Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-08-04 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-08-04
0 activated plays
Gap rows 288
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-08-05 Older: 2026-08-03

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-09-07 2026-09-06 2026-09-05 2026-09-04 2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Tj Friedl

Strong

CIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn

Value Score 44.6
Odds / Gap +655 / +8.89%
1+ HR 22.1%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.069x

Value Rank #2

Elly De La Cruz

Strong

CIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn

Value Score 39.7
Odds / Gap +540 / +7.13%
1+ HR 22.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.069x

Value Rank #3

Jesús Sánchez

Strong

TOR vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski

Value Score 39.0
Odds / Gap +685 / +8.22%
1+ HR 21.0%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.090x

Value Rank #4

Jarren Duran

Strong

BOS vs CWS | Davis Martin

Value Score 36.1
Odds / Gap +715 / +7.92%
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.077x

Value Rank #5

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Play

TOR vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski

Value Score 35.0
Odds / Gap +495 / +5.43%
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.090x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +8.89%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+8.89%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+8.89%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+8.81%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.3
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +8.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+8.22%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+8.14%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+8.14%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +715 / U -1045
+7.92%
11.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +715 / U -1110
+7.92%
11.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +715 / U --
+7.92%
12.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
+7.77%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
+7.63%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
+7.58%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.1
Tyler Fitzgerald headshot

Tyler Fitzgerald
SF vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.56%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +730 / U -1075
+7.56%
11.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +730 / U -1140
+7.56%
11.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +725 / U --
+7.49%
12.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +7.20%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 19.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+7.20%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+5.49%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-10.02%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.13%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+7.13%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+7.00%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+6.88%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ramón Urías headshot

Ramón Urías
STL vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.08%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +830 / U -1280
+7.08%
10.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +820 / U -1355
+6.96%
10.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +820 / U --
+6.96%
10.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+6.31%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+6.31%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+6.31%
14.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+5.90%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+5.90%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+5.80%
14.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+5.80%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+5.80%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+5.71%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+5.75%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+5.66%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+5.66%
13.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.61%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1010
+5.61%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1070
+5.61%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+5.53%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.56%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
+5.56%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +695 / U -1065
+5.56%
12.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
+5.48%
12.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+5.52%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+5.38%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+5.24%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+5.43%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+5.29%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+5.29%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.41%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +920 / U -1485
+5.41%
9.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +905 / U --
+5.26%
10.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +900 / U -1570
+5.21%
9.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+5.31%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+5.23%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+5.23%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -915
+5.15%
13.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+5.05%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+5.05%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+5.15%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+5.01%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -640
+4.87%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.03%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 22.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+5.03%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+3.32%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-7.85%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willi Castro headshot

Willi Castro
COL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.02%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1400
+5.02%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1480
+4.86%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+4.86%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.6
Edouard Julien headshot

Edouard Julien
COL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.98%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1195
+4.98%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +785 / U -1270
+4.92%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +785 / U --
+4.92%
11.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+4.90%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+4.79%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+4.79%
10.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ezequiel Tovar headshot

Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.87%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -950
+4.87%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1010
+4.87%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+4.79%
13.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.8
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+4.77%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+4.46%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+4.46%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.61%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+4.61%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+4.50%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+4.50%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8
Mike Yastrzemski headshot

Mike Yastrzemski
ATL vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+4.51%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -845
+4.42%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+4.42%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +900 / U -1440
+4.47%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+4.37%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +885 / U -1525
+4.32%
9.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.2
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+4.38%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+4.29%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+4.29%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -975
+4.38%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +650 / U -920
+4.30%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+4.30%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brenton Doyle headshot

Brenton Doyle
COL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.23%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1015
+4.23%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1075
+4.23%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+4.15%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Colt Keith headshot

Colt Keith
DET vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.20%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1260
+4.20%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1335
+4.08%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+4.08%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.01%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+4.01%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+3.91%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+3.91%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -880
+3.95%
13.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +600 / U -830
+3.84%
13.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+3.84%
14.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.89%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 19.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+3.89%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+2.55%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-7.11%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +935 / U -1520
+3.88%
9.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +920 / U --
+3.74%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +915 / U -1605
+3.69%
9.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.2
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.82%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+3.82%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+3.82%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+3.82%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.70%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
+3.70%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
+3.58%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+3.58%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.2
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.69%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+3.69%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+3.36%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+3.36%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.65%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+3.65%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+3.50%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+3.34%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+3.64%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+3.51%
16.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -690
+3.38%
15.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs LAD | Tarik Skubal | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.55%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -880
+3.55%
13.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+3.44%
13.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+3.44%
14.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+3.51%
16.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -600
+3.35%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+3.35%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs LAD | Tarik Skubal | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.48%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+3.36%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+3.36%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lawrence Butler headshot

Lawrence Butler
ATH vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+3.43%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+3.31%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+3.31%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+3.38%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+3.07%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+3.07%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Miguel Andujar headshot

Miguel Andujar
SD vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.37%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +965 / U -1600
+3.37%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +950 / U --
+3.24%
9.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +945 / U -1690
+3.19%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.8
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.24%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+3.24%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+3.13%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+3.13%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1005 / U -1700
+3.22%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +985 / U --
+3.05%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1795
+3.01%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.3
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.18%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+3.18%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+3.02%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+2.86%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Soderstrom headshot

