Mithrandir

Metrics OBS.
SEA 23:14 UTC Ingest OK

Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-08-15 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON
Current slate 2026-08-15
0 activated plays
Gap rows 294
Unique hitters 0
Avg gap --
Avg odds --
Newer: 2026-08-16 Older: 2026-08-14

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0
Average Gap --
Unique Hitters 0
Average Odds --
2026-09-06 2026-09-05 2026-09-04 2026-09-03 2026-09-02 2026-09-01 2026-08-31 2026-08-30

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Tj Friedl

Strong

CIN vs MIA | Ryan Gusto

Value Score 42.8
Odds / Gap +655 / +8.64%
1+ HR 21.9%
DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.098x

Value Rank #2

Elly De La Cruz

Play

CIN vs MIA | Ryan Gusto

Value Score 37.4
Odds / Gap +540 / +6.80%
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.098x

Value Rank #3

Brandon Nimmo

Play

TEX vs ATH | J.t. Ginn

Value Score 33.0
Odds / Gap +515 / +5.59%
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.044x

Value Rank #4

Josh Naylor

Play

SEA vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski

Value Score 31.6
Odds / Gap +495 / +4.94%
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.042x

Value Rank #5

Julio Rodríguez

Lean

SEA vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski

Value Score 30.4
Odds / Gap +460 / +3.94%
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.042x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Brendan Donovan headshot

Brendan Donovan
SEA vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 6
Strong
Best Gap +8.69%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +890 / U -1410
+8.69%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +875 / U -1495
+8.53%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +875 / U --
+8.53%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Tj Friedl headshot

Tj Friedl
CIN vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 2
Strong
Best Gap +8.64%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+8.64%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -985
+8.64%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+8.56%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 109.1
Shohei Ohtani headshot

Shohei Ohtani
LAD vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.87%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 20.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +230 / U -270
+6.87%
29.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +240 / U -295
+5.16%
28.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +235 / U --
-9.69%
29.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Elly De La Cruz headshot

Elly De La Cruz
CIN vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 22.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+6.80%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+6.67%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+6.55%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Carlos Correa headshot

Carlos Correa
HOU vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +6.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +770 / U -1155
+6.51%
11.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +765 / U -1220
+6.44%
11.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +765 / U --
+6.44%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jeremy Peña headshot

Jeremy Peña
HOU vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +6.33%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +765 / U -1145
+6.33%
11.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +760 / U -1215
+6.26%
11.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +760 / U --
+6.26%
11.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jakob Marsee headshot

Jakob Marsee
MIA vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 2
Play
Best Gap +5.84%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +855 / U -1340
+5.84%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +845 / U -1415
+5.73%
10.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +845 / U --
+5.73%
10.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Wyatt Langford headshot

Wyatt Langford
TEX vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +5.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +570 / U -815
+5.73%
14.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +565 / U -765
+5.62%
14.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +565 / U --
+5.62%
15.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Evan Carter headshot

Evan Carter
TEX vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.71%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +780 / U -1175
+5.71%
11.0%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1245
+5.64%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+5.64%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Steer headshot

Spencer Steer
CIN vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +5.67%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +600 / U -825
+5.67%
13.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +600 / U -875
+5.67%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +595 / U --
+5.57%
14.4%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Brandon Nimmo headshot

Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.59%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +515 / U -715
+5.59%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +510 / U --
+5.46%
16.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +505 / U -670
+5.32%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jj Bleday headshot

Jj Bleday
CIN vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 6
Play
Best Gap +5.38%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +650 / U -970
+5.38%
12.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +645 / U -910
+5.29%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +645 / U --
+5.29%
13.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Randy Arozarena headshot

Randy Arozarena
SEA vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.33%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +595 / U -865
+5.33%
13.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +590 / U -810
+5.23%
14.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +590 / U --
+5.23%
14.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ozzie Albies headshot

Ozzie Albies
ATL vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.32%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -850
+5.32%
13.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +615 / U -905
+5.32%
13.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+5.23%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Carlos Santana headshot

Carlos Santana
AZ vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.31%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +610 / U -890
+5.31%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +605 / U -840
+5.21%
13.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+5.21%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.8
Geraldo Perdomo headshot

Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +5.24%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +935 / U -1520
+5.24%
9.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +920 / U --
+5.10%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +915 / U -1605
+5.05%
9.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.9
Tyler Stephenson headshot

Tyler Stephenson
CIN vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +5.04%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+5.04%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+4.96%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+4.96%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Josh Naylor headshot

Josh Naylor
SEA vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 4
Play
Best Gap +4.94%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+4.94%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
+4.80%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+4.80%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cj Abrams headshot

