Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
SEA 23:14 UTC Ingest OK

Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-08-26 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-08-26
0 activated plays
Gap rows 291
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-08-27 Older: 2026-08-25

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31 2026-08-30 2026-08-29 2026-08-28 2026-08-27

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon

Value Score 43.1
Odds / Gap +590 / +8.29%
1+ HR 22.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.038x

Value Rank #2

Luis García Jr.

Strong

WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon

Value Score 34.1
Odds / Gap +675 / +7.47%
1+ HR 20.4%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.038x

Value Rank #3

Freddie Freeman

Play

LAD vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver

Value Score 31.8
Odds / Gap +495 / +4.97%
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.032x

Value Rank #4

James Wood

Lean

WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon

Value Score 27.2
Odds / Gap +485 / +4.06%
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.038x

Value Rank #5

Brandon Nimmo

Lean

TEX vs CWS | Sean Burke

Value Score 24.2
Odds / Gap +515 / +4.31%
1+ HR 20.6%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.016x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +8.29%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +590 / U -850
+8.29%
13.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +585 / U -800
+8.18%
14.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
+8.18%
14.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +8.02%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1150
+8.02%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+7.95%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+7.95%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.50%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +880 / U -1395
+7.50%
9.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+7.39%
10.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +865 / U -1475
+7.34%
10.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.0
Luis García Jr. headshot

Luis García Jr.
WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +7.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+7.47%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+7.47%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+7.38%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jarren Duran headshot

Jarren Duran
BOS vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.65%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +715 / U -1045
+6.65%
11.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +715 / U -1110
+6.65%
11.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +715 / U --
+6.65%
12.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.46%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+6.46%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
+6.46%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+6.39%
12.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colt Keith headshot

Colt Keith
DET vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.83%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1260
+5.83%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1335
+5.71%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+5.71%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Fitzgerald headshot

Tyler Fitzgerald
SF vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.69%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +730 / U -1075
+5.69%
11.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +730 / U -1140
+5.69%
11.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +725 / U --
+5.62%
12.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.47%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+5.47%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+3.76%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-8.29%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Hays headshot

Austin Hays
CWS vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.46%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+5.46%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +725 / U -1125
+5.46%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+5.38%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Marsh headshot

Brandon Marsh
PHI vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.45%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1170
+5.45%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +770 / U -1240
+5.32%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +770 / U --
+5.32%
11.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Roman Anthony headshot

Roman Anthony
BOS vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1010
+5.31%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1070
+5.31%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+5.23%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ryan O'Hearn headshot

Ryan O'Hearn
PIT vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.07%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -895
+5.07%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+5.07%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+4.97%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.97%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+4.97%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+4.83%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -640
+4.69%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+4.90%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+4.78%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+4.78%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.81%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+4.81%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+4.72%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+4.72%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Horwitz headshot

Spencer Horwitz
PIT vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +755 / U -1115
+4.76%
11.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +750 / U -1185
+4.70%
11.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +745 / U --
+4.63%
11.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Evan Carter headshot

Evan Carter
TEX vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.71%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1175
+4.71%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1245
+4.64%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+4.64%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trevor Larnach headshot

Trevor Larnach
MIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 7
Play
Best Gap +4.67%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +705 / U -1020
+4.67%
12.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +705 / U -1085
+4.67%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +700 / U --
+4.59%
12.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wyatt Langford headshot

Wyatt Langford
TEX vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+4.52%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+4.41%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+4.41%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.37%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 19.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+4.37%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+3.03%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-7.59%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.35%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +285 / U -345
+4.35%
25.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +295 / U -370
+3.16%
24.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +290 / U --
-7.52%
25.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Andrew Benintendi headshot

Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.34%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+4.34%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+4.26%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+4.26%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Nimmo headshot

Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -715
+4.31%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+4.18%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +505 / U -670
+4.04%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.28%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -835
+4.28%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -785
+4.18%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+4.18%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+4.26%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+4.18%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+4.18%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Zach McKinstry headshot

Zach McKinstry
DET vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +4.21%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1715
+4.21%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+4.05%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1810
+4.00%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.9
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.16%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+4.16%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+4.16%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+4.16%
14.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.14%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+4.14%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -815
+4.04%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+4.04%
14.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.7
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +4.06%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+4.06%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+3.76%
16.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +475 / U --
+3.76%
17.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.74%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +805 / U -1225
+3.74%
10.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +795 / U -1295
+3.62%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +795 / U --
+3.62%
11.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.72%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -880
+3.72%
13.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+3.61%
13.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+3.61%
14.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -930
+3.64%
13.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +625 / U -875
+3.55%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+3.55%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.62%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +990 / U -1665
+3.62%
8.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +975 / U --
+3.49%
9.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +965 / U -1760
+3.40%
9.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.9
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.59%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+3.47%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+3.47%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.58%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -975
+3.58%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +650 / U -920
+3.50%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+3.50%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
José Tena headshot

José Tena
WSH vs COL | Tanner Gordon | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+3.48%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+3.48%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+3.48%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+3.47%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+3.33%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+3.19%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alec Burleson headshot

Alec Burleson
STL vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.46%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -870
+3.46%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -925
+3.46%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+3.46%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.43%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+3.43%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+3.30%
16.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -690
+3.17%
15.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Rob Refsnyder headshot

Rob Refsnyder
SEA vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
+3.31%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +690 / U -1060
+3.23%
12.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
+3.23%
12.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+2.84%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+2.73%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+2.73%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.79%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +955 / U -1570
+2.79%
9.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +935 / U --
+2.61%
9.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +930 / U -1655
+2.56%
9.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.79%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+2.79%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+2.68%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+2.68%
10.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.72%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -755
+2.72%
15.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+2.60%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+2.60%
15.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Joc Pederson headshot

