Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-09-08 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-11
Palantir
19641 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.006
14d stable
Fangorn
19641 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.006
14d stable
Valinor
13965 props
Brier 0.113
ECE 0.003
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Lane Thomas
KC
Lineup pending
|
KC vs AZCorbin Burnes · slot 5 |
18.4%Valinor | 12.5%market | +5.5pp |
P
9.9
F
11.7
V
18.4
|
8.5pp | 1.111xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 02 | IN | KC vs AZCorbin Burnes · slot 1 |
20.7%Valinor | 16.9%market | +3.1pp |
P
14.5
F
13.2
V
20.7
|
7.5pp | 1.111xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 03 | IN | KC vs AZCorbin Burnes · slot 3 |
20.2%Valinor | 16.7%market | +2.8pp |
P
16.1
F
16.1
V
20.2
|
4.1pp | 1.111xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CWSSean Burke · slot 5 |
15.0%Valinor | 13.5%market | +1.0pp |
P
13.3
F
12.5
V
15.0
|
2.5pp | 1.084xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 5 |
14.5%Valinor | 13.5%market | +0.5pp |
P
12.0
F
12.0
V
14.5
|
2.5pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs MINDean Kremer · slot 1 |
9.5%Valinor | 8.7%market | +0.5pp |
P
9.4
F
11.7
V
9.5
|
2.3pp | 0.986xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Agustín Ramírez
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4 |
15.5%Valinor | 14.6%market | +0.3pp |
P
12.6
F
12.5
V
15.5
|
2.9pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 560 avg 3 books |
| 08 | IN | MIA vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6 |
12.7%Valinor | 12.0%market | +0.2pp |
P
9.9
F
10.7
V
12.7
|
2.7pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 705 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5 |
12.4%Valinor | 11.9%market | +0.1pp |
P
10.7
F
11.7
V
12.4
|
1.7pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 1 |
13.7%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.1pp |
P
14.3
F
13.2
V
13.7
|
1.1pp | 1.042xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 2 |
15.2%Valinor | 15.8%market | -1.2pp |
P
14.3
F
13.2
V
15.2
|
2.0pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 4 |
11.6%Valinor | 13.0%market | -1.4pp |
P
12.6
F
12.6
V
11.6
|
1.0pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 670 avg 3 books |
| 13 | IN | MIL vs CHCDavid Peterson · slot 3 |
12.0%Valinor | 13.5%market | -1.5pp |
P
12.8
F
13.2
V
12.0
|
1.1pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 640 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 5 |
8.8%Valinor | 10.0%market | -1.6pp |
P
9.2
F
12.0
V
8.8
|
3.2pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 865 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 3 |
9.8%Valinor | 11.1%market | -1.7pp |
P
14.1
F
10.7
V
9.8
|
4.2pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 765 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs LADTarik Skubal · slot 5 |
11.6%Valinor | 13.0%market | -1.9pp |
P
10.3
F
12.0
V
11.6
|
1.7pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 1 |
12.7%Valinor | 14.1%market | -1.9pp |
P
14.9
F
13.4
V
12.7
|
2.2pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 585 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5 |
14.8%Valinor | 16.2%market | -2.0pp |
P
14.3
F
13.2
V
14.8
|
1.7pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 5 |
9.1%Valinor | 10.7%market | -2.1pp |
P
11.4
F
12.0
V
9.1
|
2.9pp | 1.042xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 795 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Spencer Horwitz
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CWSSean Burke · slot 6 |
9.7%Valinor | 11.8%market | -2.1pp |
P
11.8
F
13.2
V
9.7
|
3.5pp | 1.084xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 745 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 2 |
12.7%Valinor | 14.4%market | -2.2pp |
P
14.1
F
15.3
V
12.7
|
2.6pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 22 | IN | TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 3 |
11.1%Valinor | 13.3%market | -2.2pp |
P
14.0
F
15.3
V
11.1
|
4.2pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4 |
11.7%Valinor | 13.4%market | -2.2pp |
P
12.8
F
13.2
V
11.7
|
1.5pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 5 |
11.5%Valinor | 13.3%market | -2.3pp |
P
10.1
F
10.7
V
11.5
|
1.4pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 625 avg 3 books |
| 25 | IN | AZ vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3 |
7.5%Valinor | 9.5%market | -2.3pp |
P
12.7
F
13.2
V
7.5
|
5.7pp | 1.111xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 915 avg 3 books |
| 26 | Lineup pending | CLE vs BALBrandon Young · slot 6 |
8.6%Valinor | 10.7%market | -2.5pp |
P
11.0
F
9.7
V
8.6
|
2.4pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 800 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 6 |
8.7%Valinor | 11.0%market | -2.8pp |
P
11.9
F
13.4
V
8.7
|
