Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-08-02 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-08-02
0 activated plays
Gap rows 288
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-08-03 Older: 2026-08-01

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-09-07 2026-09-06 2026-09-05 2026-09-04 2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Bobby Witt Jr.

Play

KC vs COL | Kyle Freeland

Value Score 49.5
Odds / Gap +455 / +6.60%
1+ HR 24.6%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.216x

Value Rank #2

Ezequiel Tovar

Strong

COL vs KC | Seth Lugo

Value Score 40.8
Odds / Gap +670 / +8.42%
1+ HR 21.4%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.216x

Value Rank #3

Salvador Perez

Play

KC vs COL | Kyle Freeland

Value Score 39.6
Odds / Gap +440 / +4.73%
1+ HR 23.2%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.216x

Value Rank #4

Ozzie Albies

Strong

ATL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli

Value Score 38.5
Odds / Gap +615 / +7.80%
1+ HR 21.8%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.214x

Value Rank #5

Vinnie Pasquantino

Play

KC vs COL | Kyle Freeland

Value Score 34.8
Odds / Gap +500 / +5.51%
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.216x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +8.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1405
+8.77%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1485
+8.61%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+8.61%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Willi Castro headshot

Willi Castro
COL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +8.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1400
+8.57%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1480
+8.41%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+8.41%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.8
Ezequiel Tovar headshot

Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +8.42%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -950
+8.42%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1010
+8.42%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+8.34%
13.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.7
Edouard Julien headshot

Edouard Julien
COL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +8.25%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1195
+8.25%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +785 / U -1270
+8.19%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +785 / U --
+8.19%
11.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+7.80%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+7.80%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+7.71%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.69%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+7.69%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
+7.69%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+7.62%
12.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brenton Doyle headshot

Brenton Doyle
COL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.53%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1015
+7.53%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1075
+7.53%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+7.45%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +7.42%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+7.42%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+7.42%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+7.34%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.3
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -865
+7.26%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -920
+7.26%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+7.16%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +715 / U -1045
+7.17%
11.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +715 / U -1110
+7.17%
11.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +715 / U --
+7.17%
12.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.87%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1155
+6.87%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+6.80%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+6.80%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alec Burleson headshot

Alec Burleson
STL vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -870
+6.64%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -925
+6.64%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+6.64%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.62%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +765 / U -1145
+6.62%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+6.55%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+6.55%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.60%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 24.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+6.60%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+6.27%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+6.27%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Mike Yastrzemski headshot

Mike Yastrzemski
ATL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.41%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+6.41%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -845
+6.32%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+6.32%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brandon Marsh headshot

Brandon Marsh
PHI vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.13%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1170
+6.13%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +770 / U -1240
+6.00%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +770 / U --
+6.00%
11.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.08%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+6.08%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+4.37%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-8.90%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daniel Schneemann headshot

Daniel Schneemann
CLE vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.91%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +810 / U -1230
+5.91%
10.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +800 / U -1305
+5.79%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +800 / U --
+5.79%
11.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.62%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+5.62%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+5.49%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+5.37%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +500 / U -690
+5.51%
16.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +495 / U --
+5.37%
16.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -645
+5.23%
16.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Lawrence Butler headshot

Lawrence Butler
ATH vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+5.43%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+5.31%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+5.31%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.41%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -330
+5.41%
25.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +285 / U -355
+4.13%
25.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +280 / U --
-8.47%
26.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +805 / U -1225
+4.97%
10.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +795 / U -1295
+4.85%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +795 / U --
+4.85%
11.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -835
+4.97%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -785
+4.87%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+4.87%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.94%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1010
+4.94%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1070
+4.94%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+4.86%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.93%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+4.93%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+4.85%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+4.85%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.4
Tyler Soderstrom headshot

Tyler Soderstrom
ATH vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.81%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+4.81%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+4.70%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+4.70%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nolan Schanuel headshot

Nolan Schanuel
LAA vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 7
Play
Best Gap +4.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1035 / U -1785
+4.77%
8.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1015 / U --
+4.61%
9.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1005 / U -1885
+4.53%
8.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.2
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs COL | Kyle Freeland | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+4.73%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+4.56%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+4.38%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.70%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -930
+4.70%
13.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +625 / U -875
+4.61%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+4.61%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+4.52%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+4.52%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+4.42%
14.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+4.51%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+4.41%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+4.41%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.6
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.45%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1005 / U -1700
+4.45%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +985 / U --
+4.28%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1795
+4.24%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 106.4
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.44%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+4.44%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+4.35%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+4.35%
13.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.39%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+4.39%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+4.26%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+4.14%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.9
Bo Naylor headshot

Bo Naylor
CLE vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.36%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+4.36%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+4.36%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+4.36%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.32%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+4.32%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+4.32%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+4.32%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.25%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -975
+4.25%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +650 / U -920
+4.17%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+4.17%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.09%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+4.09%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+4.01%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+4.01%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.95%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 19.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+3.95%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+2.61%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-7.17%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +935 / U -1520
+3.88%
9.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +920 / U --
+3.74%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +915 / U -1605
+3.69%
9.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.1
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+3.73%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+3.40%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+3.40%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.71%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+3.71%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+3.55%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+3.39%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.71%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1720
+3.71%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+3.55%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1815
+3.50%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.1
Drake Baldwin headshot

