Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-07-22 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-07-22
0 activated plays
Gap rows 318
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-07-23 Older: 2026-07-21

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-07-27 2026-07-26 2026-07-25 2026-07-24 2026-07-23 2026-07-21 2026-07-20

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Trea Turner

Strong

PHI vs LAD | Eric Lauer

Value Score 45.0
Odds / Gap +555 / +8.17%
1+ HR 23.4%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.041x

Value Rank #2

Cody Bellinger

Play

NYY vs PIT | Mitch Keller

Value Score 43.8
Odds / Gap +470 / +6.12%
1+ HR 23.7%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.254x

Value Rank #3

Alec Bohm

Strong

PHI vs LAD | Eric Lauer

Value Score 42.4
Odds / Gap +775 / +9.07%
1+ HR 20.5%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.041x

Value Rank #4

Nick Castellanos

Strong

SD vs ATL | Martín Pérez

Value Score 39.6
Odds / Gap +555 / +7.39%
1+ HR 22.7%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.109x

Value Rank #5

Freddie Freeman

Play

LAD vs PHI | Aaron Nola

Value Score 39.3
Odds / Gap +495 / +6.05%
1+ HR 22.9%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.041x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +9.07%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +775 / U -1155
+9.07%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1225
+8.94%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+8.94%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +8.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+8.17%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -745
+8.06%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+8.06%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +7.91%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+7.91%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+7.91%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+7.83%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.1
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +7.39%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+7.39%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+7.28%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+7.28%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willi Castro headshot

Willi Castro
COL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.32%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1400
+7.32%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1480
+7.16%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+7.16%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.9
Ezequiel Tovar headshot

Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +6.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -950
+6.97%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1010
+6.97%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+6.89%
13.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.2
Edouard Julien headshot

Edouard Julien
COL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1195
+6.92%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +785 / U -1270
+6.86%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +785 / U --
+6.86%
11.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Miguel Andujar headshot

Miguel Andujar
SD vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.68%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +965 / U -1600
+6.68%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +950 / U --
+6.55%
9.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +945 / U -1690
+6.50%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.1
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.25%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+6.25%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+6.12%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+6.00%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs SD | Michael King | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+6.17%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+6.17%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+6.08%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brenton Doyle headshot

Brenton Doyle
COL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1015
+6.15%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1075
+6.15%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+6.07%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.12%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+6.12%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+5.96%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+5.80%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.11%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +890 / U -1410
+6.11%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +875 / U -1495
+5.95%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +875 / U --
+5.95%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.05%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+6.05%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+5.91%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -640
+5.77%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colt Keith headshot

Colt Keith
DET vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.03%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1260
+6.03%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1335
+5.91%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+5.91%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daniel Schneemann headshot

Daniel Schneemann
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.75%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +810 / U -1230
+5.75%
10.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +800 / U -1305
+5.63%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +800 / U --
+5.63%
11.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.04%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1155
+5.04%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+4.97%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+4.97%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.04%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+5.04%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+3.70%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-8.26%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.03%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+5.03%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+5.03%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+4.93%
14.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.99%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+4.99%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+4.90%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+4.90%
13.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -800
+4.97%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+4.85%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+4.85%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.91%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +765 / U -1145
+4.91%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+4.84%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+4.84%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.89%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -630
+4.89%
17.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +460 / U --
+4.73%
17.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -590
+4.57%
17.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Yastrzemski headshot

Mike Yastrzemski
ATL vs SD | Michael King | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.89%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+4.89%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -845
+4.80%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+4.80%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+4.66%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+4.58%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+4.58%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nolan Schanuel headshot

Nolan Schanuel
LAA vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 7
Play
Best Gap +4.60%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1035 / U -1785
+4.60%
8.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1015 / U --
+4.44%
9.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1005 / U -1885
+4.36%
8.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.1
Zach McKinstry headshot

Zach McKinstry
DET vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1715
+4.57%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+4.41%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1810
+4.36%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.3
Ramón Laureano headshot

Ramón Laureano
SD vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.53%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+4.53%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+4.42%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+4.42%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.44%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 22.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+4.44%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+2.73%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-7.26%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+4.43%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+4.30%
16.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -690
+4.17%
15.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs NYY | Max Fried | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+4.38%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+4.29%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+4.29%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bo Naylor headshot

Bo Naylor
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+4.17%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+4.17%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+4.17%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1720
+4.15%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+3.99%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1815
+3.94%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.9
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.84%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+3.72%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+3.72%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+3.76%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+3.59%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+3.41%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -975
+3.76%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +650 / U -920
+3.68%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+3.68%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trevor Larnach headshot

Trevor Larnach
MIN vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +3.70%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1020
+3.70%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1085
+3.70%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+3.62%
12.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.63%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 23.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+3.63%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+1.92%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-6.45%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+3.52%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -810
+3.42%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+3.42%
14.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs ATL | Martín Pérez | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+3.47%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+3.28%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+3.09%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.16%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.16%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+3.04%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+3.04%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.10%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
+3.10%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
+2.97%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+2.97%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.02%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+3.02%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+2.66%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+2.66%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.00%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+3.00%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+2.87%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+2.75%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.1
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.96%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -330
+2.96%
25.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +285 / U -355
+1.68%
25.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +280 / U --
-6.02%
26.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+2.95%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+2.81%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+2.81%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.83%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+2.83%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+2.65%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+2.47%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
+2.80%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
+2.62%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -540
+2.44%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lawrence Butler headshot