4.7pp | 1.042xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 770 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs LADTarik Skubal · slot 1 |
12.8%Valinor | 15.2%market | -2.9pp |
P
13.6
F
13.2
V
12.8
|
0.7pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 535 avg 3 books |
| 29 | Lineup pending | TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 5 |
11.1%Valinor | 13.6%market | -3.0pp |
P
12.0
F
12.0
V
11.1
|
0.9pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 3 |
9.1%Valinor | 11.7%market | -3.1pp |
P
11.9
F
12.6
V
9.1
|
3.5pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 720 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Alec Burleson
STL
IN
|
STL vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 3 |
10.5%Valinor | 13.3%market | -3.3pp |
P
12.0
F
13.2
V
10.5
|
2.7pp | 0.954xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs MINDean Kremer · slot 6 |
7.5%Valinor | 10.6%market | -3.5pp |
P
10.4
F
11.7
V
7.5
|
4.1pp | 0.986xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 810 avg 3 books |
| 33 | Lineup pending | AZ vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5 |
10.2%Valinor | 13.7%market | -4.0pp |
P
11.1
F
11.7
V
10.2
|
1.4pp | 1.111xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 605 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 6 |
9.9%Valinor | 13.6%market | -4.2pp |
P
12.4
F
13.2
V
9.9
|
3.2pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 610 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Brenton Doyle
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5 |
6.9%Valinor | 12.0%market | -5.6pp |
P
10.0
F
11.7
V
6.9
|
4.8pp | 1.034xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 700 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4 |
9.7%Valinor | 15.0%market | -5.8pp |
P
13.9
F
13.2
V
9.7
|
4.2pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 545 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
IN
|
COL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4 |
7.2%Valinor | 13.1%market | -5.9pp |
P
10.2
F
10.7
V
7.2
|
3.5pp | 1.034xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 665 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5 |
9.4%Valinor | 14.8%market | -5.9pp |
P
11.8
F
12.5
V
9.4
|
3.2pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1 |
19.7%Valinor | 28.4%market | -9.7pp |
P
13.0
F
13.2
V
19.7
|
6.7pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 240 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 3 |
14.6%Valinor | 25.8%market | -12.1pp |
P
12.5
F
10.8
V
14.6
|
3.7pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 275 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CWSSean Burke · slot 1 |
11.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.2pp |
P
7.8
F
10.3
V
11.2
|
3.4pp | 1.084xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 9.4%market | +3.2pp |
P
9.4
F
11.7
V
12.9
|
3.5pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 930 avg 3 books |
| 43 | IN | KC vs AZCorbin Burnes · slot 4 |
20.3%Valinor | 17.2%market | +2.5pp |
P
13.9
F
13.2
V
20.3
|
7.2pp | 1.111xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Victor Scott II
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 1 |
10.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.3pp |
P
4.3
F
0.0
V
10.3
|
10.2pp | 0.954xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs CHCDavid Peterson · slot 1 |
10.5%Valinor | 8.7%market | +1.5pp |
P
9.7
F
12.0
V
10.5
|
2.3pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 1 |
8.7%Valinor | 7.7%market | +0.7pp |
P
6.1
F
9.7
V
8.7
|
3.6pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
José Tena
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 6 |
7.6%Valinor | 7.7%market | -0.4pp |
P
9.2
F
12.0
V
7.6
|
4.4pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs BALBrandon Young · slot 2 |
8.6%Valinor | 8.9%market | -0.6pp |
P
8.4
F
10.8
V
8.6
|
2.4pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 985 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs LADTarik Skubal · slot 2 |
10.6%Valinor | 11.7%market | -1.6pp |
P
8.9
F
10.7
V
10.6
|
1.8pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 720 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 1 |
13.1%Valinor | 14.5%market | -2.0pp |
P
12.7
F
12.5
V
13.1
|
0.6pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 5 |
12.8%Valinor | 14.3%market | -2.1pp |
P
9.1
F
12.0
V
12.8
|
3.7pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 5 |
12.2%Valinor | 14.0%market | -2.2pp |
P
12.0
F
12.0
V
12.2
|
0.2pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 590 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 6 |
8.9%Valinor | 11.0%market | -2.5pp |
P
12.3
F
12.6
V
8.9
|
3.7pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 775 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 2 |
10.5%Valinor | 12.5%market | -2.5pp |
P
11.8
F
12.0
V
10.5
|
1.5pp | 0.954xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 4 |
14.4%Valinor | 16.4%market | -2.6pp |
P
10.7
F
11.7
V
14.4
|
3.7pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 1 |
