Valinor 14.0%market +5.5pp
P 12.3
F 14.2
V 10.7
1.9pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
11
Jordan Walker STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4
 11.8%Valinor 11.5%market +5.4pp
P 7.6
F 15.7
V 11.8
8.1pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
12
Paul Goldschmidt NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5
 12.9%Valinor 12.6%market +5.3pp
P 12.7
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.5pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 665 avg 3 books
13
Brandon Marsh PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 6
 11.8%Valinor 11.0%market +5.1pp
P 12.2
F 15.7
V 11.8
3.6pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
14
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 2
 19.5%Valinor 14.6%market +5.1pp
P 20.2
F 26.0
V 19.5
5.8pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 560 avg 3 books
15
Brice Turang MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 2
 13.5%Valinor 10.1%market +5.0pp
P 14.5
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.4pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 855 avg 3 books
16
Jackson Chourio MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 1
 12.9%Valinor 16.6%market +4.9pp
P 7.1
F 17.2
V 12.9
10.1pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 480 avg 3 books
17
Jac Caglianone KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6
 10.2%Valinor 12.8%market +4.9pp
P 8.9
F 13.6
V 10.2
4.6pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
18
Daniel Schneemann CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs WSHZack Littell · slot 6
 6.8%Valinor 10.6%market +4.9pp
P 9.3
F 9.1
V 6.8
0.2pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 810 avg 3 books
19
Blake Perkins MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 7
 11.8%Valinor 7.7%market +4.8pp
P 10.1
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.7pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1150 avg 3 books
20
Edouard Julien COL
Lineup pending
COL vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 6
 10.2%Valinor 10.9%market +4.8pp
P 3.8
F 13.6
V 10.2
9.8pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
21
Jeremy Peña HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 1
 12.9%Valinor 11.2%market +4.7pp
P 10.7
F 17.2
V 12.9
6.5pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
22
Freddie Freeman LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 2
 13.5%Valinor 16.2%market +4.7pp
P 14.2
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.7pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
23
Isaac Collins KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 7
 8.4%Valinor 8.9%market +4.6pp
P 3.5
F 11.1
V 8.4
7.6pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 985 avg 3 books
24
Maikel Garcia KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1
 11.8%Valinor 8.5%market +4.5pp
P 12.9
F 15.7
V 11.8
2.8pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books
25
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 3
 19.5%Valinor 14.4%market +4.2pp
P 18.4
F 26.0
V 19.5
7.5pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
26
Willi Castro COL
Lineup pending
COL vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1
 10.0%Valinor 9.8%market +4.2pp
P 5.1
F 13.4
V 10.0
8.2pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
27
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
 13.5%Valinor 13.9%market +4.2pp
P 14.5
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.5pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
28
Jesús Sánchez TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 5
 12.9%Valinor 12.3%market +4.0pp
P 12.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.0pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
29
Ezequiel Tovar COL
Lineup pending
COL vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 4
 8.4%Valinor 12.5%market +3.8pp
P 6.7
F 11.1
V 8.4
4.4pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
30
Luis García Jr. WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 12.4%market +3.8pp
P 11.4
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.8pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 675 avg 3 books
31
Michael Conforto CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 5
 10.7%Valinor 13.8%market +3.8pp
P 15.2
F 14.2
V 10.7
1.0pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
32
Christian Yelich MIL
IN
MIL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 4
 19.5%Valinor 16.3%market +3.7pp
P 15.0
F 26.0
V 19.5
11.0pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
33
Masyn Winn STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 6
 10.2%Valinor 9.4%market +3.7pp
P 8.1
F 13.6
V 10.2
5.4pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 925 avg 3 books
34
Trea Turner PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
 10.7%Valinor 14.1%market +3.6pp
P 10.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
3.4pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
35
Randy Arozarena SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 5
 12.9%Valinor 13.8%market +3.6pp
P 12.5
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.7pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
36
Daylen Lile WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3
 7.8%Valinor 11.1%market +3.5pp
P 3.8
F 10.3
V 7.8
6.5pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
37
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5
 10.0%Valinor 10.7%market +3.5pp
P 5.9
F 13.4
V 10.0
7.4pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 805 avg 3 books
38
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4
 13.5%Valinor 14.4%market +3.5pp
P 13.9
F 17.9
V 13.5
4.0pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
39
Oneil Cruz PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 5
 13.5%Valinor 14.5%market +3.5pp
P 19.9
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.0pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 565 avg 3 books
40
Nick Castellanos SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 14.7%market +3.3pp
P 9.6
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.6pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 555 avg 3 books
41
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 2
 12.9%Valinor 17.2%market +3.3pp
P 15.8
F 17.2
V 12.9
1.4pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
42
Steven Kwan CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs WSHZack Littell · slot 2
 10.0%Valinor 8.7%market +3.2pp