Cj Abrams
WSH vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.93%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +625 / U -915
+4.93%
13.3%
DraftKings
0.5
O +620 / U -860
+4.83%
13.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +620 / U --
+4.83%
13.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Kurtz headshot

Nick Kurtz
ATH vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 1
Play
Best Gap +4.85%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 17.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +280 / U -340
+4.85%
25.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +295 / U -365
+3.63%
24.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +285 / U --
-8.09%
26.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ramón Urías headshot

Ramón Urías
STL vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +830 / U -1280
+4.85%
10.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +820 / U -1355
+4.73%
10.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +820 / U --
+4.73%
10.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcus Semien headshot

Marcus Semien
NYM vs WSH | Brad Lord | Slot 5
Play
Best Gap +4.66%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +630 / U -930
+4.66%
13.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +625 / U -875
+4.57%
13.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +625 / U --
+4.57%
13.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bo Bichette headshot

Bo Bichette
NYM vs WSH | Brad Lord | Slot 3
Play
Best Gap +4.58%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +725 / U -1060
+4.58%
11.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +720 / U -1125
+4.50%
11.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +720 / U --
+4.50%
12.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ryan O'Hearn headshot

Ryan O'Hearn
PIT vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +4.18%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +640 / U -895
+4.18%
13.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +640 / U -955
+4.18%
13.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+4.08%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ryan Jeffers headshot

Ryan Jeffers
MIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.10%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +675 / U -965
+4.10%
12.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +675 / U -1025
+4.10%
12.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +675 / U --
+4.10%
12.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Spencer Horwitz headshot

Spencer Horwitz
PIT vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +4.09%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 15.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +755 / U -1115
+4.09%
11.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +750 / U -1185
+4.03%
11.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +745 / U --
+3.96%
11.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Nick Castellanos headshot

Nick Castellanos
SD vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +4.04%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+4.04%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+3.93%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+3.93%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Keibert Ruiz headshot

Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.95%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +900 / U -1440
+3.95%
9.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +890 / U --
+3.85%
10.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +885 / U -1525
+3.80%
9.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.2
Julio Rodríguez headshot

Julio Rodríguez
SEA vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +3.94%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +460 / U -625
+3.94%
17.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
+3.78%
18.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +450 / U -585
+3.62%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Bryan Reynolds headshot

Bryan Reynolds
PIT vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.92%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +615 / U -900
+3.92%
13.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +610 / U -850
+3.83%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +610 / U --
+3.83%
14.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Agustín Ramírez headshot

Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.80%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +585 / U -845
+3.80%
14.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +580 / U -795
+3.69%
14.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +580 / U --
+3.69%
14.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jose Altuve headshot

Jose Altuve
HOU vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.73%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +540 / U -760
+3.73%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +535 / U --
+3.60%
15.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +530 / U -710
+3.48%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 108.0
Ian Happ headshot

Ian Happ
CHC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.70%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +550 / U -780
+3.70%
14.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +545 / U -730
+3.58%
15.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +545 / U --
+3.58%
15.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Joc Pederson headshot

Joc Pederson
TEX vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +3.69%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +580 / U -830
+3.69%
14.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +575 / U -780
+3.59%
14.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +575 / U --
+3.59%
14.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Freddie Freeman headshot

Freddie Freeman
LAD vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.55%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 20.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -680
+3.55%
16.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
+3.41%
17.0%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -640
+3.27%
16.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Josh Bell headshot

Josh Bell
MIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.55%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+3.55%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+3.44%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+3.44%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Junior Caminero headshot

Junior Caminero
TB vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 4
Lean
Best Gap +3.45%
Best Side Under
1+ HR 15.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
+3.45%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
+2.46%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-6.74%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jonathan Aranda headshot

Jonathan Aranda
TB vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.29%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +655 / U -925
+3.29%
12.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +655 / U -980
+3.29%
12.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +650 / U --
+3.21%
13.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jacob Wilson headshot

Jacob Wilson
ATH vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +3.26%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +965 / U -1605
+3.26%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +950 / U --
+3.13%
9.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +945 / U -1695
+3.08%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 105.7
Yandy Díaz headshot

Yandy Díaz
TB vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +3.19%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 18.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +575 / U -825
+3.19%
14.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +570 / U -775
+3.07%
14.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +570 / U --
+3.07%
14.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daylen Lile headshot

Daylen Lile
WSH vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 3
Lean
Best Gap +3.17%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 14.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +820 / U -1255
+3.17%
10.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +810 / U -1330
+3.05%
10.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +810 / U --
+3.05%
11.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Corbin Carroll headshot

