Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-08-05 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON

Current slate 2026-08-05

0 activated plays

Gap rows 309

Unique hitters 0

Avg gap --

Avg odds --

Newer: 2026-08-06 Older: 2026-08-04

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0

Average Gap --

Unique Hitters 0

Average Odds --

2026-09-07 2026-09-06 2026-09-05 2026-09-04 2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Jarren Duran

Strong

BOS vs CWS | Sean Burke

Value Score 46.0

Odds / Gap +715 / +9.36%

1+ HR 21.6%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.104x

Value Rank #2

Jeremy Peña

Strong

HOU vs TOR | Jameson Taillon

Value Score 38.8

Odds / Gap +765 / +8.52%

1+ HR 20.1%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.124x

Value Rank #3

Yandy Díaz

Play

TB vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano

Value Score 33.9

Odds / Gap +575 / +6.78%

1+ HR 21.6%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.070x

Value Rank #4

Elly De La Cruz

Play

CIN vs ATH | Jacob Lopez

Value Score 32.4

Odds / Gap +540 / +6.06%

1+ HR 21.7%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.080x

Value Rank #5

Bryce Harper

Lean

PHI vs WSH | Jake Irvin

Value Score 31.0

Odds / Gap +415 / +2.71%

1+ HR 22.1%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.038x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Jarren Duran

BOS vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +9.36%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +715 / U -1045

+9.36%

11.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +715 / U -1110

+9.36%

11.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +715 / U --

+9.36%

12.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jeremy Peña

HOU vs TOR | Jameson Taillon | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +8.52%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +765 / U -1145

+8.52%

11.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +760 / U -1215

+8.45%

11.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +760 / U --

+8.45%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Carlos Correa

HOU vs TOR | Jameson Taillon | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +8.15%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1155

+8.15%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+8.08%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+8.08%

11.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brandon Marsh

PHI vs WSH | Jake Irvin | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +7.35%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +780 / U -1170

+7.35%

11.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +770 / U -1240

+7.22%

11.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +770 / U --

+7.22%

11.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alec Bohm

PHI vs WSH | Jake Irvin | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +7.33%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +805 / U -1225

+7.33%

10.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +795 / U -1295

+7.21%

10.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +795 / U --

+7.21%

11.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Aaron Judge

NYY vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 2

Strong

Best Gap +7.23%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 19.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +230 / U -270

+7.23%

29.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +240 / U -295

+5.52%

28.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +235 / U --

-10.05%

29.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Roman Anthony

BOS vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +6.95%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +700 / U -1010

+6.95%

12.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1070

+6.95%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +695 / U --

+6.87%

12.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Yandy Díaz

TB vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +6.78%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +575 / U -825

+6.78%

14.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +570 / U -775

+6.66%

14.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +570 / U --

+6.66%

14.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jesús Sánchez

TOR vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.72%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+6.72%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+6.64%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+6.64%

12.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jonathan Aranda

TB vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +6.67%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+6.67%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -980

+6.67%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+6.59%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Andrew Benintendi

CWS vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +6.57%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+6.57%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+6.57%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+6.57%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Tj Friedl

CIN vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +6.56%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1055

+6.56%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1120

+6.48%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+6.48%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.1

Willi Castro

COL vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.55%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +885 / U -1400

+6.55%

9.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +870 / U -1480

+6.39%

9.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +870 / U --

+6.39%

10.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.1

Trea Turner

PHI vs WSH | Jake Irvin | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.30%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -835

+6.30%

14.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +575 / U -785

+6.20%

14.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

+6.20%

14.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Shohei Ohtani

LAD vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.21%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 19.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +240 / U -285

+6.21%

28.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +250 / U -310

+4.63%

27.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +245 / U --

-9.23%

29.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Edouard Julien

COL vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.17%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +790 / U -1195

+6.17%

10.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +785 / U -1270

+6.11%

10.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +785 / U --

+6.11%

11.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Ezequiel Tovar

COL vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +6.16%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -950

+6.16%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1010

+6.16%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +665 / U --

+6.08%

13.1%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.3

Elly De La Cruz

CIN vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.06%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+6.06%

15.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +535 / U -715

+5.93%

15.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+5.93%

15.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Alec Burleson

STL vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +6.00%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +625 / U -870

+6.00%

13.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +625 / U -925

+6.00%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +625 / U --

+6.00%

13.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Spencer Steer

CIN vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.93%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+5.93%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -770