P 5.1
F 13.4
V 10.0
8.2pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
43
Mookie Betts LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 5
 11.8%Valinor 15.4%market +3.1pp
P 11.2
F 15.7
V 11.8
4.6pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
44
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3
 19.5%Valinor 17.2%market +3.1pp
P 17.1
F 26.0
V 19.5
8.8pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
45
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 2
 11.8%Valinor 15.4%market +3.0pp
P 13.9
F 15.7
V 11.8
1.8pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
46
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 6
 10.7%Valinor 14.4%market +3.0pp
P 11.4
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.8pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 565 avg 3 books
47
Josh Naylor SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 4
 12.9%Valinor 16.2%market +2.9pp
P 12.1
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.1pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
48
Lawrence Butler ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4
 13.5%Valinor 14.9%market +2.9pp
P 13.8
F 17.9
V 13.5
4.1pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
49
Nick Gonzales PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 8.2%market +2.8pp
P 4.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
9.7pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1075 avg 3 books
50
Tyler Soderstrom ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5
 13.5%Valinor 14.0%market +2.4pp
P 15.3
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.6pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
51
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5
 10.0%Valinor 9.8%market +2.3pp
P 4.7
F 13.4
V 10.0
8.7pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
52
Cody Bellinger NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4
 12.9%Valinor 16.7%market +2.2pp
P 13.9
F 17.2
V 12.9
3.3pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
53
Dansby Swanson CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 9
 10.7%Valinor 12.9%market +2.0pp
P 12.6
F 14.2
V 10.7
1.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 645 avg 3 books
54
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 5
 8.3%Valinor 13.5%market +1.9pp
P 7.8
F 11.1
V 8.3
3.3pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 610 avg 3 books
55
Julio Rodríguez SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 1
 12.9%Valinor 17.2%market +1.9pp
P 14.8
F 17.2
V 12.9
2.5pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
56
Jackson Merrill SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3
 8.3%Valinor 14.6%market +1.8pp
P 9.8
F 11.1
V 8.3
1.3pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 560 avg 3 books
57
Chase Meidroth CWS
IN
CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 5
 6.8%Valinor 7.7%market +1.8pp
P 2.2
F 9.1
V 6.8
6.9pp 1.050xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
58
Miguel Andujar SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 6
 10.7%Valinor 9.1%market +1.7pp
P 7.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
7.1pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 965 avg 3 books
59
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 15.5%market +1.5pp
P 11.6
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
60
Isaac Paredes HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 5
 10.7%Valinor 15.2%market +1.4pp
P 10.9
F 14.2
V 10.7
3.3pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
61
Kyle Tucker LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 3
 12.9%Valinor 18.1%market +1.4pp
P 15.3
F 17.2
V 12.9
1.9pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
62
Nolan Gorman STL
IN
STL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5
 10.7%Valinor 18.5%market +1.4pp
P 12.2
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.0pp 1.061xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 420 avg 3 books
63
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4
 12.9%Valinor 17.8%market +1.4pp
P 12.8
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.4pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
64
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 1
 18.8%Valinor 17.2%market +1.4pp
P 18.3
F 25.1
V 18.8
6.8pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
65
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1
 13.5%Valinor 17.0%market +1.2pp
P 16.0
F 17.9
V 13.5
1.9pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
66
Matt Chapman SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 3
 12.9%Valinor 15.4%market +1.0pp
P 13.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.1pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
67
Ramón Laureano SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5
 13.5%Valinor 14.7%market +1.0pp
P 14.1
F 17.9
V 13.5
3.8pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 555 avg 3 books
68
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 2
 12.9%Valinor 16.2%market +0.9pp
P 12.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.1pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
69
Mark Vientos NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 6
 8.6%Valinor 16.0%market +0.8pp
P 11.8
F 11.4
V 8.6
0.3pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
70
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 3
 10.2%Valinor 9.3%market +0.8pp
P 7.1
F 13.6
V 10.2
6.4pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
71
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 6
 10.7%Valinor 7.7%market +0.8pp
P 2.4
F 14.2
V 10.7
11.9pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
72
Trent Grisham NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1
 19.5%Valinor 19.4%market +0.6pp
P 19.2
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.7pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
73
Christian Walker HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 17.3%market +0.5pp
P 11.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.7pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
74
Teoscar Hernández LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 17.5%market +0.5pp
P 11.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.7pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
75
George Springer TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 1
 11.6%Valinor 16.7%market +0.3pp
P 13.0
F 15.5
V 11.6
2.5pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
76