Corbin Carroll
AZ vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 1
Lean
Best Gap +2.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 21.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -610
+2.90%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
+2.73%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
+2.56%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Dansby Swanson headshot

Dansby Swanson
CHC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.90%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -890
+2.90%
13.2%
FanDuel
0.5
O +635 / U -945
+2.90%
13.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +635 / U --
+2.90%
13.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Iván Herrera headshot

Iván Herrera
STL vs CHC | Matthew Boyd | Slot 2
Lean
Best Gap +2.85%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+2.85%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+2.76%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+2.76%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Miguel Andujar headshot

Miguel Andujar
SD vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 6
Lean
Best Gap +2.77%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 12.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +965 / U -1600
+2.77%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +950 / U --
+2.64%
9.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +945 / U -1690
+2.59%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.3
Cedric Mullins headshot

Cedric Mullins
TB vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 5
Lean
Best Gap +2.51%
Best Side Over
1+ HR 16.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +605 / U -835
+2.51%
13.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +605 / U -885
+2.51%
13.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +605 / U --
+2.51%
14.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Heliot Ramos headshot

Heliot Ramos
SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.49%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +635 / U -940
+2.49%
13.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +630 / U -885
+2.40%
13.2%
BetMGM
0.5
O +630 / U --
+2.40%
13.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Isaac Paredes headshot

Isaac Paredes
HOU vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +530 / U -745
+2.43%
15.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +525 / U -700
+2.30%
15.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +525 / U --
+2.30%
16.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Mookie Betts headshot

Mookie Betts
LAD vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+2.19%
15.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+2.06%
16.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +515 / U -690
+1.93%
15.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Alex Bregman headshot

Alex Bregman
CHC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +2.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -795
+2.18%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+2.06%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+2.06%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Edouard Julien headshot

Edouard Julien
COL vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap +2.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +790 / U -1195
+2.03%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +785 / U -1270
+1.97%
10.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +785 / U --
+1.97%
11.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jorge Polanco headshot

Jorge Polanco
NYM vs WSH | Brad Lord | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.90%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.7%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -675
+1.90%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +485 / U -635
+1.62%
16.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +485 / U --
+1.62%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Austin Riley headshot

Austin Riley
ATL vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.88%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -650
+1.88%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
+1.73%
17.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
+1.57%
17.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Chandler Simpson headshot

Chandler Simpson
TB vs BAL | Kyle Bradish | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.82%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 2.7%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+1.82%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+1.32%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-5.32%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 100.3
Jackson Merrill headshot

Jackson Merrill
SD vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.82%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.0%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +560 / U -800
+1.82%
14.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +555 / U -750
+1.70%
14.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +555 / U --
+1.70%
15.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Francisco Lindor headshot

Francisco Lindor
NYM vs WSH | Brad Lord | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.65%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +420 / U -555
+1.65%
18.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +415 / U --
+1.46%
19.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +410 / U -520
+1.27%
18.9%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ramón Laureano headshot

Ramón Laureano
SD vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.58%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +555 / U -790
+1.58%
14.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +550 / U -740
+1.47%
14.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +550 / U --
+1.47%
15.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Christian Walker headshot

Christian Walker
HOU vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +1.53%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -615
+1.53%
17.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +450 / U --
+1.37%
18.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +445 / U -575
+1.20%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Matt Chapman headshot

Matt Chapman
SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.52%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +525 / U -735
+1.52%
15.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +520 / U -690
+1.39%
15.6%
BetMGM
0.5
O +520 / U --
+1.39%
16.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Fernando Tatis Jr. headshot

Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +1.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -630
+1.44%
17.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +460 / U --
+1.28%
17.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +455 / U -590
+1.12%
17.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jesús Sánchez headshot

Jesús Sánchez
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +1.37%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 14.1%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +685 / U -980
+1.37%
12.3%
FanDuel
0.5
O +680 / U -1040
+1.29%
12.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +680 / U --
+1.29%
12.8%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
James Wood headshot

James Wood
WSH vs NYM | Sean Manaea | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +1.03%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.6%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -695
+1.03%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+0.89%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+0.75%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Cal Raleigh headshot

Cal Raleigh
SEA vs HOU | Hayden Wesneski | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +1.00%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +275 / U -330
+1.00%
25.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +285 / U -355
-0.28%
25.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +280 / U --
-4.06%
26.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jung Hoo Lee headshot

Jung Hoo Lee
SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 7
No Play
Best Gap +0.94%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.94%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.94%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.94%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.5
Willi Castro headshot

Willi Castro
COL vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.79%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 10.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +885 / U -1400
+0.79%
9.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +870 / U -1480
+0.63%
9.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +870 / U --
+0.63%
10.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.0
Hunter Goodman headshot

