Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
SEA 23:14 UTC Ingest OK

Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-07-19 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-07-19
0 activated plays
Gap rows 348
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-07-20 Older: 2026-07-18

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-07-27 2026-07-26 2026-07-25 2026-07-24 2026-07-23 2026-07-22 2026-07-21 2026-07-20

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Adley Rutschman

Strong

BAL vs HOU | Hunter Brown

Value Score 40.0
Odds / Gap +710 / +8.47%
1+ HR 20.8%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.140x

Value Rank #2

Jeremy Peña

Strong

HOU vs BAL | Brandon Young

Value Score 38.8
Odds / Gap +765 / +8.52%
1+ HR 20.1%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.140x

Value Rank #3

Gunnar Henderson

Play

BAL vs HOU | Hunter Brown

Value Score 37.4
Odds / Gap +455 / +4.83%
1+ HR 22.9%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.140x

Value Rank #4

Brandon Nimmo

Play

TEX vs ATL | Grant Holmes

Value Score 37.0
Odds / Gap +515 / +6.18%
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.114x

Value Rank #5

Cj Abrams

Strong

WSH vs ATH | Jacob Lopez

Value Score 36.6
Odds / Gap +625 / +7.59%
1+ HR 21.4%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.131x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +8.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +765 / U -1145
+8.52%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+8.45%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+8.45%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Adley Rutschman headshot

Adley Rutschman
BAL vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +8.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +710 / U -1030
+8.47%
11.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +710 / U -1095
+8.47%
11.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +705 / U --
+8.40%
12.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +7.99%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1155
+7.99%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+7.92%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+7.92%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 1
Strong
Best Gap +7.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -915
+7.59%
13.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+7.49%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+7.49%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +7.20%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+7.20%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+7.20%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+7.12%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.1
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 5
Strong
Best Gap +7.11%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +900 / U -1440
+7.11%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+7.01%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +885 / U -1525
+6.96%
9.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.2
Aaron Judge headshot

Aaron Judge
NYY vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +6.67%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+6.67%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+4.96%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-9.49%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.58%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
+6.58%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
+6.46%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+6.46%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.55%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+6.55%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+6.55%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+6.46%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.6
Wyatt Langford headshot

Wyatt Langford
TEX vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.50%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+6.50%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+6.39%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+6.39%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edouard Julien headshot

Edouard Julien
COL vs CIN | Hunter Greene | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.32%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1195
+6.32%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +785 / U -1270
+6.26%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +785 / U --
+6.26%
11.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Willi Castro headshot

Willi Castro
COL vs CIN | Hunter Greene | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1400
+6.31%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1480
+6.15%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+6.15%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.2
Ezequiel Tovar headshot

Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs CIN | Hunter Greene | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +6.29%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -950
+6.29%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1010
+6.29%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+6.21%
13.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 107.8
Evan Carter headshot

Evan Carter
TEX vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.20%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1175
+6.20%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1245
+6.13%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+6.13%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Nimmo headshot

Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +6.18%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -715
+6.18%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+6.05%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +505 / U -670
+5.91%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +6.02%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+6.02%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+5.94%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+5.94%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.93%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
+5.93%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
+5.79%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
+5.74%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.1
Brice Turang headshot

Brice Turang
MIL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +865 / U -1360
+5.88%
10.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +855 / U --
+5.77%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +850 / U -1435
+5.71%
10.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
William Contreras headshot

William Contreras
MIL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.88%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+5.88%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+5.88%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+5.88%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brenton Doyle headshot

Brenton Doyle
COL vs CIN | Hunter Greene | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1015
+5.52%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1075
+5.52%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+5.44%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+5.51%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+5.38%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+5.26%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ramón Urías headshot

Ramón Urías
STL vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.46%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +830 / U -1280
+5.46%
10.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +820 / U -1355
+5.34%
10.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +820 / U --
+5.34%
10.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.45%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+5.45%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+5.32%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+5.20%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan India headshot

Jonathan India
KC vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.28%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +920 / U -1485
+5.28%
9.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +905 / U --
+5.13%
10.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +900 / U -1570
+5.08%
9.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Yastrzemski headshot

Mike Yastrzemski
ATL vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+5.26%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -845
+5.17%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+5.17%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.18%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 21.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+5.18%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+3.47%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-8.00%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.08%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+5.08%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+4.99%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+4.99%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs SF | Robbie Ray | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.06%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +285 / U -345
+5.06%
25.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +295 / U -370
+3.87%
24.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +290 / U --
-8.23%
25.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.01%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+5.01%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+4.87%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -640
+4.73%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ryan Jeffers headshot

Ryan Jeffers
MIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +4.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+4.95%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+4.95%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +675 / U --
+4.95%
12.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan Aranda headshot

Jonathan Aranda
TB vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.86%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+4.86%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
+4.86%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+4.78%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Gunnar Henderson headshot

Gunnar Henderson
BAL vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.83%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -610
+4.83%
17.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -570
+4.50%
17.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+4.50%
18.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yandy Díaz headshot