+5.82%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+5.82%

15.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Cedric Mullins

TB vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.89%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +605 / U -835

+5.89%

13.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +605 / U -885

+5.89%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +605 / U --

+5.89%

14.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jose Altuve

HOU vs TOR | Jameson Taillon | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.52%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+5.52%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+5.39%

15.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+5.27%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brenton Doyle

COL vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.42%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +700 / U -1015

+5.42%

12.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1075

+5.42%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +695 / U --

+5.34%

12.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Tyler Stephenson

CIN vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.37%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+5.37%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+5.37%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+5.37%

13.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Dansby Swanson

CHC vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +5.15%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +605 / U -880

+5.15%

13.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +600 / U -825

+5.04%

13.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +600 / U --

+5.04%

14.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ian Happ

CHC vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.15%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+5.15%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+5.03%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+5.03%

15.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bo Bichette

NYM vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +4.93%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1060

+4.93%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1125

+4.85%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+4.85%

12.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nathan Lukes

TOR vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +4.88%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +960 / U -1590

+4.88%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +945 / U --

+4.74%

9.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +940 / U -1680

+4.69%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.3

Ozzie Albies

ATL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.86%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -850

+4.86%

13.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +615 / U -905

+4.86%

13.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+4.77%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jakob Marsee

MIA vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +4.62%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +855 / U -1340

+4.62%

10.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +845 / U -1415

+4.51%

10.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +845 / U --

+4.51%

10.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bryan Reynolds

PIT vs MIL | Kyle Harrison | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.59%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+4.59%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -850

+4.50%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+4.50%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Marcus Semien

NYM vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +4.46%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +630 / U -930

+4.46%

13.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +625 / U -875

+4.37%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +625 / U --

+4.37%

13.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alex Bregman

CHC vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +4.29%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -755

+4.29%

15.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+4.17%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

+4.17%

15.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Isaac Paredes

HOU vs TOR | Jameson Taillon | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +4.09%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -745

+4.09%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +525 / U -700

+3.96%

15.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+3.96%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Willson Contreras

BOS vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.01%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -750

+4.01%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

+3.89%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

+3.89%

15.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Mookie Betts

LAD vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.99%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +505 / U -695

+3.99%

15.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +500 / U --

+3.85%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +495 / U -655

+3.71%

16.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Geraldo Perdomo

AZ vs SD | Casey Mize | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.96%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +935 / U -1520

+3.96%

9.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +920 / U --

+3.82%

9.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +915 / U -1605

+3.77%

9.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8

Carlos Santana

AZ vs SD | Casey Mize | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.88%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +610 / U -890

+3.88%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +605 / U -840

+3.78%

13.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +605 / U --

+3.78%

14.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Iván Herrera

STL vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.75%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+3.75%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+3.75%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+3.75%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Colt Keith

DET vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.74%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +820 / U -1260

+3.74%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +810 / U -1335

+3.62%

10.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +810 / U --

+3.62%

11.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Freddie Freeman

LAD vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.74%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +515 / U -720

+3.74%

15.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +510 / U -675

+3.61%

15.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +510 / U --

+3.61%

16.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Mike Yastrzemski

ATL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.59%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+3.59%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -845

+3.50%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+3.50%

14.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+3.51%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+3.37%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+3.37%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Christian Walker

HOU vs TOR | Jameson Taillon | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.36%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -615

+3.36%

17.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

+3.20%

18.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -575

+3.03%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Andy Pages

LAD vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 7

Lean

Best Gap +3.14%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +620 / U -860

+3.14%

13.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +620 / U -915

+3.14%

13.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +620 / U --

+3.14%

13.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.8

Edgar Quero

CWS vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.06%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+3.06%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+3.06%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+3.06%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.2

George Springer

TOR vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.89%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+2.89%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+2.58%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+2.58%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Wilyer Abreu

BOS vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.81%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+2.81%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+2.68%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+2.68%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Victor Scott II

STL vs NYY | Will Warren | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.80%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 10.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+2.80%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+2.80%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+2.80%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.1

Bryce Harper

PHI vs WSH | Jake Irvin | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +2.71%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -550

+2.71%

18.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +410 / U --

+2.52%

19.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +405 / U -515

+2.33%

19.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ryan Jeffers

MIN vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +2.60%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +675 / U -965

