Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
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Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-07-18 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-07-18
0 activated plays
Gap rows 348
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-07-19 Older: 2026-07-17

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-07-27 2026-07-26 2026-07-25 2026-07-24 2026-07-23 2026-07-22 2026-07-21 2026-07-20

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Tj Friedl

Strong

CIN vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano

Value Score 53.8
Odds / Gap +655 / +10.23%
1+ HR 23.5%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.184x

Value Rank #2

Elly De La Cruz

Strong

CIN vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano

Value Score 52.6
Odds / Gap +540 / +9.00%
1+ HR 24.6%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.184x

Value Rank #3

Adley Rutschman

Strong

BAL vs HOU | Spencer Arrighetti

Value Score 44.9
Odds / Gap +710 / +9.18%
1+ HR 21.5%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.141x

Value Rank #4

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs ATH | J.t. Ginn

Value Score 43.1
Odds / Gap +590 / +8.29%
1+ HR 22.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.046x

Value Rank #5

Gunnar Henderson

Play

BAL vs HOU | Spencer Arrighetti

Value Score 41.8
Odds / Gap +455 / +5.48%
1+ HR 23.5%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.141x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +10.23%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+10.23%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+10.23%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+10.15%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.9
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs HOU | Spencer Arrighetti | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +9.18%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+9.18%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
+9.18%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+9.11%
12.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +9.00%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 24.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+9.00%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+8.87%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+8.75%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +8.29%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +590 / U -850
+8.29%
13.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +585 / U -800
+8.18%
14.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +585 / U --
+8.18%
14.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alec Bohm headshot

Alec Bohm
PHI vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +8.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +775 / U -1155
+8.15%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1225
+8.02%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+8.02%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +8.05%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
+8.05%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +695 / U -1065
+8.05%
12.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
+7.97%
12.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +7.98%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1150
+7.98%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+7.91%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+7.91%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.3
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +7.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+7.80%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+7.80%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+7.70%
14.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.58%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +735 / U -1080
+7.58%
11.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +730 / U -1145
+7.51%
11.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +730 / U --
+7.51%
12.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luis García Jr. headshot

Luis García Jr.
WSH vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 4
Strong
Best Gap +7.54%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+7.54%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+7.54%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+7.45%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.40%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +880 / U -1395
+7.40%
9.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+7.29%
10.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +865 / U -1475
+7.24%
10.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.29%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +920 / U -1485
+7.29%
9.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +905 / U --
+7.14%
10.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +900 / U -1570
+7.09%
9.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Trea Turner headshot

Trea Turner
PHI vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.15%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+7.15%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -745
+7.04%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+7.04%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 3
Strong
Best Gap +7.10%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -330
+7.10%
25.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +285 / U -355
+5.82%
25.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +280 / U --
-10.16%
26.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.05%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +740 / U -1085
+7.05%
11.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +735 / U -1155
+6.97%
11.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +735 / U --
+6.97%
12.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.78%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+6.78%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+6.70%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+6.70%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+6.77%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+6.68%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+6.68%
13.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Andrew Benintendi headshot

Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs TOR | Shane Bieber | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +6.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -900
+6.64%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+6.64%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +640 / U --
+6.64%
13.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+6.31%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+6.31%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+6.22%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.86%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -880
+5.86%
13.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +600 / U -830
+5.75%
13.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +600 / U --
+5.75%
14.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.62%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+5.62%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+5.48%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+5.34%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alec Burleson headshot

Alec Burleson
STL vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -870
+5.52%
13.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +625 / U -925
+5.52%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+5.52%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs HOU | Spencer Arrighetti | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.48%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 23.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+5.48%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+5.15%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+5.15%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.38%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+5.38%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+3.67%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-8.20%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.35%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -720
+5.35%
15.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +510 / U -675
+5.22%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+5.22%
16.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+5.31%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+5.23%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+5.23%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.28%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
+5.28%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
+5.14%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
+5.09%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.8
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.10%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+5.10%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+5.10%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+5.10%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brice Turang headshot