Yandy Díaz
TB vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +4.79%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+4.79%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+4.67%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+4.67%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+4.73%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+4.61%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+4.61%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.53%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+4.53%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+4.42%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+4.42%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.9
Nolan Schanuel headshot

Nolan Schanuel
LAA vs DET | Casey Mize | Slot 7
Play
Best Gap +4.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 13.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1035 / U -1785
+4.51%
8.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1015 / U --
+4.35%
9.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1005 / U -1885
+4.27%
8.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.6
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.40%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+4.40%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+4.29%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+4.29%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+4.38%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+4.29%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+4.29%
13.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.32%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+4.32%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+4.32%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+4.22%
14.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Joc Pederson headshot

Joc Pederson
TEX vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.18%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -830
+4.18%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -780
+4.08%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+4.08%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.09%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+4.09%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -700
+3.96%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+3.96%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.02%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+4.02%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+3.94%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+3.94%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Cedric Mullins headshot

Cedric Mullins
TB vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +4.00%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -835
+4.00%
13.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+4.00%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+4.00%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.99%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +785 / U -1180
+3.99%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1250
+3.86%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+3.86%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.4
Christian Yelich headshot

Christian Yelich
MIL vs MIA | Eury Pérez | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -665
+3.95%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -625
+3.80%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+3.80%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.76%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -890
+3.76%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +635 / U -945
+3.76%
13.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+3.76%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daniel Schneemann headshot

Daniel Schneemann
CLE vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.57%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +810 / U -1230
+3.57%
10.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +800 / U -1305
+3.45%
10.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +800 / U --
+3.45%
11.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.54%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+3.54%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+3.45%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+3.45%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Lane Thomas headshot

Lane Thomas
KC vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.52%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -955
+3.52%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1015
+3.52%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +670 / U --
+3.52%
13.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+3.51%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+3.41%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+3.41%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.47%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+3.47%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+3.34%
16.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -690
+3.21%
15.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs ATH | Jacob Lopez | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.44%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+3.44%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+3.30%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+3.16%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yoán Moncada headshot

Yoán Moncada
LAA vs DET | Casey Mize | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.37%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -975
+3.37%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +650 / U -920
+3.29%
12.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+3.29%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.33%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+3.33%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+3.17%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+3.00%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cody Bellinger headshot

Cody Bellinger
NYY vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.22%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+3.22%
16.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+3.06%
17.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +460 / U -600
+2.90%
17.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.13%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +935 / U -1520
+3.13%
9.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +920 / U --
+2.99%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +915 / U -1605
+2.94%
9.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.7
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.10%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -795
+3.10%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+2.98%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+2.98%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Miguel Andujar headshot

Miguel Andujar
SD vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.98%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +965 / U -1600
+2.98%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +950 / U --
+2.85%
9.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +945 / U -1690
+2.80%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.4
Vinnie Pasquantino headshot

Vinnie Pasquantino
KC vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.93%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+2.93%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+2.62%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.62%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.91%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+2.91%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+2.77%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+2.77%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bobby Witt Jr. headshot

Bobby Witt Jr.
KC vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +470 / U -640
+2.90%
16.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -600
+2.74%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.74%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bo Naylor headshot

Bo Naylor
CLE vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.63%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+2.63%
13.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +620 / U -915
+2.63%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+2.63%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Rob Refsnyder headshot

Rob Refsnyder
SEA vs SF | Robbie Ray | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.55%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +695 / U -1000
+2.55%
12.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +690 / U -1060
+2.47%
12.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +690 / U --
+2.47%
12.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Taylor Ward headshot

Taylor Ward
BAL vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +2.54%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+2.54%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+2.38%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+2.38%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Drake Baldwin headshot

Drake Baldwin
ATL vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +2.53%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -740
+2.53%
15.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.40%
16.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -695
+2.27%
15.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +2.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -800
+2.46%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+2.34%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+2.34%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs SF | Robbie Ray | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +2.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +955 / U -1570
+2.43%
9.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +935 / U --
+2.25%
9.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +930 / U -1655
+2.20%
9.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.36%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+2.36%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+2.27%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+2.27%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +2.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
+2.34%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+2.20%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+2.20%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+2.33%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+2.02%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+2.02%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs SF | Robbie Ray | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.17%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+2.17%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+2.06%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+2.06%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +2.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -630
+2.12%
17.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +460 / U --
+1.96%
17.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -590
+1.80%
17.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ramón Laureano headshot

Ramón Laureano
SD vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+2.03%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+1.92%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+1.92%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Junior Caminero headshot

Junior Caminero
TB vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.98%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+1.98%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
+0.99%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-5.27%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Giancarlo Stanton headshot

Giancarlo Stanton
NYY vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.91%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -430
+1.91%
21.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -460
+0.90%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +350 / U --
-5.26%
22.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.83%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+1.83%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+1.65%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+1.47%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs BAL | Brandon Young | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.78%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -505
+1.78%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
+1.57%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
+1.35%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Steven Kwan headshot

Steven Kwan
CLE vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.63%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1010 / U -1720
+1.63%
8.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +990 / U --
+1.47%
9.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +985 / U -1815
+1.42%
8.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 104.1
Zach Neto headshot

