Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-07-09 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-07-09
0 activated plays
Gap rows 288
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-07-10 Older: 2026-07-08

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-07-28 2026-07-27 2026-07-26 2026-07-25 2026-07-24 2026-07-23 2026-07-22 2026-07-21

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Adley Rutschman

Strong

BAL vs CHC | David Peterson

Value Score 38.1
Odds / Gap +710 / +8.19%
1+ HR 20.5%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.167x

Value Rank #2

Bobby Witt Jr.

Lean

KC vs NYM | Sean Manaea

Value Score 30.9
Odds / Gap +455 / +3.89%
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.029x

Value Rank #3

Cody Bellinger

Lean

NYY vs TB | Drew Rasmussen

Value Score 30.8
Odds / Gap +470 / +4.24%
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.141x

Value Rank #4

Bryce Harper

Lean

PHI vs CIN | Brady Singer

Value Score 30.8
Odds / Gap +415 / +2.67%
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.102x

Value Rank #5

Elly De La Cruz

Play

CIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo

Value Score 30.6
Odds / Gap +540 / +5.80%
1+ HR 21.4%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.102x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Ryan Mountcastle headshot

Ryan Mountcastle
BAL vs CHC | David Peterson | Slot 7
Strong
Best Gap +8.20%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +830 / U -1280
+8.20%
10.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +820 / U -1355
+8.08%
10.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +820 / U --
+8.08%
10.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs CHC | David Peterson | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +8.19%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+8.19%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1090
+8.12%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+8.12%
12.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nolan Schanuel headshot

Nolan Schanuel
LAA vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 7
Strong
Best Gap +7.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1035 / U -1785
+7.47%
8.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1015 / U --
+7.31%
9.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1005 / U -1885
+7.23%
8.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.4
Brandon Marsh headshot

Brandon Marsh
PHI vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.35%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1170
+7.35%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +770 / U -1240
+7.22%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +770 / U --
+7.22%
11.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.20%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +805 / U -1225
+7.20%
10.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +795 / U -1295
+7.08%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +795 / U --
+7.08%
11.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.27%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -835
+6.27%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -785
+6.17%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+6.17%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.21%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1405
+6.21%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1485
+6.05%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+6.05%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.17%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 16.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +280 / U -340
+6.17%
25.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +295 / U -365
+4.95%
24.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +285 / U --
-9.41%
26.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.06%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -975
+6.06%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +650 / U -920
+5.98%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+5.98%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Daniel Schneemann headshot

Daniel Schneemann
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.99%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +810 / U -1230
+5.99%
10.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +800 / U -1305
+5.87%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +800 / U --
+5.87%
11.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+5.80%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
+5.67%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+5.67%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.78%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+5.78%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+5.66%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+5.66%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.62%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -880
+5.62%
13.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+5.51%
13.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+5.51%
14.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.58%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+5.58%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -770
+5.47%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+5.47%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1055
+5.57%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1120
+5.49%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+5.49%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.0
Ryan O'Hearn headshot

Ryan O'Hearn
PIT vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.50%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -895
+5.50%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+5.50%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+5.40%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.36%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+5.36%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+3.65%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-8.18%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.32%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+5.32%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+5.23%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+5.23%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Horwitz headshot

Spencer Horwitz
PIT vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.28%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +755 / U -1115
+5.28%
11.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +750 / U -1185
+5.22%
11.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +745 / U --
+5.15%
11.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -900
+5.15%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+5.15%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+5.15%
13.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.01%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +935 / U -1520
+5.01%
9.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +920 / U --
+4.87%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +915 / U -1605
+4.82%
9.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.7
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.94%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+4.94%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+4.94%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+4.85%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -755
+4.80%
15.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+4.68%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+4.68%
15.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.79%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -330
+4.79%
25.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +285 / U -355
+3.51%
25.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +280 / U --
-7.85%
26.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jake Cronenworth headshot

Jake Cronenworth
SD vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 7
Play
Best Gap +4.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +905 / U -1450
+4.66%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +890 / U -1535
+4.51%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+4.51%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.5
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+4.51%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+4.41%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+4.41%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -865
+4.48%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -920
+4.48%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+4.38%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +490 / U -670
+4.48%
16.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+4.34%
17.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -630
+4.19%
16.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bo Naylor headshot

Bo Naylor
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.39%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+4.39%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+4.39%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+4.39%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.24%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+4.24%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+4.08%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+3.92%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.05%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+4.05%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+3.97%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+3.97%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.00%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +890 / U -1410
+4.00%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +875 / U -1495
+3.84%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +875 / U --
+3.84%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -930
+3.95%
13.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +625 / U -875
+3.86%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+3.86%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.89%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+3.89%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+3.56%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+3.56%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.78%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1720
+3.78%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+3.62%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1815
+3.57%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.9
Mike Yastrzemski headshot

Mike Yastrzemski
ATL vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.72%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+3.72%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -845
+3.63%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+3.63%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs CHC | David Peterson | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.41%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+3.41%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+3.11%
16.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +475 / U --
+3.11%
17.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+3.38%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+3.26%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+3.26%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.36%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+3.36%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+3.25%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+3.25%
10.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brice Turang headshot

