Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-09-08 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
86
Matched
318
Lineups
270
HR BOARD 2026-09-08 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
IN
AZ vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 9.3%market +3.8pp
P 12.7
F 13.2
V 7.5
5.7pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
02
Zach McKinstry DET
IN
DET vs MINDean Kremer · slot 1
 11.7%Fangorn 8.7%market +3.0pp
P 9.4
F 11.7
V 9.5
2.3pp 0.986xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
03
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 3
 15.3%Fangorn 12.7%market +2.6pp
P 14.0
F 15.3
V 11.1
4.2pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
04
Brandon Marsh PHI
IN
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 11.0%market +2.4pp
P 11.9
F 13.4
V 8.7
4.7pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
05
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 5
 12.0%Fangorn 9.8%market +2.2pp
P 9.2
F 12.0
V 8.8
3.2pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
06
Spencer Horwitz PIT
IN
PIT vs CWSSean Burke · slot 6
 13.2%Fangorn 11.3%market +1.9pp
P 11.8
F 13.2
V 9.7
3.5pp 1.084xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 750 avg 3 books
07
Alec Bohm PHI
IN
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 5
 12.0%Fangorn 10.7%market +1.3pp
P 11.4
F 12.0
V 9.1
2.9pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 805 avg 3 books
08
Colt Keith DET
IN
DET vs MINDean Kremer · slot 6
 11.7%Fangorn 10.5%market +1.2pp
P 10.4
F 11.7
V 7.5
4.1pp 0.986xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
09
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 2
 15.3%Fangorn 14.2%market +1.1pp
P 14.1
F 15.3
V 12.7
2.6pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
10
Bo Bichette NYM
IN
NYM vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 3
 12.6%Fangorn 11.7%market +0.9pp
P 11.9
F 12.6
V 9.1
3.5pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
11
William Contreras MIL
IN
MIL vs CHCDavid Peterson · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 13.5%market -0.3pp
P 12.8
F 13.2
V 12.0
1.1pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 640 avg 3 books
12
Luis García Jr. WSH
IN
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 4
 12.6%Fangorn 13.0%market -0.4pp
P 12.6
F 12.6
V 11.6
1.0pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
13
Alec Burleson STL
IN
STL vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 13.8%market -0.6pp
P 12.0
F 13.2
V 10.5
2.7pp 0.954xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
14
Adley Rutschman BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5
 11.7%Fangorn 12.4%market -0.7pp
P 10.7
F 11.7
V 12.4
1.7pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
15
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 13.9%market -0.7pp
P 12.8
F 13.2
V 11.7
1.5pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
16
Brenton Doyle COL
Lineup pending
COL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5
 11.7%Fangorn 12.5%market -0.8pp
P 10.0
F 11.7
V 6.9
4.8pp 1.034xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
17
Daylen Lile WSH
IN
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 3
 10.7%Fangorn 11.6%market -0.9pp
P 14.1
F 10.7
V 9.8
4.2pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 765 avg 3 books
18
Mike Yastrzemski ATL
IN
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 6
 13.2%Fangorn 14.1%market -0.9pp
P 12.4
F 13.2
V 9.9
3.2pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
19
Cj Abrams WSH
IN
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 14.6%market -1.2pp
P 14.9
F 13.4
V 12.7
2.2pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 585 avg 3 books
20
Lane Thomas KC
Lineup pending
KC vs AZCorbin Burnes · slot 5
 11.7%Fangorn 13.0%market -1.3pp
P 9.9
F 11.7
V 18.4
8.5pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
21
Daniel Schneemann CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALBrandon Young · slot 6
 9.7%Fangorn 11.1%market -1.4pp
P 11.0
F 9.7
V 8.6
2.4pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 800 avg 3 books
22
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs LADTarik Skubal · slot 5
 12.0%Fangorn 13.5%market -1.5pp
P 10.3
F 12.0
V 11.6
1.7pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 640 avg 3 books
23
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
IN
KC vs AZCorbin Burnes · slot 3
 16.1%Fangorn 17.7%market -1.6pp
P 16.1
F 16.1
V 20.2
4.1pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
24
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs CWSSean Burke · slot 5
 12.5%Fangorn 14.1%market -1.6pp
P 13.3
F 12.5
V 15.0
2.5pp 1.084xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
25
Trea Turner PHI
IN
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 1
 13.2%Fangorn 14.8%market -1.6pp
P 14.3
F 13.2
V 13.7
1.1pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
26
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 5
 12.0%Fangorn 14.1%market -2.1pp
P 12.0
F 12.0
V 14.5
2.5pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
27
Cedric Mullins TB
Lineup pending
TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 5
 12.0%Fangorn 14.2%market -2.2pp
P 12.0
F 12.0
V 11.1
0.9pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
28
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 15.5%market -2.3pp
P 13.9
F 13.2
V 9.7
4.2pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 545 avg 3 books
29
Ezequiel Tovar COL
IN