Drake Baldwin
ATL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.58%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+3.58%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+3.45%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+3.32%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.50%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+3.50%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+3.36%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+3.36%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +890 / U -1410
+3.48%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +875 / U -1495
+3.32%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +875 / U --
+3.32%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Victor Scott II headshot

Victor Scott II
STL vs TOR | Max Scherzer | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.24%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+3.24%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+3.24%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+3.24%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.5
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.04%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+3.04%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -700
+2.91%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.91%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.98%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 14.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
+2.98%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
+1.95%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-6.33%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.65%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+2.65%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+2.50%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
+2.34%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+2.59%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+2.47%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+2.47%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Cronenworth headshot

Jake Cronenworth
SD vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +2.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +905 / U -1450
+2.51%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +890 / U -1535
+2.36%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+2.36%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.5
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +490 / U -670
+2.27%
16.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+2.13%
17.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -630
+1.98%
16.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+2.19%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+2.03%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+1.86%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+2.16%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.99%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+1.82%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -560
+2.16%
18.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -525
+1.79%
18.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+1.79%
19.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs WSH | Cade Cavalli | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.15%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 23.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+2.15%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
+1.69%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
+1.45%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.97%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+1.97%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+1.84%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+1.84%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.96%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -750
+1.96%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -705
+1.84%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+1.84%
15.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs STL | Matthew Liberatore | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.94%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+1.94%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.77%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -565
+1.60%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.90%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+1.90%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+0.56%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-5.12%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.87%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -675
+1.87%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+1.59%
16.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+1.59%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+1.68%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+1.49%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+1.30%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Wallner headshot

Matt Wallner
MIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.54%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -500
+1.54%
19.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +405 / U -535
+0.62%
19.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-4.87%
20.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+1.53%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+1.37%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+1.37%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+1.39%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
+0.38%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-4.74%
22.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
+1.37%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
+1.16%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
+0.95%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+1.30%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+1.11%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+0.92%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+1.18%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -810
+1.08%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+1.08%
14.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.14%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+1.14%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+0.99%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+0.84%
16.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.13%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -480
+1.13%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
+0.90%
21.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +360 / U -450
+0.67%
21.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Trevor Larnach headshot

Trevor Larnach
MIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1020
+1.12%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1085
+1.12%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+1.04%
12.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.02%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+1.02%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -695
+0.89%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+0.89%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
+1.00%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+0.68%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.68%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.85%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
+0.85%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
+0.72%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+0.72%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wilyer Abreu headshot

Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.85%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+0.85%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+0.72%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+0.72%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+0.79%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+0.67%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+0.67%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Hunter Goodman headshot

Hunter Goodman
COL vs KC | Seth Lugo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.69%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
+0.69%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+0.37%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.37%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs TEX | Kumar Rocker | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.59%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -505
+0.59%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
+0.38%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
+0.16%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.56%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+0.56%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+0.20%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+0.20%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Manzardo headshot

Kyle Manzardo
CLE vs AZ | Merrill Kelly | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+0.43%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+0.28%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
+0.12%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs MIA | Sandy Alcantara | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +310 / U -375
+0.37%
23.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +320 / U -405
-0.88%
22.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +315 / U --
-3.42%
24.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+0.35%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+0.21%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.21%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -670
+0.07%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
-0.08%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
-0.08%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs DET | Keider Montero | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.24%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-0.24%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-0.66%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.88%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +330 / U -410
-0.45%
22.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +345 / U -440
-1.54%
21.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +335 / U --
-2.93%
23.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-0.48%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.79%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.79%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.51%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -570
-0.51%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-0.69%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-0.88%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
-0.61%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-0.77%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
-0.93%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.97%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +405 / U -515
-0.97%
19.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +415 / U -550
-1.85%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
-2.38%
19.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -1.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -715
-1.18%
15.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +540 / U -760
-1.82%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
-2.30%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs SF | Landen Roupp | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
-1.27%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
-1.45%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -545
-1.63%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs CLE | Gavin Williams | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.39%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.39%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-1.61%
21.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.74%
20.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs PIT | Mitch Keller | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.41%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-1.41%
21.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-1.52%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-1.98%
21.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs SEA | George Kirby | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.66%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
-1.66%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
-1.78%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
-1.78%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 106.6

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 463
Latest Date 2026-09-07
Latest Signals 3
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-09-07
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 174 matched
0 unmatched
 0 / 48 / 15
Strong / Play / Lean
 3
Carlos Santana | 28.1
 --
Signals --
2026-09-06
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 228 matched
0 unmatched
 8 / 37 / 48
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Alec Burleson | 42.8
 --
Signals --
2026-09-05
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 339 matched
0 unmatched
 12 / 68 / 75
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Ezequiel Tovar | 34.4
 --
Signals --
2026-09-04
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 303 matched
0 unmatched
 7 / 77 / 41
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bobby Witt Jr. | 34.3
 --
Signals --
2026-09-03
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 126 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 34 / 32
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Jarren Duran | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-09-02
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 276 matched
0 unmatched
 18 / 77 / 58
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 53.8
 --
Signals --
2026-09-01
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 273 matched
0 unmatched
 28 / 51 / 81
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 43.6
 --
Signals --
2026-08-31
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 213 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 74 / 57
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Adley Rutschman | 43.6
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373
Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025
Over Hit Rate 15.8%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%