Brice Turang
MIL vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.34%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +865 / U -1360
+3.34%
10.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +855 / U --
+3.23%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +850 / U -1435
+3.17%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.1
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+3.22%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+3.07%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+2.92%
16.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
William Contreras headshot

William Contreras
MIL vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.10%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+3.10%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+3.10%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+3.10%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trevor Larnach headshot

Trevor Larnach
MIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +3.06%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1020
+3.06%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1085
+3.06%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+2.98%
12.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.05%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+3.05%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+2.92%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+2.92%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.05%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.05%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+2.93%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+2.93%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs CHC | David Peterson | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.93%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+2.93%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+2.76%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+2.58%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+2.88%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -695
+2.75%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.75%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.82%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+2.82%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+2.73%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+2.73%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.67%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+2.67%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+2.48%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+2.29%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.57%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+2.57%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+1.23%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-5.79%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.31%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+2.31%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+2.14%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+1.97%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Yelich headshot

Christian Yelich
MIL vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -665
+2.30%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+2.15%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+2.15%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.21%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+2.21%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+2.10%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+2.10%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.09%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+2.09%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+2.09%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+2.09%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 105.4
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +500 / U -690
+2.08%
16.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +495 / U --
+1.94%
16.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -645
+1.80%
16.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.05%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
+2.05%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+1.73%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.73%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.98%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+1.98%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -810
+1.88%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+1.88%
14.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.80%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +965 / U -1605
+1.80%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +950 / U --
+1.67%
9.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +945 / U -1695
+1.62%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.0
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.73%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -570
+1.73%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+1.55%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
+1.36%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.66%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+1.66%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+1.49%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+1.31%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.52%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+1.52%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+1.31%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
+1.10%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.49%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+1.49%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+1.36%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+1.36%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
+1.42%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
+1.29%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+1.29%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -675
+1.27%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+0.99%
16.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+0.99%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+1.22%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+1.08%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.08%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.17%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +310 / U -375
+1.17%
23.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +320 / U -405
-0.08%
22.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +315 / U --
-4.22%
24.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Drake Baldwin headshot

Drake Baldwin
ATL vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.10%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+1.10%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+0.97%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+0.84%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.10%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+1.10%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+0.74%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+0.74%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.02%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
+1.02%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-0.01%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-4.37%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.02%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -670
+1.02%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+0.87%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+0.87%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs KC | Michael Wacha | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.95%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+0.95%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+0.76%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+0.57%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.83%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+0.83%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+0.69%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.69%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs TB | Drew Rasmussen | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.80%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+0.80%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
-0.21%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-4.15%
22.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jung Hoo Lee headshot

Jung Hoo Lee
SF vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +0.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.64%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.64%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.64%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.6
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.63%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+0.63%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-0.36%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-3.92%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Manzardo headshot

Kyle Manzardo
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.62%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+0.62%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+0.47%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
+0.31%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs CHC | David Peterson | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -575
+0.48%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+0.30%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+0.12%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs SEA | Bryce Miller | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 4.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.26%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.24%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-3.76%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 103.8
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs MIA | Janson Junk | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.21%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+0.21%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.05%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
-0.11%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.04%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.04%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.04%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.9
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.01%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+0.01%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.30%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.30%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.24%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
-0.24%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
-0.43%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
-0.62%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.29%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
-0.29%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
-0.47%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -545
-0.65%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Wallner headshot

Matt Wallner
MIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -500
-0.42%
19.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +405 / U -535
-1.34%
19.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-2.91%
20.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
-0.43%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
-0.55%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
-0.55%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.2
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs DET | Framber Valdez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-0.48%
22.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +350 / U -450
-1.53%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
-2.76%
22.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.65%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -560
-0.65%
18.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -525
-1.02%
18.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
-1.02%
19.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.68%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.68%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.68%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.5
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.82%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
-0.82%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
-0.95%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
-0.95%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.84%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-0.84%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-1.30%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-1.54%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.89%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -450
-0.89%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
-1.14%
22.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-1.40%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.99%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-0.99%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.20%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.42%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs CHC | David Peterson | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +330 / U -415
-1.23%
22.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +315 / U -385
-1.41%
23.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +320 / U --
-1.78%
23.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.27%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-1.49%
21.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.72%
20.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Lowe headshot

Brandon Lowe
PIT vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
-1.34%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
-1.55%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
-1.76%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.47%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.47%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.66%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-1.88%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 422
Latest Date 2026-07-28
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-07-28
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 210 matched
36 unmatched
 8 / 42 / 63
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 39.6
 --
Signals --
2026-07-27
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 195 matched
0 unmatched
 34 / 57 / 24
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-26
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 312 matched
0 unmatched
 42 / 82 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 54.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-25
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 315 matched
0 unmatched
 19 / 67 / 69
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 44.4
 --
Signals --
2026-07-24
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 5 / 61 / 72
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 36.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-23
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 87 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 25 / 26
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Nick Castellanos | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-22
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 294 matched
24 unmatched
 15 / 61 / 60
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Trea Turner | 45.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-21
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 231 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 50 / 42
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Andrew Benintendi | 43.0
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%