Hunter Goodman
COL vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap +0.77%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +455 / U -585
+0.77%
17.4%
FanDuel
0.5
O +465 / U -625
-0.04%
17.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +455 / U --
-4.19%
18.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Luke Keaschall headshot

Luke Keaschall
MIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.65%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 11.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +785 / U -1180
+0.65%
10.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +775 / U -1250
+0.52%
11.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +775 / U --
+0.52%
11.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 106.3
Kyle Tucker headshot

Kyle Tucker
LAD vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap +0.49%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +430 / U -570
+0.49%
18.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +425 / U --
+0.31%
19.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +420 / U -535
+0.13%
18.6%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brenton Doyle headshot

Brenton Doyle
COL vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.43%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 12.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +700 / U -1015
+0.43%
12.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +700 / U -1075
+0.43%
12.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +695 / U --
+0.35%
12.6%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.6
Ezequiel Tovar headshot

Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs SF | Logan Webb | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap +0.34%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 13.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +670 / U -950
+0.34%
12.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +670 / U -1010
+0.34%
12.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +665 / U --
+0.26%
13.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. headshot

Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.33%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +410 / U -540
+0.33%
18.9%
DraftKings
0.5
O +400 / U -505
-0.06%
19.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +400 / U --
-0.06%
20.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Royce Lewis headshot

Royce Lewis
MIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 5
No Play
Best Gap +0.28%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.8%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +505 / U -700
+0.28%
15.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +500 / U --
+0.14%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +495 / U -655
+0.00%
16.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Juan Soto headshot

Juan Soto
NYM vs WSH | Brad Lord | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +310 / U -375
+0.18%
23.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +320 / U -405
-1.07%
22.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +315 / U --
-3.23%
24.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Luis Arraez headshot

Luis Arraez
SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap +0.17%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 8.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
+0.17%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
+0.17%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
+0.17%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 104.1
Corey Seager headshot

Corey Seager
TEX vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.05%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 22.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -450
-0.05%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
-0.30%
22.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-0.56%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Manny Machado headshot

Manny Machado
SD vs CLE | Joey Cantillo | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.09%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -550
-0.09%
18.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +410 / U --
-0.28%
19.6%
DraftKings
0.5
O +405 / U -515
-0.47%
19.1%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Yordan Alvarez headshot

Yordan Alvarez
HOU vs SEA | Emerson Hancock | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.14%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.5%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -505
-0.14%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-0.35%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-0.57%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Marcell Ozuna headshot

Marcell Ozuna
PIT vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.15%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.8%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-0.15%
20.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-1.04%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-3.20%
21.1%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Byron Buxton headshot

Byron Buxton
MIN vs PHI | Jesús Luzardo | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.9%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-0.18%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-1.17%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-3.11%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Willy Adames headshot

Willy Adames
SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.19%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-0.19%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-0.50%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-0.50%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Teoscar Hernández headshot

Teoscar Hernández
LAD vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.26%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +450 / U -605
-0.26%
17.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +445 / U --
-0.43%
18.4%
DraftKings
0.5
O +440 / U -570
-0.60%
17.9%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brandon Lowe headshot

Brandon Lowe
PIT vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.30%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -485
-0.30%
19.9%
FanDuel
0.5
O +395 / U -520
-1.26%
19.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +390 / U --
-3.02%
20.4%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Eugenio Suárez headshot

Eugenio Suárez
CIN vs MIA | Ryan Gusto | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.42%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +370 / U -475
-0.42%
20.5%
BetMGM
0.5
O +360 / U --
-0.88%
21.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +355 / U -445
-1.12%
21.2%
Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Nathan Lukes headshot

Nathan Lukes
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -0.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 9.0%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +960 / U -1590
-0.44%
9.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +945 / U --
-0.58%
9.6%
FanDuel
0.5
O +940 / U -1680
-0.63%
9.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 106.5
Nico Hoerner headshot

Nico Hoerner
CHC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.44%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 7.6%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.44%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-0.44%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-0.44%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 105.0
Michael Busch headshot

Michael Busch
CHC vs STL | Michael McGreevy | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.57%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 17.9%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +440 / U -590
-0.57%
17.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +435 / U --
-0.74%
18.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +430 / U -550
-0.92%
18.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Ketel Marte headshot

Ketel Marte
AZ vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.60%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 20.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +380 / U -495
-0.60%
20.0%
BetMGM
0.5
O +375 / U --
-0.82%
21.1%
DraftKings
0.5
O +370 / U -465
-1.05%
20.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. headshot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.64%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.2%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +495 / U -685
-0.64%
16.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +490 / U -640
-0.78%
16.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +490 / U --
-0.78%
17.0%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Max Muncy headshot