Tyler Soderstrom
ATH vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+2.92%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+2.81%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+2.81%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Zach McKinstry headshot

Zach McKinstry
DET vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1715
+2.92%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+2.76%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1810
+2.71%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 107.3
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.67%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -750
+2.67%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -705
+2.55%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+2.55%
15.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+2.64%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.48%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+2.32%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs LAD | Tarik Skubal | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.62%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -755
+2.62%
15.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+2.50%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+2.50%
15.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +325 / U -395
+2.43%
22.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +335 / U -425
+1.28%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-5.49%
23.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -800
+2.39%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+2.27%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+2.27%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.36%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+2.36%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
+1.35%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-5.71%
22.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ramón Laureano headshot

Ramón Laureano
SD vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.09%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+2.09%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+1.98%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+1.98%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -630
+2.08%
17.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +460 / U --
+1.92%
17.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -590
+1.76%
17.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+2.00%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+1.82%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+1.64%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.97%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+1.97%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+1.81%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+1.64%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.85%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +510 / U -705
+1.85%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +505 / U --
+1.71%
16.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +500 / U -660
+1.57%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Drake Baldwin headshot

Drake Baldwin
ATL vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.75%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+1.75%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+1.62%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+1.49%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.60%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+1.60%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+1.46%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.46%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.57%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+1.57%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.40%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+1.23%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wilyer Abreu headshot

Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.52%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+1.52%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+1.39%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+1.39%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs MIN | Joe Ryan | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+1.48%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.32%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+1.16%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1060 / U -1850
+1.44%
8.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1035 / U --
+1.25%
8.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1025 / U -1950
+1.17%
8.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 104.4
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +400 / U -530
+1.34%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
+1.14%
20.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +390 / U -495
+0.93%
19.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.16%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.16%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+1.16%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 104.3
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.14%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+1.14%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+1.00%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+0.86%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.13%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+1.13%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+0.96%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+0.79%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.58%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+0.58%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+0.39%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+0.20%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +410 / U -540
+0.33%
18.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +405 / U --
+0.14%
19.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +400 / U -505
-0.06%
19.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs LAD | Tarik Skubal | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.30%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.30%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.30%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.9
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -700
+0.25%
15.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +500 / U -655
+0.11%
16.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+0.11%
16.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -560
+0.18%
18.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -525
-0.19%
18.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
-0.19%
19.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.05%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 4.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.05%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.45%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-3.55%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.1
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+0.03%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
-0.16%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
-0.35%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+0.03%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-0.43%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-0.67%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
-0.04%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
-0.25%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
-0.46%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -0.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
-0.07%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
-0.20%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
-0.20%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-0.07%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-0.53%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-0.77%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Riley Greene headshot

Riley Greene
DET vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.11%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -600
-0.11%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
-0.28%
18.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +435 / U -560
-0.45%
18.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kerry Carpenter headshot

Kerry Carpenter
DET vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -495
-0.44%
19.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +400 / U -530
-1.38%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-2.95%
20.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
-0.45%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
-0.81%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-0.81%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Torkelson headshot

Spencer Torkelson
DET vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
-0.45%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
-0.59%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
-0.73%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Hunter Goodman headshot

Hunter Goodman
COL vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.70%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -585
-0.70%
17.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +465 / U -625
-1.51%
17.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-2.72%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.78%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.78%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-1.79%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-2.51%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Mark Vientos headshot

Mark Vientos
NYM vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -0.80%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +500 / U -685
-0.80%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -645
-1.08%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
-1.08%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.90%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -480
-0.90%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-1.13%
21.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +360 / U -450
-1.36%
21.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.21%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.21%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.92%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-2.14%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Max Muncy headshot

Max Muncy
LAD vs CHC | Javier Assad | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -565
-1.23%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-1.41%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-1.60%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs BAL | Cade Povich | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-1.35%
19.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -475
-1.67%
20.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.77%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 463
Latest Date 2026-09-07
Latest Signals 3
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-09-07
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 174 matched
0 unmatched
 0 / 48 / 15
Strong / Play / Lean
 3
Carlos Santana | 28.1
 --
Signals --
2026-09-06
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 228 matched
0 unmatched
 8 / 37 / 48
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Alec Burleson | 42.8
 --
Signals --
2026-09-05
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 339 matched
0 unmatched
 12 / 68 / 75
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Ezequiel Tovar | 34.4
 --
Signals --
2026-09-04
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 303 matched
0 unmatched
 7 / 77 / 41
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bobby Witt Jr. | 34.3
 --
Signals --
2026-09-03
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 126 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 34 / 32
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Jarren Duran | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-09-02
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 276 matched
0 unmatched
 18 / 77 / 58
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 53.8
 --
Signals --
2026-09-01
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 273 matched
0 unmatched
 28 / 51 / 81
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 43.6
 --
Signals --
2026-08-31
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 213 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 74 / 57
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Adley Rutschman | 43.6
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373
Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025
Over Hit Rate 15.8%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%