COL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4
 10.7%Fangorn 13.1%market -2.4pp
P 10.2
F 10.7
V 7.2
3.5pp 1.034xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 665 avg 3 books
30
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5
 11.7%Fangorn 14.2%market -2.5pp
P 11.1
F 11.7
V 10.2
1.4pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
31
Elly De La Cruz CIN
IN
CIN vs LADTarik Skubal · slot 1
 13.2%Fangorn 15.8%market -2.6pp
P 13.6
F 13.2
V 12.8
0.7pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
32
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5
 12.5%Fangorn 15.3%market -2.7pp
P 11.8
F 12.5
V 9.4
3.2pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
33
Agustín Ramírez MIA
IN
MIA vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4
 12.5%Fangorn 15.3%market -2.7pp
P 12.6
F 12.5
V 15.5
2.9pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
34
Marcus Semien NYM
IN
NYM vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 5
 10.7%Fangorn 13.8%market -3.1pp
P 10.1
F 10.7
V 11.5
1.4pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
35
Freddie Freeman LAD
IN
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 2
 13.2%Fangorn 16.4%market -3.2pp
P 14.3
F 13.2
V 15.2
2.0pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
36
Mookie Betts LAD
IN
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 16.7%market -3.5pp
P 14.3
F 13.2
V 14.8
1.7pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
37
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
IN
KC vs AZCorbin Burnes · slot 1
 13.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -4.5pp
P 14.5
F 13.2
V 20.7
7.5pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
38
Bryce Harper PHI
IN
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 19.6%market -6.2pp
P 15.6
F 13.4
V 14.9
2.1pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
39
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 6
 12.0%Fangorn 7.7%market +4.3pp
P 9.2
F 12.0
V 7.6
4.4pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
40
Brice Turang MIL
IN
MIL vs CHCDavid Peterson · slot 1
 12.0%Fangorn 8.7%market +3.3pp
P 9.7
F 12.0
V 10.5
2.3pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
41
Jake Mangum PIT
IN
PIT vs CWSSean Burke · slot 1
 10.3%Fangorn 7.7%market +2.7pp
P 7.8
F 10.3
V 11.2
3.4pp 1.084xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
42
Jakob Marsee MIA
IN
MIA vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2
 11.7%Fangorn 9.4%market +2.3pp
P 9.4
F 11.7
V 12.9
3.5pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 930 avg 3 books
43
Steven Kwan CLE
IN
CLE vs BALBrandon Young · slot 2
 10.8%Fangorn 8.7%market +2.1pp
P 8.4
F 10.8
V 8.6
2.4pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
44
Nico Hoerner CHC
IN
CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 1
 9.7%Fangorn 7.7%market +2.0pp
P 6.1
F 9.7
V 8.7
3.6pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
45
Evan Carter TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 6
 12.6%Fangorn 11.0%market +1.6pp
P 12.3
F 12.6
V 8.9
3.7pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
46
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 2
 12.0%Fangorn 13.0%market -1.0pp
P 11.8
F 12.0
V 10.5
1.5pp 0.954xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
47
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs LADTarik Skubal · slot 2
 10.7%Fangorn 12.2%market -1.5pp
P 8.9
F 10.7
V 10.6
1.8pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
48
Heriberto Hernández MIA
IN
MIA vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6
 10.7%Fangorn 12.5%market -1.8pp
P 9.9
F 10.7
V 12.7
2.7pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
49
Lawrence Butler ATH
IN
ATH vs TORJosé Soriano · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 15.6%market -2.5pp
P 12.1
F 13.2
V 11.5
1.6pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
50
Randy Arozarena SEA
IN
SEA vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 5
 12.0%Fangorn 14.5%market -2.5pp
P 12.0
F 12.0
V 12.2
0.2pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 590 avg 3 books
51
Wyatt Langford TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 1
 12.5%Fangorn 15.0%market -2.5pp
P 12.7
F 12.5
V 13.1
0.6pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
52
Joc Pederson TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 5
 12.0%Fangorn 14.8%market -2.8pp
P 9.1
F 12.0
V 12.8
3.7pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
53
Drake Baldwin ATL
IN
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 16.0%market -2.8pp
P 10.8
F 13.2
V 13.4
2.5pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
54
Christian Yelich MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs CHCDavid Peterson · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 16.3%market -2.8pp
P 14.0
F 13.4
V 13.2
0.8pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
55
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 16.4%market -3.2pp
P 12.9
F 13.2
V 13.5
0.5pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
56
Spencer Torkelson DET
Lineup pending
DET vs MINDean Kremer · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 17.0%market -3.8pp
P 13.3
F 13.2
V 14.1
0.9pp 0.986xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
57
James Wood WSH
IN
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 17.4%market -4.0pp
P 14.8
F 13.4
V 13.9
1.4pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
58
Hunter Goodman COL
IN
COL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2