16.7%Valinor | 18.8%market | -2.7pp |
P
12.9
F
12.5
V
16.7
|
4.2pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 15.6%market | -2.8pp |
P
10.8
F
13.2
V
13.4
|
2.5pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1 |
15.3%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.0pp |
P
12.7
F
12.0
V
15.3
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 59 | Lineup pending | DET vs MINDean Kremer · slot 5 |
14.1%Valinor | 16.5%market | -3.0pp |
P
13.3
F
13.2
V
14.1
|
0.9pp | 0.986xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs CHCDavid Peterson · slot 2 |
13.2%Valinor | 15.7%market | -3.0pp |
P
14.0
F
13.4
V
13.2
|
0.8pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.0%market | -3.1pp |
P
12.9
F
13.2
V
13.5
|
0.5pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 505 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SDCasey Mize · slot 2 |
13.9%Valinor | 16.8%market | -3.5pp |
P
14.8
F
13.4
V
13.9
|
1.4pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.4%market | -3.5pp |
P
11.9
F
12.0
V
13.5
|
1.6pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 64 | IN | TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 1 |
4.5%Valinor | 7.7%market | -3.5pp |
P
3.6
F
0.0
V
4.5
|
4.4pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 65 | IN | LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 4 |
15.6%Valinor | 18.6%market | -3.7pp |
P
12.9
F
12.5
V
15.6
|
3.0pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4 |
14.3%Valinor | 17.4%market | -3.8pp |
P
13.5
F
13.2
V
14.3
|
1.1pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 3 |
14.5%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.9pp |
P
13.1
F
12.0
V
14.5
|
2.5pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs TORJosé Soriano · slot 4 |
11.5%Valinor | 15.1%market | -4.1pp |
P
12.1
F
13.2
V
11.5
|
1.6pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs MINDean Kremer · slot 4 |
14.5%Valinor | 18.1%market | -4.2pp |
P
14.4
F
13.4
V
14.5
|
1.1pp | 0.986xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TEXCal Quantrill · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 17.5%market | -4.7pp |
P
12.5
F
12.0
V
13.4
|
1.4pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 2 |
14.9%Valinor | 19.1%market | -4.9pp |
P
15.6
F
13.4
V
14.9
|
2.1pp | 1.042xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
José Ramírez
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1 |
14.1%Valinor | 19.9%market | -6.5pp |
P
14.4
F
13.4
V
14.1
|
1.0pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 2 |
13.0%Valinor | 18.9%market | -6.6pp |
P
13.5
F
12.5
V
13.0
|
1.0pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CWSSean Burke · slot 4 |
14.0%Valinor | 19.9%market | -6.7pp |
P
14.8
F
13.2
V
14.0
|
1.6pp | 1.084xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 4 |
12.7%Valinor | 18.8%market | -6.7pp |
P
8.5
F
10.7
V
12.7
|
4.3pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 76 | Lineup pending | AZ vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1 |
11.4%Valinor | 17.9%market | -7.1pp |
P
15.2
F
13.4
V
11.4
|
3.7pp | 1.111xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2 |
16.0%Valinor | 22.4%market | -7.2pp |
P
12.9
F
12.0
V
16.0
|
4.0pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 330 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs TBFreddy Peralta · slot 2 |
14.6%Valinor | 21.2%market | -7.3pp |
P
13.8
F
12.6
V
14.6
|
2.0pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 18.2%market | -8.2pp |
P
14.8
F
13.4
V
10.7
|
4.1pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Corey Seager
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 2 |
14.3%Valinor | 22.0%market | -8.4pp |
P
11.5
F
12.0
V
14.3
|
2.8pp | 0.878xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 340 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs LADTarik Skubal · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 22.0%market | -8.5pp |
P
12.0
F
12.0
V
14.2
|
2.2pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 340 avg 3 books |
| 82 | IN | TB vs ATLAj Smith-Shawver · slot 4 |
13.6%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.7pp |
P
12.7
F
13.4
V
13.6
|
0.9pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2 |
11.9%Valinor | 20.5%market | -9.3pp |
P
14.0
F
13.4
V
11.9
|
2.1pp | 1.111xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
|
COL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2 |
8.3%Valinor | 17.4%market | -9.7pp |
P
12.5
F
13.2
V
8.3
|
4.9pp | 1.034xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs HOUHayden Wesneski · slot 3 |
15.7%Valinor | 26.5%market | -11.8pp |
P
14.4
F
13.4
V
15.7
|
2.2pp | 1.042xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 265 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 1 |
12.3%Valinor | 23.6%market | -12.0pp |
P
13.3
F
13.4
V
12.3
|
1.1pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 310 avg 3 books |
Data context
840 sample flagsStatus2404roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.