Brice Turang
MIL vs MIA | Max Meyer | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.83%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +865 / U -1360
+4.83%
10.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +855 / U --
+4.72%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +850 / U -1435
+4.66%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.1
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.82%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+4.82%
16.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -600
+4.66%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+4.66%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+4.80%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+4.49%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+4.49%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.71%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +935 / U -1520
+4.71%
9.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +920 / U --
+4.57%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +915 / U -1605
+4.52%
9.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.63%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +240 / U -285
+4.63%
28.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +250 / U -310
+3.05%
27.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +245 / U --
-7.65%
29.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Andy Pages headshot

Andy Pages
LAD vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 7
Play
Best Gap +4.61%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+4.61%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+4.61%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+4.61%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.2
William Contreras headshot

William Contreras
MIL vs MIA | Max Meyer | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.54%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+4.54%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+4.54%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+4.54%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.53%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+4.53%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+4.37%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+4.21%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Lawrence Butler headshot

Lawrence Butler
ATH vs WSH | Zack Littell | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.46%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +545 / U -775
+4.46%
14.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +540 / U -725
+4.34%
15.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +540 / U --
+4.34%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs WSH | Zack Littell | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.35%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1005 / U -1700
+4.35%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +985 / U --
+4.18%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +980 / U -1795
+4.14%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 106.8
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.25%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -720
+4.25%
15.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +510 / U -675
+4.12%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+4.12%
16.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.0
Tyler Soderstrom headshot

Tyler Soderstrom
ATH vs WSH | Zack Littell | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.09%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+4.09%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+3.98%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+3.98%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.05%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+4.05%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+3.95%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+3.95%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.99%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+3.99%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+3.69%
16.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +475 / U --
+3.69%
17.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yainer Diaz headshot

Yainer Diaz
HOU vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 7
Lean
Best Gap +3.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+3.85%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -910
+3.85%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +615 / U --
+3.75%
14.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.70%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.70%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+3.58%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+3.58%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
José Tena headshot

José Tena
WSH vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+3.57%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+3.57%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+3.57%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.42%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+3.42%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+3.42%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+3.42%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Schwarber headshot

Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.28%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 19.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +280 / U -335
+3.28%
25.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +290 / U -365
+1.80%
24.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +285 / U --
-6.26%
26.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs HOU | Spencer Arrighetti | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.13%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+3.13%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+2.97%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+2.97%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.11%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+3.11%
15.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -650
+2.83%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +495 / U --
+2.83%
16.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edgar Quero headshot

Edgar Quero
CWS vs TOR | Shane Bieber | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.06%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 11.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+3.06%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+3.06%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+3.06%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8
Ryan Jeffers headshot

Ryan Jeffers
MIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.99%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+2.99%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+2.99%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +675 / U --
+2.99%
12.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -575
+2.95%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+2.77%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -540
+2.59%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+2.92%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+2.77%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+2.61%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs WSH | Zack Littell | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.89%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +265 / U -320
+2.89%
26.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +280 / U -345
+1.55%
25.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +270 / U --
-6.11%
27.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -890
+2.84%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +635 / U -945
+2.84%
13.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+2.84%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs SD | Griffin Canning | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+2.77%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+2.61%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+2.45%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adolis García headshot

Adolis García
PHI vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.72%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+2.72%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+2.55%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+2.37%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Christian Yelich headshot

Christian Yelich
MIL vs MIA | Max Meyer | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -665
+2.51%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+2.36%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+2.36%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.27%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+2.27%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+2.16%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+2.16%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.21%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
+2.21%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
+2.03%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -540
+1.85%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.20%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+2.20%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+2.06%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+2.06%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs NYY | Ryan Weathers | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+2.16%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+1.99%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.99%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.13%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -700
+2.13%
15.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +500 / U -655
+1.99%
16.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+1.99%
16.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +2.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+2.12%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+1.93%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+1.74%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.11%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -795
+2.11%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+1.99%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+1.99%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.93%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -975
+1.93%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +650 / U -920
+1.85%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+1.85%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8
Victor Scott II headshot

Victor Scott II
STL vs AZ | Brandon Pfaadt | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.91%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.91%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.91%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+1.91%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.8
Bryce Harper headshot