Joc Pederson
TEX vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.63%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -830
+2.63%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -780
+2.53%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+2.53%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+2.44%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+2.11%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+2.11%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+2.33%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+2.20%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+2.08%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.8
Edgar Quero headshot

Edgar Quero
CWS vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +2.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+2.23%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+2.23%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+2.23%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8
Willson Contreras headshot

Willson Contreras
BOS vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +535 / U -750
+2.23%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -705
+2.11%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +530 / U --
+2.11%
15.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.14%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+2.14%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+1.98%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+1.82%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.04%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+2.04%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+2.04%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+1.96%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 108.0
Riley Greene headshot

Riley Greene
DET vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.96%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +445 / U -600
+1.96%
17.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +440 / U --
+1.79%
18.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +435 / U -560
+1.62%
18.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+1.79%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+1.61%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+1.43%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.75%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +355 / U -445
+1.75%
21.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+0.79%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-5.14%
21.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.71%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +590 / U -850
+1.71%
13.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +585 / U -800
+1.60%
14.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
+1.60%
14.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.60%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+1.60%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+1.60%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+1.50%
14.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.59%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+1.59%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+1.50%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+1.50%
13.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.56%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+1.56%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+1.23%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.23%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.55%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+1.55%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+1.55%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+1.55%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+1.46%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+1.38%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+1.38%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.38%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +310 / U -375
+1.38%
23.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +320 / U -405
+0.13%
22.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +315 / U --
-4.43%
24.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Torkelson headshot

Spencer Torkelson
DET vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+1.37%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+1.23%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+1.09%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.11%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+1.11%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+0.94%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+0.76%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+1.08%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+0.92%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+0.75%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Wilyer Abreu headshot

Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.07%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -725
+1.07%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -680
+0.94%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+0.94%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.02%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+1.02%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+0.85%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+0.68%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +510 / U -705
+1.00%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +505 / U --
+0.86%
16.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +500 / U -660
+0.72%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.87%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -675
+0.87%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+0.59%
16.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+0.59%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.80%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +500 / U -685
+0.80%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -645
+0.52%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.52%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.77%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +330 / U -410
+0.77%
22.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +345 / U -440
-0.32%
21.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +335 / U --
-4.15%
23.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.74%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+0.74%
15.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +535 / U -715
+0.61%
15.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+0.61%
15.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 109.5
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.71%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 3.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.71%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.21%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-4.21%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 103.9
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+0.68%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+0.55%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+0.55%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
+0.64%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
+0.52%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+0.52%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 107.7
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.64%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.64%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.64%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.0
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.50%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+0.50%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+0.31%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+0.12%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
+0.48%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+0.16%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.16%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs MIL | Dustin May | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+0.44%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+0.25%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+0.06%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+0.37%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+0.21%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.21%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Chase Meidroth headshot

Chase Meidroth
CWS vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.33%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.33%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.33%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.4
Victor Scott II headshot

Victor Scott II
STL vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.22%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.22%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.22%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.3
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.49%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.49%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.49%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.49%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 104.3
Matt Wallner headshot

Matt Wallner
MIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.60%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +405 / U -535
-0.60%
19.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-0.80%
20.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +395 / U -500
-1.00%
19.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.66%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -475
-0.66%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-1.52%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-2.78%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kerry Carpenter headshot

Kerry Carpenter
DET vs TB | Freddy Peralta | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.71%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +400 / U -530
-0.71%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-0.91%
20.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +390 / U -495
-1.12%
19.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.77%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +410 / U -540
-0.77%
18.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +405 / U --
-0.96%
19.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +400 / U -505
-1.16%
19.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs CIN | Nick Lodolo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.85%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +400 / U -530
-0.85%
19.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-1.05%
20.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +390 / U -495
-1.26%
19.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.94%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.94%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.94%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.94%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.8
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.96%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-0.96%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.96%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-2.39%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.08%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.08%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.97%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-2.27%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Lowe headshot

Brandon Lowe
PIT vs SD | Randy Vásquez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.09%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -485
-1.09%
19.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +395 / U -520
-2.02%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
-2.23%
20.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.11%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +365 / U -450
-1.11%
20.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +375 / U -485
-1.76%
20.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-2.22%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Burger headshot

Jake Burger
TEX vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-1.25%
18.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +425 / U -570
-1.93%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-2.11%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Max Muncy headshot

Max Muncy
LAD vs ATL | Aj Smith-Shawver | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -565
-1.42%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-1.60%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-1.76%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corey Seager headshot

Corey Seager
TEX vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -450
-1.45%
21.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-1.54%
22.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
-1.70%
22.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.60%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-1.60%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-1.61%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-1.91%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 459
Latest Date 2026-09-03
Latest Signals 4
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-09-03
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 126 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 34 / 32
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Jarren Duran | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-09-02
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 276 matched
0 unmatched
 18 / 77 / 58
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 53.8
 --
Signals --
2026-09-01
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 273 matched
0 unmatched
 28 / 51 / 81
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 43.6
 --
Signals --
2026-08-31
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 213 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 74 / 57
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Adley Rutschman | 43.6
 --
Signals --
2026-08-30
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 312 matched
0 unmatched
 36 / 66 / 93
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Jarren Duran | 50.4
 --
Signals --
2026-08-29
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 237 matched
18 unmatched
 6 / 44 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Freddie Freeman | 40.0
 --
Signals --
2026-08-28
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 243 matched
0 unmatched
 6 / 35 / 69
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Adley Rutschman | 36.0
 --
Signals --
2026-08-27
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 129 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 8 / 25
Strong / Play / Lean
 3
Ezequiel Tovar | 45.5
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373
Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025
Over Hit Rate 15.8%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%