 13.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -4.9pp
P 12.5
F 13.2
V 8.3
4.9pp 1.034xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
59
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs AZCorbin Burnes · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -4.9pp
P 13.9
F 13.2
V 20.3
7.2pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
60
Taylor Ward BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -4.9pp
P 13.5
F 13.2
V 14.3
1.1pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
61
Corbin Carroll AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 18.4%market -4.9pp
P 15.2
F 13.4
V 11.4
3.7pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
62
Josh Naylor SEA
IN
SEA vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 4
 12.0%Fangorn 17.0%market -4.9pp
P 11.9
F 12.0
V 13.5
1.6pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
63
Riley Greene DET
IN
DET vs MINDean Kremer · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 18.5%market -5.1pp
P 14.4
F 13.4
V 14.5
1.1pp 0.986xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
64
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 4
 11.7%Fangorn 17.0%market -5.2pp
P 10.7
F 11.7
V 14.4
3.7pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
65
Michael Busch CHC
IN
CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 18.7%market -5.3pp
P 14.8
F 13.4
V 10.7
4.1pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
66
Julio Rodríguez SEA
IN
SEA vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 1
 12.0%Fangorn 18.0%market -6.0pp
P 12.5
F 12.0
V 13.4
1.4pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
67
Gunnar Henderson BAL
IN
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
 12.0%Fangorn 18.4%market -6.3pp
P 12.7
F 12.0
V 15.3
3.3pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
68
Kyle Tucker LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 3
 12.0%Fangorn 18.4%market -6.3pp
P 13.1
F 12.0
V 14.5
2.5pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
69
Teoscar Hernández LAD
IN
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 4
 12.5%Fangorn 19.1%market -6.5pp
P 12.9
F 12.5
V 15.6
3.0pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
70
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL
IN
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 1
 12.5%Fangorn 19.4%market -6.9pp
P 12.9
F 12.5
V 16.7
4.2pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
71
Francisco Lindor NYM
IN
NYM vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 2
 12.5%Fangorn 19.4%market -6.9pp
P 13.5
F 12.5
V 13.0
1.0pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
72
José Ramírez CLE
IN
CLE vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 20.4%market -7.0pp
P 14.4
F 13.4
V 14.1
1.0pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
73
Brandon Lowe PIT
IN
PIT vs CWSSean Burke · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 20.4%market -7.2pp
P 14.8
F 13.2
V 14.0
1.6pp 1.084xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
74
Ketel Marte AZ
IN
AZ vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 21.1%market -7.6pp
P 14.0
F 13.4
V 11.9
2.1pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
75
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 1
 0.0%Fangorn 8.0%market -8.0pp
P 3.6
F 0.0
V 4.5
4.4pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
76
Victor Scott II STL
Lineup pending
STL vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 1
 0.0%Fangorn 8.0%market -8.0pp
P 4.3
F 0.0
V 10.3
10.2pp 0.954xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
77
Jake Burger TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 4
 10.7%Fangorn 19.2%market -8.5pp
P 8.5
F 10.7
V 12.7
4.3pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
78
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 22.0%market -8.6pp
P 12.7
F 13.4
V 13.6
0.9pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
79
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 2
 12.6%Fangorn 21.7%market -9.1pp
P 13.8
F 12.6
V 14.6
2.0pp 1.029xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
80
Corey Seager TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 2
 12.0%Fangorn 22.5%market -10.5pp
P 11.5
F 12.0
V 14.3
2.8pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
81
Eugenio Suárez CIN
IN
CIN vs LADTarik Skubal · slot 3
 12.0%Fangorn 22.5%market -10.5pp
P 12.0
F 12.0
V 14.2
2.2pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
82
Juan Soto NYM
IN
NYM vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 24.1%market -10.7pp
P 13.3
F 13.4
V 12.3
1.1pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
83
Pete Alonso BAL
IN
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2
 12.0%Fangorn 23.0%market -11.0pp
P 12.9
F 12.0
V 16.0
4.0pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
84
Kyle Schwarber PHI
IN
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 27.0%market -13.6pp
P 14.4
F 13.4
V 15.7
2.2pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
85
Cal Raleigh SEA
IN
SEA vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 3
 10.8%Fangorn 26.3%market -15.5pp
P 12.5
F 10.8
V 14.6
3.7pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 280 avg 3 books
86
Shohei Ohtani LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1
 13.2%Fangorn 29.0%market -15.8pp
P 13.0
F 13.2
V 19.7
6.7pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 245 avg 3 books

Data context

840 sample flags
Status2404roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.