+2.60%

12.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +675 / U -1025

+2.60%

12.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +675 / U --

+2.60%

12.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Cody Bellinger

NYY vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +2.54%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+2.54%

16.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+2.38%

17.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +460 / U -600

+2.22%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Agustín Ramírez

MIA vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.52%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +585 / U -845

+2.52%

14.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +580 / U -795

+2.41%

14.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +580 / U --

+2.41%

14.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Zach McKinstry

DET vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.52%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1715

+2.52%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+2.36%

9.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +985 / U -1810

+2.31%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 106.8

Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs WSH | Jake Irvin | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +2.46%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +265 / U -320

+2.46%

26.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +280 / U -345

+1.12%

25.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +270 / U --

-5.68%

27.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Giancarlo Stanton

NYY vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.38%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +345 / U -430

+2.38%

21.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -460

+1.37%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +350 / U --

-5.73%

22.2%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Yoán Moncada

LAA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +2.33%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -975

+2.33%

12.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +650 / U -920

+2.25%

12.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+2.25%

13.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.6

Adolis García

PHI vs WSH | Jake Irvin | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.31%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -625

+2.31%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

+1.99%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+1.99%

18.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jonathan India

KC vs MIN | Dean Kremer | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +2.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +920 / U -1485

+2.20%

9.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +905 / U --

+2.05%

10.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +900 / U -1570

+2.00%

9.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Nico Hoerner

CHC vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.01%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 10.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+2.01%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+2.01%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+2.01%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.9

Josh Bell

MIN vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.89%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +555 / U -790

+1.89%

14.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +550 / U -740

+1.78%

14.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +550 / U --

+1.78%

15.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Daulton Varsho

TOR vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.88%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+1.88%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

+1.73%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+1.57%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Yordan Alvarez

HOU vs TOR | Jameson Taillon | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.81%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 22.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +385 / U -505

+1.81%

19.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

+1.60%

20.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +375 / U -470

+1.38%

20.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brice Turang

MIL vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.70%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +865 / U -1360

+1.70%

10.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +855 / U --

+1.59%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +850 / U -1435

+1.53%

10.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.6

Jorge Polanco

NYM vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.68%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -675

+1.68%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

+1.40%

16.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +485 / U --

+1.40%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Colson Montgomery

CWS vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.61%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +325 / U -400

+1.61%

22.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +335 / U -430

+0.48%

22.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +330 / U --

-4.87%

23.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Byron Buxton

MIN vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.55%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -435

+1.55%

21.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -465

+0.56%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

-4.84%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Lane Thomas

KC vs MIN | Dean Kremer | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.54%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+1.54%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+1.54%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+1.54%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Francisco Lindor

NYM vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +1.47%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +420 / U -555

+1.47%

18.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

+1.28%

19.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +410 / U -520

+1.09%

18.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Corbin Carroll

AZ vs SD | Casey Mize | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.42%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -610

+1.42%

17.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+1.25%

18.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +440 / U -570

+1.08%

17.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Teoscar Hernández

LAD vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.34%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -575

+1.34%

18.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +425 / U --

+1.16%

19.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -540

+0.98%

18.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

William Contreras

MIL vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 14.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+1.27%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+1.27%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+1.27%

13.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Drake Baldwin

ATL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.90%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -740

+0.90%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+0.77%

16.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -695

+0.64%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Zach Neto

LAA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.79%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+0.79%

16.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+0.63%

17.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +460 / U -600

+0.47%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bobby Witt Jr.

KC vs MIN | Dean Kremer | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.72%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+0.72%

16.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -600

+0.56%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+0.56%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Austin Riley

ATL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.69%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+0.69%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+0.55%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+0.55%

17.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Christian Yelich

MIL vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.69%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -665

+0.69%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -625

+0.54%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

+0.54%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Tucker

LAD vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.65%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -610

+0.65%

17.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -570

+0.48%

17.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+0.48%

18.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC vs MIN | Dean Kremer | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.65%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+0.65%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+0.34%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+0.34%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Chase Meidroth

CWS vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.63%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.63%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.63%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.63%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 106.9

Jo Adell

LAA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.31%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +375 / U -475

+0.31%

20.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +390 / U -505

-0.55%

19.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +380 / U --

-3.75%

20.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Junior Caminero

TB vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.31%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -435

+0.31%

21.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -465

-0.68%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

-3.60%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Juan Soto

NYM vs CLE | Tanner Bibee | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.30%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +310 / U -375