Max Muncy
LAD vs MIL | Jacob Misiorowski | Slot 6
No Play
Best Gap -0.65%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.5%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-0.65%
18.8%
FanDuel
0.5
O +425 / U -565
-1.48%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-2.71%
19.2%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Xavier Edwards headshot

Xavier Edwards
MIA vs CIN | Brady Singer | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -0.68%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 5.2%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-0.68%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.18%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-2.82%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 106.0
Shea Langeliers headshot

Shea Langeliers
ATH vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 3
No Play
Best Gap -0.70%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -435
-0.70%
21.5%
FanDuel
0.5
O +360 / U -465
-1.69%
20.9%
BetMGM
0.5
O +355 / U --
-2.59%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Jake Burger headshot

Jake Burger
TEX vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -0.90%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 18.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +425 / U -570
-0.90%
18.3%
BetMGM
0.5
O +420 / U --
-1.08%
19.2%
DraftKings
0.5
O +415 / U -530
-1.27%
18.8%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Brent Rooker headshot

Brent Rooker
ATH vs TEX | MacKenzie Gore | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -0.91%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 21.3%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +350 / U -450
-0.91%
21.4%
BetMGM
0.5
O +345 / U --
-1.16%
22.5%
DraftKings
0.5
O +340 / U -420
-1.42%
22.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
Daulton Varsho headshot

Daulton Varsho
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 4
No Play
Best Gap -1.12%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 15.3%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-1.12%
17.1%
FanDuel
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-1.88%
16.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +470 / U --
-2.24%
17.5%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Rafael Devers headshot

Rafael Devers
SF vs COL | Michael Lorenzen | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.18%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.18%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.39%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.61%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Matt Olson headshot

Matt Olson
ATL vs AZ | Eduardo Rodriguez | Slot 2
No Play
Best Gap -1.22%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 19.4%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +385 / U -500
-1.22%
19.8%
BetMGM
0.5
O +380 / U --
-1.43%
20.8%
DraftKings
0.5
O +375 / U -470
-1.65%
20.3%
Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0
George Springer headshot

George Springer
TOR vs NYY | Cam Schlittler | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.29%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 16.1%
FanDuel Best Price
0.5
O +475 / U -645
-1.29%
16.7%
DraftKings
0.5
O +465 / U -605
-1.60%
17.1%
BetMGM
0.5
O +465 / U --
-1.60%
17.7%
Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0
Jake Mangum headshot

Jake Mangum
PIT vs BOS | Sonny Gray | Slot 1
No Play
Best Gap -1.56%
Best Side No Play
1+ HR 6.4%
DraftKings Best Price
0.5
O +1150 / U -2120
-1.56%
7.7%
FanDuel
0.5
O +1150 / U -2400
-1.56%
7.7%
BetMGM
0.5
O +1150 / U --
-1.56%
8.0%
Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.5

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 462
Latest Date 2026-09-06
Latest Signals 5
Date Rows Recommendations Signals Grading
2026-09-06
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 228 matched
0 unmatched
 8 / 37 / 48
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Alec Burleson | 42.8
 --
Signals --
2026-09-05
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 339 matched
0 unmatched
 12 / 68 / 75
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Ezequiel Tovar | 34.4
 --
Signals --
2026-09-04
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 303 matched
0 unmatched
 7 / 77 / 41
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Bobby Witt Jr. | 34.3
 --
Signals --
2026-09-03
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 126 matched
0 unmatched
 3 / 34 / 32
Strong / Play / Lean
 4
Jarren Duran | 39.1
 --
Signals --
2026-09-02
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 276 matched
0 unmatched
 18 / 77 / 58
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
TJ Friedl | 53.8
 --
Signals --
2026-09-01
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 273 matched
0 unmatched
 28 / 51 / 81
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
CJ Abrams | 43.6
 --
Signals --
2026-08-31
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 213 matched
0 unmatched
 13 / 74 / 57
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Adley Rutschman | 43.6
 --
Signals --
2026-08-30
home_run_edges_v1_overlay
 312 matched
0 unmatched
 36 / 66 / 93
Strong / Play / Lean
 5
Jarren Duran | 50.4
 --
Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 373
Rows / Graded 149661 / 77025
Over Hit Rate 15.8%
Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 285 | 15.4%

Play: 719 / 4087 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7449 | 14.9%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 618 / 3902 | 15.8%

DraftKings: 595 / 3815 | 15.6%

FanDuel: 660 / 4104 | 16.1%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1204 / 8721 | 13.8%