James Wood WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2
 13.5%Valinor 16.4%market +0.2pp
P 15.8
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.1pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
77
Ben Rice NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3
 19.5%Valinor 18.5%market +0.2pp
P 20.6
F 26.0
V 19.5
5.4pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 420 avg 3 books
78
Luis Arraez SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 1
 7.8%Valinor 7.7%market -0.2pp
P 1.7
F 10.3
V 7.8
8.6pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
79
Bryce Harper PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2
 12.9%Valinor 19.1%market -0.4pp
P 13.5
F 17.2
V 12.9
3.7pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
80
José Ramírez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs WSHZack Littell · slot 1
 12.9%Valinor 19.9%market -0.4pp
P 16.7
F 17.2
V 12.9
0.5pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 385 avg 3 books
81
Kyle Manzardo CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs WSHZack Littell · slot 3
 10.7%Valinor 17.1%market -0.7pp
P 14.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
0.2pp 0.898xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 465 avg 3 books
82
Corbin Carroll AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 1
 12.9%Valinor 17.9%market -0.7pp
P 15.8
F 17.2
V 12.9
1.4pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
83
Willy Adames SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 17.1%market -0.8pp
P 13.3
F 14.2
V 10.7
0.9pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 465 avg 3 books
84
Manny Machado SD
Lineup pending
SD vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 2
 11.8%Valinor 19.1%market -0.8pp
P 12.3
F 15.7
V 11.8
3.4pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
85
Adolis García PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 17.4%market -0.9pp
P 9.7
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.5pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
86
Daulton Varsho TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 17.1%market -0.9pp
P 9.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.1pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 465 avg 3 books
87
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6
 13.0%Valinor 18.8%market -1.2pp
P 16.6
F 17.2
V 13.0
0.6pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 415 avg 3 books
88
Yordan Alvarez HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 2
 11.8%Valinor 20.3%market -1.6pp
P 11.7
F 15.7
V 11.8
4.0pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 375 avg 3 books
89
Brandon Lowe PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 2
 13.5%Valinor 22.2%market -1.7pp
P 18.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
0.5pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 350 avg 3 books
90
Rafael Devers SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 2
 10.7%Valinor 20.8%market -1.7pp
P 14.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
0.3pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
91
Michael Busch CHC
IN
CHC vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 3
 13.5%Valinor 20.4%market -1.7pp
P 17.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
0.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
92
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 6
 10.7%Valinor 19.2%market -1.9pp
P 12.0
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.2pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
93
Brent Rooker ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 2
 10.7%Valinor 21.5%market -2.1pp
P 12.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.1pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
94
Marcell Ozuna PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCBen Brown · slot 6
 10.1%Valinor 20.4%market -2.1pp
P 10.2
F 13.4
V 10.1
3.1pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
95
Hunter Goodman COL
Lineup pending
COL vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2
 12.9%Valinor 18.0%market -2.8pp
P 12.9
F 17.2
V 12.9
4.4pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
96
Shea Langeliers ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3
 10.7%Valinor 20.8%market -3.1pp
P 11.3
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.9pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
97
Colson Montgomery CWS
IN
CWS vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4
 10.7%Valinor 25.0%market -3.5pp
P 11.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
2.4pp 1.050xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 300 avg 3 books
98
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1
 13.5%Valinor 23.3%market -3.5pp
P 15.7
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.2pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
99
Ketel Marte AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 2
 11.7%Valinor 21.1%market -4.1pp
P 13.4
F 15.5
V 11.7
2.1pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
100
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1
 0.0%Valinor 8.0%market -4.7pp
P 0.9
F 0.0
V 0.0
0.9pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
101
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 2
 13.5%Valinor 25.3%market -7.2pp
P 20.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
2.5pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 295 avg 3 books
102
Anthony Volpe NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 7
 0.0%Valinor 8.0%market -7.8pp
P 0.2
F 0.0
V 0.0
0.2pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
103
Nick Kurtz ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1
 10.1%Valinor 27.0%market -7.8pp
P 11.7
F 13.4
V 10.1
1.6pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
104
Kyle Schwarber PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3
 11.9%Valinor 27.0%market -8.3pp
P 14.1
F 15.7
V 11.9
1.6pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
105
Shohei Ohtani LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 1
 13.5%Valinor 29.8%market -8.8pp
P 17.6
F 17.9
V 13.5
0.3pp 0.916xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books
106
Aaron Judge NYY
IN
NYY vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2
 13.1%Valinor 31.2%market -11.1pp
P 16.5
F 17.2
V 13.1
0.7pp 1.036xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 220 avg 3 books

Data context

780 sample flags
Status1513roster/transaction rows
Lineups81confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.