Zach Neto
LAA vs DET | Casey Mize | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.46%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +490 / U -670
+1.46%
16.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+1.32%
17.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +480 / U -630
+1.17%
16.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs CWS | Sean Burke | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+1.35%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+1.20%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+1.04%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.15%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+1.15%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+0.98%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+0.81%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.06%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+1.06%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+0.93%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+0.93%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Chandler Simpson headshot

Chandler Simpson
TB vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 3.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.00%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.50%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-4.50%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 99.7
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.99%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -700
+0.99%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+0.85%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+0.71%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.99%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
+0.99%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+0.82%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+0.65%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Salvador Perez headshot

Salvador Perez
KC vs SD | Germán Márquez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.96%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+0.96%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+0.80%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+0.64%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.94%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -560
+0.94%
18.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -525
+0.57%
18.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+0.57%
19.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.86%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
+0.86%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
+0.40%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
+0.16%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs KC | Noah Cameron | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.62%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
+0.62%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
+0.43%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
+0.24%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ben Rice headshot

Ben Rice
NYY vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +0.58%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +520 / U -730
+0.58%
15.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -685
+0.45%
15.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +515 / U --
+0.45%
16.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jung Hoo Lee headshot

Jung Hoo Lee
SF vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +0.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.48%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.48%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.48%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.7
Michael Busch headshot

Michael Busch
CHC vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.40%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+0.40%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+0.23%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -550
+0.05%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs SF | Robbie Ray | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.35%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
+0.35%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
+0.18%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -555
+0.00%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Tyler O'Neill headshot

Tyler O'Neill
BAL vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
+0.34%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+0.03%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
+0.03%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jorge Soler headshot

Jorge Soler
LAA vs DET | Casey Mize | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.31%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +485 / U -660
+0.31%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +480 / U --
+0.16%
17.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +475 / U -620
+0.01%
16.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corey Seager headshot

Corey Seager
TEX vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -450
+0.30%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
+0.05%
22.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-0.21%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs MIN | Zebby Matthews | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.23%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.23%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.23%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.23%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 104.2
Logan O'Hoppe headshot

Logan O'Hoppe
LAA vs DET | Casey Mize | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+0.22%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -695
+0.09%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+0.09%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jazz Chisholm Jr. headshot

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYY vs LAD | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.16%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+0.16%
18.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
-0.20%
18.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-0.20%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs SF | Robbie Ray | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+0.03%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
-0.10%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
-0.10%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jo Adell headshot

Jo Adell
LAA vs DET | Casey Mize | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +405 / U -515
-0.18%
19.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +415 / U -550
-1.06%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
-3.17%
19.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.22%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.22%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.22%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 104.1
Jake Burger headshot

Jake Burger
TEX vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.45%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -570
-0.45%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-0.63%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-0.82%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-0.48%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.79%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.79%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
José Ramírez headshot

José Ramírez
CLE vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +395 / U -520
-0.53%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
-0.74%
20.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +385 / U -485
-0.95%
19.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs STL | Andre Pallante | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.77%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-0.77%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.66%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-2.58%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.79%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.79%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.79%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.3
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs CHC | Shota Imanaga | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.87%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-0.87%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-1.86%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-2.42%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Hunter Goodman headshot

Hunter Goodman
COL vs CIN | Hunter Greene | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.10%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -625
-1.10%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -585
-1.42%
17.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-1.42%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Pete Alonso headshot

Pete Alonso
BAL vs HOU | Hunter Brown | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +345 / U -440
-1.12%
21.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +335 / U --
-1.64%
23.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +330 / U -410
-1.74%
22.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs COL | Ryan Feltner | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-1.18%
21.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-1.75%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-2.21%
21.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Kyle Manzardo headshot

Kyle Manzardo
CLE vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -1.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
-1.18%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
-1.33%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -610
-1.49%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mike Trout headshot

Mike Trout
LAA vs DET | Casey Mize | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.25%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -570
-1.25%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-1.43%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-1.62%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-1.30%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-1.54%
22.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-1.75%
21.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Max Muncy headshot

Max Muncy
LAD vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -1.38%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -565
-1.38%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-1.56%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-1.75%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.48%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.48%
19.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.60%
20.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.69%
20.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 421
Latest Date 2026-07-27
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-07-27
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 195 matched
0 unmatched
 34 / 57 / 24
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 48.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-26
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 312 matched
0 unmatched
 42 / 82 / 46
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
William Contreras | 54.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-25
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 315 matched
0 unmatched
 19 / 67 / 69
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 44.4
 --
Signals --
2026-07-24
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 291 matched
0 unmatched
 5 / 61 / 72
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Brandon Nimmo | 36.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-23
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 87 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 25 / 26
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Nick Castellanos | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-07-22
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 294 matched
24 unmatched
 15 / 61 / 60
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Trea Turner | 45.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-21
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 231 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 50 / 42
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Andrew Benintendi | 43.0
 --
Signals --
2026-07-20
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 345 matched
0 unmatched
 46 / 64 / 80
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 46.0
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356
Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821
Over Hit Rate 15.9%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%