Lawrence Butler
ATH vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.41%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+2.41%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+2.29%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+2.29%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +2.38%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -890
+2.38%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +635 / U -945
+2.38%
13.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+2.38%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.36%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +280 / U -335
+2.36%
25.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +290 / U -365
+0.88%
24.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +285 / U --
-5.34%
26.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+2.33%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+2.24%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+2.24%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Drake Baldwin headshot

Drake Baldwin
ATL vs SD | Michael King | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+2.18%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.05%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+1.92%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Soderstrom headshot

Tyler Soderstrom
ATH vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+2.12%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+2.01%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+2.01%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs SD | Michael King | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.01%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+2.01%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+1.87%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.87%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.97%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+1.97%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.81%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+1.65%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.90%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+1.90%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.73%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+1.56%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.86%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1005 / U -1700
+1.86%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +985 / U --
+1.69%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1795
+1.65%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.2
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.85%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +490 / U -670
+1.85%
16.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+1.71%
17.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -630
+1.56%
16.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.77%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+1.77%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -700
+1.64%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+1.64%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -795
+1.64%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+1.52%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+1.52%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
+1.45%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
+1.33%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+1.33%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.5
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+1.26%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+1.05%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
+0.84%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.10%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+1.10%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+0.97%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+0.97%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Riley Greene headshot

Riley Greene
DET vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.98%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -600
+0.98%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
+0.81%
18.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +435 / U -560
+0.64%
18.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.95%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +920 / U -1485
+0.95%
9.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +905 / U --
+0.80%
10.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +900 / U -1570
+0.75%
9.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.95%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+0.95%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+0.95%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+0.95%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.88%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+0.88%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+0.72%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+0.55%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+0.67%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+0.52%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+0.37%
16.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs SD | Michael King | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.59%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -560
+0.59%
18.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -525
+0.22%
18.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+0.22%
19.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.56%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+0.56%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -695
+0.43%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+0.43%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Torkelson headshot

Spencer Torkelson
DET vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.50%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+0.50%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.36%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+0.22%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs SD | Michael King | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+0.43%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-0.03%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-0.27%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jung Hoo Lee headshot

Jung Hoo Lee
SF vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +0.38%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.38%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.38%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.38%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.3
Kyle Manzardo headshot

Kyle Manzardo
CLE vs MIN | Bailey Ober | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+0.33%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+0.18%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
+0.02%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -470
+0.30%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-0.71%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-3.59%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.13%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+0.13%
16.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -600
-0.03%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.03%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.10%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+0.10%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.21%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.21%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
+0.07%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-0.96%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-3.42%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.17%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
-0.17%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
-0.30%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
-0.30%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.35%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.35%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.35%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 103.8
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-0.48%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.79%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.79%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Max Muncy headshot

Max Muncy
LAD vs PHI | Aaron Nola | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -0.50%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -565
-0.50%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-0.68%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-0.87%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.52%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +405 / U -515
-0.52%
19.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +415 / U -550
-1.40%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
-2.83%
19.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Hunter Goodman headshot

Hunter Goodman
COL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.54%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
-0.54%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
-0.86%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-0.86%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.73%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.73%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.73%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.73%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 104.5
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.74%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-0.74%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-1.20%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-1.44%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.80%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
-0.80%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
-1.81%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-2.55%
22.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.83%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -505
-0.83%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.04%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.26%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs STL | Hunter Dobbins | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.91%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -570
-0.91%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-1.09%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-1.28%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.99%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -450
-0.99%
21.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -480
-1.93%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-2.34%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs NYY | Max Fried | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.01%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-1.01%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-2.00%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-2.28%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs NYY | Max Fried | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.06%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 6.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-1.06%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.06%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-1.06%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.8
Michael Busch headshot

Michael Busch
CHC vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
-1.12%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
-1.29%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -550
-1.47%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Wallner headshot

Matt Wallner
MIN vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -500
-1.25%
19.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +405 / U -535
-1.88%
19.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-2.08%
20.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kerry Carpenter headshot

Kerry Carpenter
DET vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -495
-1.42%
19.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +400 / U -530
-1.77%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-1.97%
20.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.51%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.51%
19.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.57%
20.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.72%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -585
-1.61%
17.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +460 / U -625
-1.65%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-1.81%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 421
Latest Date 2026-07-27
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-07-27
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 195 matched
0 unmatched
 34 / 57 / 24
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-26
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 312 matched
0 unmatched
 42 / 82 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 54.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-25
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 315 matched
0 unmatched
 19 / 67 / 69
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 44.4
 --
Signals --
2026-07-24
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 5 / 61 / 72
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 36.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-23
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 87 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 25 / 26
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Nick Castellanos | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-22
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 294 matched
24 unmatched
 15 / 61 / 60
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Trea Turner | 45.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-21
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 231 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 50 / 42
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Andrew Benintendi | 43.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-20
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 345 matched
0 unmatched
 46 / 64 / 80
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 46.0
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%