Bryce Harper
PHI vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.86%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +435 / U -580
+1.86%
18.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +430 / U --
+1.68%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +425 / U -540
+1.50%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.78%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+1.78%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+1.61%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+1.44%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.70%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+1.70%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+1.61%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+1.61%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.67%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
+1.67%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
+1.54%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+1.54%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.62%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+1.62%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+1.31%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+1.31%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Colson Montgomery headshot

Colson Montgomery
CWS vs TOR | Shane Bieber | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.55%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +325 / U -400
+1.55%
22.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +335 / U -430
+0.42%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-4.81%
23.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.55%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+1.55%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
+1.09%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
+0.85%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +410 / U -540
+1.46%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +400 / U -505
+1.07%
19.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
+1.07%
20.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +1.38%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +890 / U -1410
+1.38%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +875 / U -1495
+1.22%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +875 / U --
+1.22%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+1.37%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+1.01%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
+1.01%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+1.25%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
+0.26%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-4.54%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs HOU | Spencer Arrighetti | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.86%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+0.86%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+0.55%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+0.55%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.82%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -475
+0.82%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-0.04%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-4.26%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs LAD | Emmet Sheehan | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.81%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+0.81%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
-0.20%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-4.16%
22.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Mark Vientos headshot

Mark Vientos
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.80%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +500 / U -685
+0.80%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -645
+0.52%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+0.52%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.72%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +785 / U -1180
+0.72%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1250
+0.59%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+0.59%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.5
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.70%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+0.70%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -810
+0.60%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+0.60%
14.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs CWS | Davis Martin | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.66%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+0.66%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+0.51%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+0.35%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.59%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +325 / U -395
+0.59%
22.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +335 / U -425
-0.56%
22.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +330 / U --
-3.65%
23.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Chase Meidroth headshot

Chase Meidroth
CWS vs TOR | Shane Bieber | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.52%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.52%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.52%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.52%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 106.5
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+0.46%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+0.30%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+0.14%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+0.35%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+0.22%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+0.22%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs WSH | Zack Littell | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.01%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -480
+0.01%
20.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +365 / U --
-0.22%
21.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +360 / U -450
-0.45%
21.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jung Hoo Lee headshot

Jung Hoo Lee
SF vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap -0.06%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.06%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.06%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.06%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-0.19%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-0.40%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.62%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.48%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.48%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.48%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 106.3
Michael Busch headshot

Michael Busch
CHC vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.61%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
-0.61%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
-0.78%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -550
-0.96%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.65%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.65%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.65%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.65%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 103.8
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.66%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +510 / U -705
-0.66%
15.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +505 / U --
-0.80%
16.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +500 / U -660
-0.94%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.72%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
-0.72%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
-0.88%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
-1.05%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.78%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.78%
20.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.65%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-2.51%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.81%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +405 / U -530
-0.81%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +395 / U -495
-1.21%
19.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +395 / U --
-1.21%
20.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs HOU | Spencer Arrighetti | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.86%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -440
-0.86%
21.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +335 / U --
-1.38%
23.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +330 / U -410
-1.65%
22.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.88%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
-0.88%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
-1.02%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
-1.02%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs DET | Tarik Skubal | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.88%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +400 / U -505
-0.88%
19.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +410 / U -540
-1.79%
18.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +405 / U --
-2.39%
19.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap -0.96%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -700
-0.96%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
-1.10%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
-1.24%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.7
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs WSH | Zack Littell | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.14%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +390 / U -505
-1.14%
19.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.56%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.73%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs SEA | Bryan Woo | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-1.18%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-1.49%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-1.49%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.35%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.78%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-2.00%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
-1.44%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-1.60%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
-1.76%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 421
Latest Date 2026-07-27
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-07-27
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 195 matched
0 unmatched
 34 / 57 / 24
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-26
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 312 matched
0 unmatched
 42 / 82 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 54.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-25
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 315 matched
0 unmatched
 19 / 67 / 69
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 44.4
 --
Signals --
2026-07-24
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 5 / 61 / 72
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 36.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-23
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 87 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 25 / 26
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Nick Castellanos | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-22
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 294 matched
24 unmatched
 15 / 61 / 60
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Trea Turner | 45.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-21
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 231 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 50 / 42
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Andrew Benintendi | 43.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-20
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 345 matched
0 unmatched
 46 / 64 / 80
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 46.0
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%