Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-27 · saved artifact ROWS 58 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-07-27

Palantir 344 props Brier 0.177 ECE 0.049 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Adrian Del CastilloAZ	AZ vs PIT	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.293count	98.0%selected	1.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
02	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.27count	98.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
03	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs CHC	P 15.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+84.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.745count	84.5%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
04	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 10.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.3%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+89.26%	1+ Hitline	0.611count	89.3%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
05	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs BAL	P 11.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.2%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+88.16%	1+ Hitline	0.644count	88.2%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
06	Colt KeithDET	DET vs BAL	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+83.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.763count	83.3%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
07	James WoodWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+77.72%	2+ Hitsline	0.906count	77.7%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
08	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs CHC	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+83.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.775count	83.4%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
09	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+85.83%	2+ Hitsline	0.711count	85.8%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
10	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs BAL	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+85.51%	1+ Hitline	0.703count	85.5%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
11	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs AZ	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+81.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.81count	81.5%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
12	Gabriel MorenoAZ	AZ vs PIT	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+84.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.75count	84.4%selected	3.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
13	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+81.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.812count	81.5%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
14	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 11.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.7%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+88.71%	1+ Hitline	0.627count	88.7%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
15	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs CHC	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+82.66%	2+ Hitsline	0.781count	82.7%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
16	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs CLE	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+84.78%	1+ Hitline	0.724count	84.8%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
17	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 12.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.9%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+87.93%	1+ Hitline	0.65count	87.9%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
18	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs CLE	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+83.42%	1+ Hitline	0.76count	83.4%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
19	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs CLE	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+86.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.695count	86.4%selected	3.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
20	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 12.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+88.04%	1+ Hitline	0.647count	88.0%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
21	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+83.14%	1+ Hitline	0.768count	83.1%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
22	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs DET	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+76.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.935count	76.5%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
23	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs DET	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+83.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.774count	83.5%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
24	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs TEX	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+81.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.801count	81.9%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
25	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.1%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+75.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.968count	75.1%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
26	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs AZ	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.6%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+78.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.884count	78.6%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
27	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs AZ	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+78.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.899count	78.0%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
28	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs DET	P 12.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.9%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+87.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.652count	87.9%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
29	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs AZ	P 25.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.3%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+74.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.989count	74.3%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
30	Joc PedersonTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+84.43%	1+ Hitline	0.733count	84.4%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
31	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs BAL	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+86.25%	1+ Hitline	0.682count	86.2%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
32	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs BAL	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+79.28%	2+ Hitsline	0.867count	79.3%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
33	Wyatt LangfordTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+76.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.936count	76.5%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
34	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs CLE	P 30.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.6%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+69.64%	2+ Hitsline	1.099count	69.6%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
35	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs TEX	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.2%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+80.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.845count	80.2%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
36	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	18.2%Over prob · Palantir	53.5%no-vig	+81.78%	1+ Hitline	0.804count	18.2%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
37	Josh SmithTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	80.8%no-vig	+86.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.692count	86.5%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
38	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.2%Over prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+78.80%	1+ Hitline	0.879count	21.2%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
39	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs DET	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+78.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.889count	78.4%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
40	Evan CarterTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+85.55%	1+ Hitline	0.702count	85.5%selected	3.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
41	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.8%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+74.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.975count	74.8%selected	4.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
42	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 35.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	35.1%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+64.88%	1+ Hitline	1.206count	35.1%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
43	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	81.5%no-vig	+86.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.699count	86.2%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
44	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+79.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.861count	79.5%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
45	Corbin CarrollAZ	AZ vs PIT	P 29.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+70.91%	2+ Hitsline	1.068count	70.9%selected	4.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
46	Ketel MarteAZ	AZ vs PIT	P 30.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+69.05%	2+ Hitsline	1.113count	69.0%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
47	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	78.1%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+78.14%	1+ Hitline	0.896count	78.1%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
48	Nolan ArenadoAZ	AZ vs PIT	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+78.82%	2+ Hitsline	0.879count	78.8%selected	3.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
49	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs TOR	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+72.36%	1+ Hitline	1.033count	72.4%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
50	Geraldo PerdomoAZ	AZ vs PIT	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.19%	2+ Hitsline	1.013count	73.2%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
51	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	23.4%Over prob · Palantir	20.0%no-vig	+76.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.933count	23.4%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
52	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs TEX	P 28.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.7%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+71.27%	1+ Hitline	1.06count	28.7%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
53	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs DET	P 30.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+69.39%	2+ Hitsline	1.105count	69.4%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
54	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.7%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+75.28%	1+ Hitline	0.965count	24.7%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
55	Luke RaleySEA	SEA vs TEX	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	80.8%no-vig	+83.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.778count	83.3%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
56	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 30.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.5%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+69.50%	1+ Hitline	1.102count	30.5%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
57	Kerry CarpenterDET	DET vs BAL	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	80.4%no-vig	+81.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.82count	81.2%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
58	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs TEX	P 19.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.7%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+80.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.831count	80.7%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books