+0.30%

23.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +320 / U -405

-0.95%

22.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +315 / U --

-3.35%

24.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Chandler Simpson

TB vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 4.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.20%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.30%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-3.70%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 100.6

Riley Greene

DET vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.14%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +445 / U -600

+0.14%

17.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +440 / U --

-0.03%

18.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +435 / U -560

-0.20%

18.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Xavier Edwards

MIA vs ATL | Bryce Elder | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.14%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 4.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.14%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.36%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-3.64%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.1

Ben Rice

NYY vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.16%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -730

-0.16%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -685

-0.29%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

-0.29%

16.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Spencer Torkelson

DET vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.20%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

-0.20%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

-0.34%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

-0.48%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Logan O'Hoppe

LAA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +510 / U -705

-0.24%

15.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +505 / U --

-0.38%

16.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +500 / U -660

-0.52%

16.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jorge Soler

LAA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.33%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -615

-0.33%

17.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +450 / U --

-0.49%

18.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -575

-0.66%

17.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Eugenio Suárez

CIN vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.44%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -450

-0.44%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +345 / U --

-0.69%

22.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +340 / U -420

-0.95%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

NYY vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -0.55%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -570

-0.55%

18.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -535

-0.91%

18.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-0.91%

19.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jake Mangum

PIT vs MIL | Kyle Harrison | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.68%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 7.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-0.68%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.68%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-0.68%

8.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.1

Kerry Carpenter

DET vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.68%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.5%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +390 / U -495

-0.68%

19.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +400 / U -530

-1.62%

19.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +395 / U --

-2.71%

20.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Ronald Acuña Jr.

ATL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.76%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -560

-0.76%

18.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -525

-1.13%

18.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-1.13%

19.4%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Matt Olson

ATL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.99%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -475

-0.99%

20.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-1.45%

21.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +355 / U -445

-1.69%

21.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ketel Marte

AZ vs SD | Casey Mize | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.06%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -465

-1.06%

20.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +380 / U -495

-1.95%

20.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +375 / U --

-2.29%

21.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Salvador Perez

KC vs MIN | Dean Kremer | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.12%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

-1.12%

17.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

-1.28%

18.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -585

-1.44%

17.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Mike Trout

LAA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.13%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +400 / U -505

-1.13%

19.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +410 / U -540

-1.95%

18.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +405 / U --

-2.14%

19.8%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Luke Keaschall

MIN vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.22%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 10.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +785 / U -1180

-1.22%

10.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +775 / U -1250

-1.35%

11.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +775 / U --

-1.35%

11.4%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 105.2

Marcell Ozuna

PIT vs MIL | Kyle Harrison | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -435

-1.23%

21.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -465

-1.82%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

-2.06%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Hunter Goodman

COL vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.29%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -625

-1.29%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

-1.61%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

-1.61%

18.0%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Royce Lewis

MIN vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap -1.29%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 15.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +505 / U -700

-1.29%

15.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +500 / U --

-1.43%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +495 / U -655

-1.57%

16.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.9

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 463

Latest Date 2026-09-07

Latest Signals 3

Date	Rows	Recommendations	Signals	Grading
2026-09-07 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	174 matched 0 unmatched	0 / 48 / 15 Strong / Play / Lean	3 Carlos Santana \| 28.1	-- Signals --
2026-09-06 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	228 matched 0 unmatched	8 / 37 / 48 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Alec Burleson \| 42.8	-- Signals --
2026-09-05 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	339 matched 0 unmatched	12 / 68 / 75 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Ezequiel Tovar \| 34.4	-- Signals --
2026-09-04 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	303 matched 0 unmatched	7 / 77 / 41 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Bobby Witt Jr. \| 34.3	-- Signals --
2026-09-03 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	126 matched 0 unmatched	3 / 34 / 32 Strong / Play / Lean	4 Jarren Duran \| 39.1	-- Signals --
2026-09-02 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	276 matched 0 unmatched	18 / 77 / 58 Strong / Play / Lean	5 TJ Friedl \| 53.8	-- Signals --
2026-09-01 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	273 matched 0 unmatched	28 / 51 / 81 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 43.6	-- Signals --
2026-08-31 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	213 matched 0 unmatched	13 / 74 / 57 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Adley Rutschman \| 43.6	-- Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373

Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025

Over Hit Rate 15.8%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%